Belleville Senators vs Hershey Bears – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
16/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2731
Shooting PCT
11.11% (3/27)3.23% (1/31)
Goalkeeper Saves
3024
Saves PCT
96.77% (30/31)92.31% (24/26)
Penalties
33
PIM
66
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (3/3)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 19:44, 0 - 1, Belpedio L. (G), Miroshnichenko I. (A), Rybinski H. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 15:49, 1 - 1, Lycksell O. (G), Thomson L. (A), Daoust P. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 08:09, 2 - 1, Bongiovanni W. (G),
  • 19:52, 3 - 1, Daoust P. (G),

Chances of winning


Belleville Senators
39.4%
Draw
23.1%
Hershey Bears
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 22.9% 41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6% 24.4% 39.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belleville Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Belleville Senators - Hershey Bears Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.58)
    3.98
    (3.98)
    2.46
    (2.18)
    8.3%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Belleville Senators - Hershey Bears?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 2.
    • Belleville is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hershey has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hershey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Hershey has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 52:69. (average 2.6:3.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:47. (average 2.1:4.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belleville Senators - Hershey Bears were as follows:
    14.02.2026 Belleville Senators - Hershey Bears 3:6
    05.03.2025 Hershey Bears - Belleville Senators 2:6
    25.01.2025 Belleville Senators - Hershey Bears 3:5
    24.01.2025 Belleville Senators - Hershey Bears 4:3
    17.01.2025 Hershey Bears - Belleville Senators 4:1
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins543111111177:11485
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears56206822160:17260
    5Bridgeport Islanders56194825165:17454
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms55168625162:18354
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves522171113166:16067
    3Manitoba Moose50214619131:14356
    4Texas Stars53188423155:16556
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign55289216188:15076
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds54209520180:16963
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights522131018173:16658
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers561091423151:20452
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch55313417180:13572
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies55207919176:17963
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets55173926143:17549

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )