Belgrano vs Atlético Tucumán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
24/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN, ESPN Premium
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.351.19
Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
42
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
05
Passes
76% (288/381)78% (286/365)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
1.351.19
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.87
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
75
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
05
Touches in opposition box
2310
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1412
Passes
76% (288/381)78% (286/365)
Long passes
41% (22/54)52% (28/54)
Passes in final third
63% (69/109)64% (69/107)
Crosses
38% (3/8)20% (4/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.37
Throw ins
1726
Fouls
1214
Tackles
80% (16/20)50% (15/30)
Duels won
4551
Clearances
168
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.871.74
Goals prevented
-0.13-1.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 21', Lopez L. 🟨,
  • 33', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
  • 37', Dominguez J. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Rigoni E. ,
  • 43', Lopez L. , Mavilla J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Dominguez J. , Brondo M. ,
  • 48', Sanchez A. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Fernandez N. , Zelarayan L. (A),
  • 60', Lamendola N. , Galvan I. ,
  • 60', Godoy L. , Ham E. ,
  • 68', Di Placido L. , Martin Benitez ,
  • 74', Fernandez N. , Passerini L. ,
  • 77', 3 - 0, Mavilla J. , Passerini L. (A),
  • 82', Zelarayan L. , Tulian R. ,
  • 82', Vazquez F. , Hernandes R. ,
  • 83', Rigoni E. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 88', Villa M. , Ferreira Namandu C. D. ,
  • 89', 3 - 1, Martin Benitez (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Belgrano
55.4%
Draw
26.7%
Atlético Tucumán
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 26.4% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4% 25.5% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belgrano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.56)
    3.51
    (3.5)
    5.21
    (6.5)
    6.7%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Belgrano will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Belgrano (1.17) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Belgrano (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 2 - 40%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 2.
    • Belgrano is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlético Tucumán has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Belgrano is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Reyna B. (Inactive) Velazquez J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Infante J. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético Tucumán: Villa M. (Injury)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:
    22.09.2024 Atlético Tucumán - Belgrano 2:4
    06.05.2023 Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán 1:0
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    2Boca Juniors ✔ 1576220:81227
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1565418:15323
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1544710:19-916
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra151775:12-710


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1556414:13121
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1543815:18-315
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)