Belleville Senators vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies
Result
1:2 penalties
29/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3738
Shooting PCT
2.7% (1/37)2.63% (1/38)
Goalkeeper Saves
3736
Saves PCT
97.37% (37/38)97.3% (36/37)
Penalties
77
PIM
2214
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/7)14.29% (1/7)
Pen. Killing PCT
85.71% (6/7)100% (7/7)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:51, 1 - 0, Bourgault X. (G), Wylie W. (A), Roos F. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 04:45, 1 - 1, Blandisi J. (G), Quillan J. (A), Abruzzese N. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 2)
  • 1, Steeves A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Halliday S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Shaw L. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Bourgault X. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Abruzzese N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Jenik J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Nylander A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Pilon G. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Quillan J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Wylie W. (Penalty Shot),
  • 6, Blandisi J. (Penalty Shot),
  • 6, Rees J. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Belleville Senators
37.1%
Draw
23.6%
Toronto Marlies
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 22.6% 39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2% 22% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belleville Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Toronto Marlies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.49
    (2.43)
    3.88
    (4.1)
    2.39
    (2.35)
    7.9%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 3).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Belleville won 2.
    • Recent matches Belleville is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Toronto is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Belleville could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Belleville have a series of home games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Belleville won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 56:62 (average 2.8:3.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Belleville won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 30:24 (average 3.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 4:2
    21.03.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 3:2
    15.02.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 3:2
    14.02.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 5:3
    28.12.2024 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 3:4
    Latest results of Toronto Marlies
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Bye
    2Toronto Marlies (4)Cleveland Monsters (5)0 : 2
    3Rochester Americans (2)Bye
    4ByeSyracuse Crunch (3)
    5Hershey Bears (1)Bye
    6Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (4)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)0 : 2
    7Charlotte Checkers (2)Bye
    8Providence Bruins (3)Springfield Thunderbirds (6)2 : 1
    9Colorado Eagles (1)Bye
    10Ontario Reign (3)San Jose Barracuda (6)0 : 2
    11Abbotsford Canucks (2)Tucson Roadrunners (7)2 : 1
    12Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)Calgary Wranglers (5)2 : 0
    13Milwaukee Admirals (1)Bye
    14Chicago Wolves (4)Rockford IceHogs (5)0 : 2
    15Texas Stars (2)Bye
    16ByeGrand Rapids Griffins (3)

    1/8-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Cleveland Monsters (5)3 : 1
    2Rochester Americans (2)Syracuse Crunch (3)3 : 0
    3Hershey Bears (1)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)3 : 2
    4Charlotte Checkers (2)Providence Bruins (3)3 : 2
    5Colorado Eagles (1)San Jose Barracuda (6)3 : 1
    6Abbotsford Canucks (2)Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)3 : 1
    7Milwaukee Admirals (1)Rockford IceHogs (5)3 : 2
    8Texas Stars (2)Grand Rapids Griffins (3)3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Rochester Americans (2)3 : 2
    2Hershey Bears (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 3
    3Colorado Eagles (1)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 3
    4Milwaukee Admirals (1)Texas Stars (2)2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 4
    2Abbotsford Canucks (2)Texas Stars (2)4 : 2

    Final
    1Charlotte Checkers (2)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 4