Belgrano vs Newells Old Boys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
22/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.39
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
84% (428/510)78% (234/301)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.612.01
Total shots
711
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
29
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1819
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
138
Passes
84% (428/510)78% (234/301)
Long passes
48% (29/60)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
66% (65/99)65% (57/88)
Crosses
33% (4/12)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.69
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
813
Tackles
65% (11/17)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5138
Clearances
2423
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.011.61
Goals prevented
2.01-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Regiardo L. 🟨,
  • 29', Banega E. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ,
  • 43', Cardozo T. 🟨,
  • 45', Benedetto D. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Morales L. , Lopez E. ,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Fernandez N. , Sporle A. (A),
  • 51', Maroni G. 🟥,
  • 61', Jara F. 🟨,
  • 61', Benedetto D. , Orozco F. ,
  • 61', Regiardo L. , Montenegro L. S. ,
  • 64', Chiaverano G. , Guch F. ,
  • 74', Jara F. , Mavilla J. ,
  • 75', Gonzalez C. , Garcia J. ,
  • 85', Compagnucci G. , Zelarayan G. ,
  • 85', Fernandez N. , Menossi L. ,
  • 87', 3 - 0, Zelarayan L. , Zelarayan G. (A),
  • 88', Longo S. , Heredia G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Belgrano
51.2%
Draw
28.8%
Newells Old Boys
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 29.9% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 30.3% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belgrano's performance.
  • Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belgrano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Belgrano - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.33)
    3.3
    (3.15)
    4.67
    (3.18)
    4.2%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Belgrano - Newells Old Boys?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Belgrano will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Belgrano will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 1.
    • Recent performances by Belgrano have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Newells Old Boys is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Belgrano is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Hoyos L. (Knee Injury) Salcedo S. (Inactive) Sotelo D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Belgrano: Morales L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Fernandez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    17.09.2025 Newells Old Boys - Belgrano 1:3
    09.03.2025 Newells Old Boys - Belgrano 0:0
    31.08.2024 Newells Old Boys - Belgrano 0:0
    04.02.2024 Newells Old Boys - Belgrano 1:0
    02.09.2023 Belgrano - Newells Old Boys 1:1
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Latest results of Newells Old Boys
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield85309:4518
    2Estudiantes L.P84317:3415
    3Union de Santa Fe842211:5614
    4Independiente834111:7413
    5Platense83415:3213
    6San Lorenzo83327:5212
    7Defensa y Justicia82607:5212
    8Talleres Cordoba83238:9-111
    9Boca Juniors72326:519
    10Lanus62319:909
    11Instituto82249:10-18
    12Central Cordoba82243:6-38
    13Gimnasia Mendoza82245:10-58
    14Dep. Riestra80532:5-35
    15Newells Old Boys80265:16-112


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia852112:8417
    2Tigre843114:7715
    3Belgrano74309:4515
    4Rosario Central842210:6414
    5River Plate83238:8011
    6Gimnasia L.P83239:10-111
    7Banfield83149:9010
    8Argentinos Jrs62314:319
    9Barracas Central82336:7-19
    10Huracan72325:6-19
    11Racing Club72238:9-18
    12Sarmiento Junin72055:9-46
    13Atl. Tucuman71249:10-15
    14Estudiantes Rio Cuarto71153:11-84
    15Aldosivi70342:8-63

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)