Belgrano vs Aldosivi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
1:0
10/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Zamora D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaHBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
usaUsaFanatiz
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.620.69
Ball possession
69%31%
Total shots
158
Shots on target
14
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
32
Passes
88% (388/443)68% (127/186)
Yellow cards
06
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.620.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.890.04
Total shots
158
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
70
Shots inside the box
63
Shots outside the box
95
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1512
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
196
Passes
88% (388/443)68% (127/186)
Long passes
50% (24/48)47% (20/43)
Passes in final third
78% (119/153)53% (24/45)
Crosses
27% (4/15)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.030.49
Throw ins
2220
Fouls
619
Tackles
73% (11/15)56% (14/25)
Duels won
5357
Clearances
1827
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
30
xGOT faced
0.040.89
Goals prevented
0.04-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Zelarayan L. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
  • 41', Velazquez J. ↓, Sporle A. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Guzman N. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
  • 51', Rigoni E. 🟥,
  • 51', Werner A. 🟨,
  • 56', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 57', Leys F. ↓, Cordero N. ↑,
  • 57', Fernandez N. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
  • 60', Garcia M. ↓, Marquez De Meneses R. L. ↑,
  • 61', De La Vega F. ↓, Palavecino A. ↑,
  • 68', Arias J. 🟨,
  • 72', Palavecino A. 🟨,
  • 77', Lopez L. ↓, Maldonado A. ↑,
  • 77', Vazquez F. ↓, Longo S. ↑,
  • 78', Fernandez T. 🟨,
  • 86', Morello M. ↓, Villarreal A. ↑,
  • 90+3', Roman F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Belgrano
64.5%		Draw
24.7%		Aldosivi
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 27.6% 17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4% 27.2% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Belgrano's performance.
  • Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aldosivi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belgrano that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aldosivi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Belgrano - Aldosivi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.47 ↓
    (1.71)    		 3.8 ↑
    (3.38)    		 8.72 ↑
    (5.2)    		 5.6%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Belgrano - Aldosivi?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Belgrano (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Belgrano will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Belgrano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Belgrano (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 14).
    • In recent matches, Belgrano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Aldosivi has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Belgrano is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Benitez Cabrera A. J. (Yellow Cards) Lopez L. (Muscle Injury) Sporle A. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Aldosivi: Enrique G. (Inactive) Fernandez T. (Inactive) Gino F. (Yellow Cards) Guzman N. (Inactive) Moyano S. (Knee Injury) Rolon E. (Yellow Cards) Zalazar N. (Red Card)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belgrano won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belgrano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Aldosivi were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Aldosivi - Belgrano 0:0
    11.02.2025 Belgrano - Aldosivi 2:0
    Latest results of Belgrano
    05.04.2026 River Plate - Belgrano 3:0 ✺
    27.03.2026 Belgrano - Atlético de Rafaela 3:0 ✺
    21.03.2026 Belgrano - Racing 1:2 ✺
    15.03.2026 Belgrano - Talleres de Córdoba 0:0 ✺
    12.03.2026 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Belgrano 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Aldosivi
    04.04.2026 Aldosivi - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0:0 ✺
    31.03.2026 Aldosivi - Argentinos Juniors 0:2 ✺
    22.03.2026 Sarmiento de Junín - Aldosivi 2:0 ✺
    16.03.2026 Aldosivi - Huracán Buenos Aires 0:0 ✺
    11.03.2026 Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi 1:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    2Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1574416:12425
    5Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    6San Lorenzo1557313:12122
    7Independiente1556422:19321
    8Union de Santa Fe1555523:19420
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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