Belleville Senators vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
6:3
10/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3329
Shooting PCT
18.18% (6/33)10.34% (3/29)
Goalkeeper Saves
2627
Saves PCT
89.66% (26/29)84.38% (27/32)
Penalties
42
PIM
117
Power-play Goals
11
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)50% (1/2)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 10:06, 1 - 0, Daoust P. (G), Harrington S. (A), Kaliyev A. (A2)
  • 14:03, 1 - 1, Lettieri V. (G), Boyd T. (A), Groulx B. (A2)
  • 15:46, 2 - 1, Halliday S. (G), Boucher T. (A), Gilbert D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 07:52, 2 - 2, Haymes L. (G), Boyd T. (A), Barbolini M. (A2)
  • 18:47, 3 - 2, Hodgson H. (G), Harrington S. (A),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 1)
  • 01:12, 4 - 2, Lycksell O. (G),
  • 06:43, 4 - 3, Groulx B. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
  • 11:00, 5 - 3, Kaliyev A. (G), Daoust P. (A),
  • 17:43, 6 - 3, Kaliyev A. (G), Bourgault X. (A),

Chances of winning


Belleville Senators
37.7%
Draw
22.4%
Toronto Marlies
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 24.1% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 25.4% 33.7%

Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.42
(2.25)
4.06
(3.78)
2.33
(2.57)
8.9%
(9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
  • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 1.
  • Belleville is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
  • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
  • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 56:60. (average 2.8:3).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies were as follows:
09.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 6:1
26.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 3:2
21.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 8:4
20.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 4:3
03.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 3:4
AHL Table
2025/26

Atlantic Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Wilkes-Barre/Scranton40233311129:10155
2Providence Bruins3622518121:7555
3Charlotte Checkers37184312121:10347
4Lehigh Valley Phantoms38127415104:10942
5Hershey Bears37144514105:10941
6Bridgeport Islanders37143317115:11737
7Hartford Wolf Pack38123518104:12735
8Springfield Thunderbirds38121619100:13932


Central Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Grand Rapids Griffins3625533131:6663
2Chicago Wolves3615399109:10445
3Manitoba Moose3616331496:10541
4Rockford IceHogs40115420116:13236
5Texas Stars39115419103:12336
6Milwaukee Admirals35106316104:10435
7Iowa Wild387342480:12324


Pacific Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Colorado Eagles3619548123:8552
2Ontario Reign39187212130:10952
3Bakersfield Condors37165610132:11748
4Coachella Valley Firebirds37147412130:11946
5San Jose Barracuda36138312113:11545
6San Diego Gulls37125812106:10242
7Tucson Roadrunners36107712117:11441
8Calgary Wranglers40961015105:13540
9Henderson Silver Knights35142514110:10637
10Abbotsford Canucks407562285:13930


North Division
PlWWOLOLPts
1Laval Rocket39194313122:10349
2Syracuse Crunch39202314126:10047
3Toronto Marlies39156315123:13145
4Rochester Americans38145613125:12044
5Belleville Senators41125618136:15140
6Cleveland Monsters3610751492:10239
7Utica Comets369271887:11529

      Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )