Result
4:5 penalties
26/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 28 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.79% (4/29) | 14.29% (4/28) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (24/28) | 86.21% (25/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 11.11% (1/9) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 88.89% (8/9) | 75% (3/4) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 01:44, 1 - 0, Villeneuve W. (G), Smith B. (A), Tverberg R. (A2)
- 03:15, 2 - 0, Groulx B. (G), Kampf D. (A), Nylander A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 01:00, 2 - 1, Kaliyev A. (G), Bourgault X. (A),
- 07:45, 2 - 2, Boucher T. (G), Thomson L. (A), Bongiovanni W. (A2)
- 10:00, 2 - 3, Halliday S. (G), Kaliyev A. (A), Bourgault X. (A2)
- 12:00, 3 - 3, Pare C. (G),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:37, 4 - 3, Quillan J. (G), Valis B. (A), Nylander A. (A2)
- 15:24, 4 - 4, Bongiovanni W. (G), Halliday S. (A), Yakemchuk C. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, Shaw L. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Halliday S. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Lettieri V. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Bongiovanni W. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Nylander A. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Toronto Marlies
43.8% | Draw
22.9% | Belleville Senators
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(2.11) |
4.02 ↓
(4.09) |
2.76 ↑
(2.71) |
8.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 2.09.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 56:49. (average 2.8:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 3.1:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Marlies won against Belleville Senators?
Toronto Marlies has won 22 of their last 39 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belleville Senators won against Toronto Marlies?
Belleville Senators has won 17 of their last 39 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators were as follows:
25.10.2025
Toronto Marlies
-
Belleville Senators
2:4
18.10.2025
Belleville Senators
-
Toronto Marlies
1:2
05.10.2025
Belleville Senators
-
Toronto Marlies
0:2
29.03.2025
Belleville Senators
-
Toronto Marlies
1:2
22.03.2025
Toronto Marlies
-
Belleville Senators
4:2
Latest results of Toronto Marlies
Latest results of Belleville Senators
AHL Table
2025/26Atlantic Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Providence Bruins | 12 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 44:24 | 22 |
| 2 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 49:32 | 21 |
| 3 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 12 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 38:33 | 17 |
| 4 | Charlotte Checkers | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 34:34 | 13 |
| 5 | Hershey Bears | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 30:31 | 13 |
| 6 | Bridgeport Islanders | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 41:41 | 12 |
| 7 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 29:36 | 9 |
| 8 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 27:47 | 6 |
Central Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 40:22 | 19 |
| 2 | Milwaukee Admirals | 10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 33:22 | 16 |
| 3 | Rockford IceHogs | 14 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 39:38 | 15 |
| 4 | Chicago Wolves | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 37:37 | 14 |
| 5 | Manitoba Moose | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 27:39 | 12 |
| 6 | Iowa Wild | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 24:41 | 9 |
| 7 | Texas Stars | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 21:24 | 7 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Eagles | 14 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 45:28 | 23 |
| 2 | Ontario Reign | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 48:40 | 17 |
| 3 | Calgary Wranglers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 43:44 | 16 |
| 4 | Henderson Silver Knights | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 44:34 | 15 |
| 5 | San Jose Barracuda | 13 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 40:43 | 14 |
| 6 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 43:44 | 14 |
| 7 | Bakersfield Condors | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 38:46 | 12 |
| 8 | Tucson Roadrunners | 12 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 37:38 | 12 |
| 9 | San Diego Gulls | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 34:32 | 11 |
| 10 | Abbotsford Canucks | 14 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 24:56 | 8 |
North Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Syracuse Crunch | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 48:34 | 18 |
| 2 | Laval Rocket | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 37:31 | 16 |
| 3 | Rochester Americans | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 46:43 | 16 |
| 4 | Toronto Marlies | 13 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 40:39 | 14 |
| 5 | Belleville Senators | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 41:45 | 13 |
| 6 | Cleveland Monsters | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 18:23 | 10 |
| 7 | Utica Comets | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18:36 | 5 |
Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )
