Result
4:2
26/09/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, QQ Sports |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Spain | Gol Play, GolStadium |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (493/578) | 74% (237/321) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (493/578) | 74% (237/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (31/57) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (90/130) | 60% (71/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 100% (14/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 2.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.02 | -1.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 8', Cao Yongjing 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 0, Abreu F. ⚽, Serginho (A),
- 36', 2 - 0, Serginho ⚽, Zhang Yuan (A),
- 42', Traore M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Liu Zhurun ↓, Yang Mingrui ↑,
- 46', Alimi I. ↓, Mao W. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 0, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Xizhe (A),
- 55', 3 - 1, Zhu P. ⚽,
- 56', 3 - 2, Daniel Penha ⚽,
- 56', Zhu P. ↓, Labyad Z. ↑,
- 56', Lu Peng ↓, Wen Jiabao ↑,
- 58', Cao Yongjing ↓, Feng Boxuan ↑,
- 69', Liao Jintao 🟨,
- 75', Zhang Xizhe ↓, Guga ↑,
- 75', Zhang Yuan ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
- 78', 4 - 2, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Yuning (A),
- 89', Lin Liangming ↓, Li Lei ↑,
- 89', Abreu F. ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
- 90+1', Daniel Penha ↓, Zhao Xuebin ↑,
Chances of winning
Beijing Guoan
62.2% | Draw
20.7% | Dalian Young Boy
17.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beijing Guoan's form might have worsened.Dalian Young Boy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dalian Young Boy's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (+12.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beijing Guoan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Young Boy than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dalian Young Boy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Beijing Guoan - Dalian Young Boy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.32) |
4.61 ↓
(5.79) |
5.51 ↓
(8.4) |
5.9%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Dalian Young Boy?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Dalian Young Boy will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 50.6% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Beijing Guoan (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Beijing Guoan (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Beijing Guoan (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Beijing Guoan (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Beijing Guoan (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Dalian Young Boy (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Dalian Young Boy (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 8).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Dalian Young Boy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Beijing Guoan is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
Muhmet N.
(Injury)
Spajic U.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Beijing Guoan won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Dalian Young Boy?
Beijing Guoan has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dalian Young Boy won against Beijing Guoan?
Dalian Young Boy has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Dalian Young Boy were as follows:
21.06.2025
Dalian Young Boy
-
Beijing Guoan
1:2
05.05.2025
Dalian Young Boy
-
Beijing Guoan
0:2
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Latest results of Dalian Young Boy
Chinese Super League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 13 |
| 2 | Chongqing Tonglianglong | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 11 |
| 3 | Yunnan Yukun | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Dalian Yingbo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Liaoning Tieren | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Qingdao West Coast | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
| 8 | Shandong Taishan | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Zhejiang Professional | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 2 |
| 10 | Shanghai Shenhua | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11:7 | 4 | 1 |
| 11 | Shanghai Port | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 1 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Beijing Guoan | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | -1 |
| 14 | Wuhan Three Towns | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | -1 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | -3 |
| 16 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | -8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ League One
