Independiente Rivadavia vs Atlético Tucumán – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/01/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini (Mendoza).

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 1
Referee: Ferreyra B. (Arg)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz
World	TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.16	1.25
Ball possession
42%	58%
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
5	5
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	3
Passes
64% (139/217)	68% (204/299)
Yellow cards
2	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.16	1.25
xG on target (xGOT)
2.34	1.47
Total shots
11	14
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked shots
1	3
Shots inside the box
5	9
Shots outside the box
6	5
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	3
Touches in opposition box
15	19
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
3	0
Free kicks
11	13
Passes
64% (139/217)	68% (204/299)
Long passes
33% (17/52)	38% (25/65)
Passes in final third
45% (25/56)	53% (55/104)
Crosses
15% (2/13)	13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.35	0.45
Throw ins
26	27
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
46% (12/26)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
65	59
Clearances
23	20
Interceptions
8	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	3
xGOT faced
1.47	2.34
Goals prevented
0.47	0.34

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Fernandez M. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Diaz L. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Ruiz R. ↓, Franco N. ↑,
56', Villalba I. 🟨,
58', Ferrari G. 🟨,
69', Ham E. ↓, Ferreira Namandu C. D. ↑,
71', Costa L. ↓, Sartori F. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Osella A. ⚽,
81', Lamendola N. 🟨,
82', Rios G. ↓, Bonifacio E. ↑,
83', Fernandez M. ↓, Crego D. ↑,
89', Compagnucci G. ↓, Godoy L. ↑,
89', Lamendola N. ↓, Abeldano G. ↑,
90', Florentin Bobadilla J. I. ↓, Vazquez K. A. ↑,
90+1', Arce A. ↓, Atencio R. ↑,
90+3', Sartori F. 🟨,
90+3', Abeldano G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Independiente Rivadavia
54%

Draw
28.4%

Atlético Tucumán
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

31.9%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente Rivadavia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente Rivadavia's performance.

Atlético Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Tucumán might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.2)	3.33 ↑ (2.93)	5.31 ↑ (3.64)	5.7% (7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Independiente R will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente R: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Independiente R (1.32) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Independiente R (1.88) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.25 - Independiente R (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Independiente Rivadavia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Independiente R (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Atlético Tucumán (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 0.
Independiente R may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Independiente R will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.8:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente R won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Rivadavia won against Atlético Tucumán?

Independiente Rivadavia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tucumán won against Independiente Rivadavia?

Atlético Tucumán has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Rivadavia - Atlético Tucumán were as follows:

04.08.2024 Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia 2:1

16.03.2024 Atlético Tucumán - Independiente Rivadavia 2:2

Latest results of Independiente Rivadavia

18.01.2026 Independiente Rivadavia - Estudiantes de Caseros 2:0 ✺

17.11.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Independiente Rivadavia 0:2 ✺

10.11.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Central Córdoba 0:0 ✺

05.11.2025 Independiente Rivadavia - Argentinos Juniors 3:2 ✺

01.11.2025 Aldosivi - Independiente Rivadavia 3:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Tucumán

15.01.2026 Progreso - Atlético Tucumán 1:2 ✺

12.01.2026 Cerro Largo - Atlético Tucumán 1:2 ✺

14.11.2025 Lanús - Atlético Tucumán 3:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Atlético Tucumán - Godoy Cruz 2:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Independiente - Atlético Tucumán 3:0 ✺

Argentinian Liga Profesional Table

Apertura

Group A

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Estudiantes L.P	16	9	4	3	19:7	12	31
2	Boca Juniors	16	8	6	2	22:9	13	30
3	Velez Sarsfield	16	7	7	2	18:12	6	28
4	Talleres Cordoba	16	7	5	4	17:13	4	26
5	Independiente	16	6	6	4	24:20	4	24
6	Lanus	16	6	6	4	18:15	3	24
7	San Lorenzo	16	5	7	4	14:14	0	22
8	Union de Santa Fe	16	5	6	5	24:20	4	21
9	Instituto	16	6	3	7	17:17	0	21
10	Defensa y Justicia	16	4	7	5	18:21	-3	19
11	Gimnasia Mendoza	16	5	4	7	14:22	-8	19
12	Platense	16	3	7	6	10:15	-5	16
13	Central Cordoba	16	4	4	8	11:21	-10	16
14	Newells Old Boys	16	3	6	7	15:27	-12	15
15	Dep. Riestra	16	1	8	7	5:12	-7	11

Group B

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	16	10	4	2	29:15	14	34
2	River Plate	16	9	2	5	22:12	10	29
3	Argentinos Jrs	16	8	5	3	17:13	4	29
4	Rosario Central	16	8	4	4	20:16	4	28
5	Belgrano	16	7	5	4	17:13	4	26
6	Gimnasia L.P	16	8	2	6	19:19	0	26
7	Huracan	16	5	7	4	17:13	4	22
8	Racing Club	16	5	6	5	17:15	2	21
9	Barracas Central	16	5	6	5	15:15	0	21
10	Tigre	16	4	8	4	18:15	3	20
11	Sarmiento Junin	16	6	1	9	13:20	-7	19
12	Banfield	16	5	3	8	17:19	-2	18
13	Atl. Tucuman	16	3	5	8	15:20	-5	14
14	Aldosivi	16	0	8	8	6:19	-13	8
15	Estudiantes Rio Cuarto	16	1	2	13	5:24	-19	5

Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)