Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 3
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Souza E. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Souza B. ⚽, Silva L. (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Souza E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', 2 - 2, Kaka ⚽,
- 54', Silva G. 🟨,
- 62', Morgado T. ↓, Cuca ↑,
- 62', David Rebelo ↓, Bruninho ↑,
- 64', Cuba ↓, Triana C. ↑,
- 67', 3 - 2, Horta Leitao D. ⚽, Afonso A. (A),
- 71', Candeias D. ↓, Jesus P. ↑,
- 71', Montez A. ↓, Cascavel ↑,
- 80', Afonso A. ↓, Valente A. ↑,
- 81', Souza E. ↓, Eduardo W. ↑,
- 83', Marcos Paulo ↓, Xavier ↑,
- 90', Cuca 🟨,
- 90+2', Horta Leitao D. ↓, Teixeira J. ↑,
- 90+5', Valente A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Belenenses
39.1% | Draw
30% | Académica Coimbra
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belenenses's performance.Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belenenses that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+4%)
Belenenses - Académica Coimbra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.71) |
3.07 ↑
(2.88) |
2.97 ↑
(2.63) |
8.8%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Belenenses - Académica Coimbra?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 0.
- Belenenses has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Académica is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Belenenses may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Belenenses won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Belenenses won against Académica Coimbra?
Belenenses has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Académica Coimbra won against Belenenses?
Académica Coimbra has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belenenses - Académica Coimbra were as follows:
14.12.2025
Belenenses
-
Académica Coimbra
1:1
13.09.2025
Académica Coimbra
-
Belenenses
4:1
25.01.2025
Belenenses
-
Académica Coimbra
0:0
27.10.2024
Académica Coimbra
-
Belenenses
1:0
18.12.2022
Académica Coimbra
-
Belenenses
1:1
Latest results of Belenenses
Latest results of Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Academica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Amarante | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Varzim | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Os Belenenses | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
