Result
0:1
14/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TNT Sports |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (242/314) | 81% (289/356) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (242/314) | 81% (289/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (27/58) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (63/111) | 70% (81/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (7/36) | 5% (1/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 1.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Benitez Cabrera A. J. 🟨,
- 24', Fernandez M. 🟨,
- 28', Sporle A. 🟨,
- 32', Villa S. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Vazquez F. ⚽, Rigoni E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Benitez Cabrera A. J. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
- 59', Osella A. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
- 59', Villalba I. ↓, Rios G. ↑,
- 69', Fernandez N. ↓, Passerini L. ↑,
- 72', Bottari T. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
- 72', Fernandez M. ↓, Sequeira L. ↑,
- 84', Vazquez F. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
- 89', Zelarayan L. ↓, Lucco J. ↑,
- 89', Elordi J. M. ↓, Dadin B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente Rivadavia
39.2% | Draw
33.8% | Belgrano
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Rivadavia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↑
(2.25) |
2.81 ↓
(2.85) |
3.5
(3.5) |
5.6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Independiente R (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Independiente R (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Independiente Rivadavia will win
(9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente Rivadavia will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2.
- Independiente R has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Independiente R could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Independiente R: Arce A.
(Broken collarbone)
- There will not play in Belgrano: Passerini L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Reyna B.
(Inactive)
Ricca F.
(Injury)
Velazquez J.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
- Including home match between the teams, Independiente R won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Belgrano?
Independiente Rivadavia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Independiente Rivadavia?
Belgrano has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Belgrano were as follows:
25.07.2025
Independiente Rivadavia
-
Belgrano
0:0
03.02.2025
Belgrano
-
Independiente Rivadavia
0:3
25.11.2024
Belgrano
-
Independiente Rivadavia
0:2
Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia
Latest results of Belgrano
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
