Belgrano vs Newells Old Boys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
22/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 9
  • Referee: Zamora E. D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports
chinaChinaK-Ball
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.39
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
84% (428/510)78% (234/301)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.461.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.612.01
Total shots
711
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
29
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
1819
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
138
Passes
84% (428/510)78% (234/301)
Long passes
48% (29/60)45% (20/44)
Passes in final third
66% (65/99)65% (57/88)
Crosses
33% (4/12)18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.530.69
Throw-ins
1313
Fouls
813
Tackles
65% (11/17)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5138
Clearances
2423
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.011.61
Goals prevented
2.01-1.39

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Regiardo L. 🟨,
  • 29', Banega E. 🟨,
  • 38', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ,
  • 43', Cardozo T. 🟨,
  • 45', Benedetto D. (Pen),
  • 45+1', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Morales L. , Lopez E. ,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Fernandez N. , Sporle A. (A),
  • 51', Maroni G. 🟥,
  • 61', Jara F. 🟨,
  • 61', Benedetto D. , Orozco F. ,
  • 61', Regiardo L. , Montenegro L. S. ,
  • 64', Chiaverano G. , Guch F. ,
  • 74', Jara F. , Mavilla J. ,
  • 75', Gonzalez C. , Garcia J. ,
  • 85', Compagnucci G. , Zelarayan G. ,
  • 85', Fernandez N. , Menossi L. ,
  • 87', 3 - 0, Zelarayan L. , Zelarayan G. (A),
  • 88', Longo S. , Heredia G. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Belgrano
51.2%
Draw
28.8%
Newells Old Boys
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 29.9% 29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 30.3% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belgrano's performance.
  • Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newells Old Boys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belgrano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newells Old Boys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Belgrano - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.33)
    3.3
    (3.15)
    4.67
    (3.18)
    4.2%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Belgrano - Newells Old Boys?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Belgrano will win (21 of 23 users predict this - 91.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 79.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Belgrano will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 1.
    • Recent performances by Belgrano have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Newells Old Boys is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Belgrano is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Hoyos L. (Knee Injury) Salcedo S. (Inactive) Sotelo D. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Belgrano: Morales L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Fernandez M. (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 0.8:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    17.09.2025 Newells Old Boys - Belgrano 1:3
    09.03.2025 Newells Old Boys - Belgrano 0:0
    31.08.2024 Newells Old Boys - Belgrano 0:0
    04.02.2024 Newells Old Boys - Belgrano 1:0
    02.09.2023 Belgrano - Newells Old Boys 1:1
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Latest results of Newells Old Boys
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    3Lanus1053216:12418
    4Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)