Belleville Senators vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:3
10/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3329
Shooting PCT
18.18% (6/33)10.34% (3/29)
Goalkeeper Saves
2627
Saves PCT
89.66% (26/29)84.38% (27/32)
Penalties
42
PIM
117
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)50% (1/2)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 10:06, 1 - 0, Daoust P. (G), Harrington S. (A), Kaliyev A. (A2)
  • 14:03, 1 - 1, Lettieri V. (G), Boyd T. (A), Groulx B. (A2)
  • 15:46, 2 - 1, Halliday S. (G), Boucher T. (A), Gilbert D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 07:52, 2 - 2, Haymes L. (G), Boyd T. (A), Barbolini M. (A2)
  • 18:47, 3 - 2, Hodgson H. (G), Harrington S. (A),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 1)
  • 01:12, 4 - 2, Lycksell O. (G),
  • 06:43, 4 - 3, Groulx B. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
  • 11:00, 5 - 3, Kaliyev A. (G), Daoust P. (A),
  • 17:43, 6 - 3, Kaliyev A. (G), Bourgault X. (A),

Chances of winning


Belleville Senators
37.7%
Draw
22.4%
Toronto Marlies
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 24.1% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 25.4% 33.7%

Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.42
(2.25)
4.06
(3.78)
2.33
(2.57)
8.9%
(9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 1.
    • Belleville is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 56:60. (average 2.8:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
    09.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 6:1
    26.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 3:2
    21.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 8:4
    20.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 4:3
    03.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 3:4
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins4426918145:8671
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton48275412161:12468
    3Charlotte Checkers44224315147:12355
    4Hershey Bears44155816123:13248
    5Lehigh Valley Phantoms45138420127:14246
    6Bridgeport Islanders45173520140:13745
    7Springfield Thunderbirds46142624114:16238
    8Hartford Wolf Pack45133623115:15538


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins4530537156:8873
    2Chicago Wolves431751011139:13454
    3Texas Stars45166419129:13748
    4Manitoba Moose42193317110:11747
    5Milwaukee Admirals43127420122:12742
    6Rockford IceHogs47125426127:15838
    7Iowa Wild449452698:14131


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign47238214159:13064
    2Colorado Eagles44236510146:10463
    3Bakersfield Condors46196714159:14257
    4San Jose Barracuda43188314143:13155
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds45178515154:14055
    6San Diego Gulls44165914130:12651
    7Tucson Roadrunners451110816147:14750
    8Henderson Silver Knights43153817134:13744
    9Calgary Wranglers471061219127:17144
    10Abbotsford Canucks48106626105:16438


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket47227414151:12462
    2Syracuse Crunch46242416149:12256
    3Toronto Marlies45176715142:14753
    4Cleveland Monsters451310715130:13753
    5Rochester Americans45185616143:13052
    6Belleville Senators49146821159:17848
    7Utica Comets43103822103:14134

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )