Belleville Senators vs Toronto Marlies – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

CAA Arena (Belleville, ON).

AHL
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey

Match Stats


Shots on Goal
33	29
Shooting PCT
18.18% (6/33)	10.34% (3/29)
Goalkeeper Saves
26	27
Saves PCT
89.66% (26/29)	84.38% (27/32)
Penalties
4	2
PIM
11	7
Power-play Goals
1	1
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)	25% (1/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
75% (3/4)	50% (1/2)
Empty Net Goals
1	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (2 - 1)
10:06, 1 - 0, Daoust P. (G), Harrington S. (A), Kaliyev A. (A2)
14:03, 1 - 1, Lettieri V. (G), Boyd T. (A), Groulx B. (A2)
15:46, 2 - 1, Halliday S. (G), Boucher T. (A), Gilbert D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
07:52, 2 - 2, Haymes L. (G), Boyd T. (A), Barbolini M. (A2)
18:47, 3 - 2, Hodgson H. (G), Harrington S. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
01:12, 4 - 2, Lycksell O. (G),
06:43, 4 - 3, Groulx B. (G), Lettieri V. (A), Shaw L. (A2)
11:00, 5 - 3, Kaliyev A. (G), Daoust P. (A),
17:43, 6 - 3, Kaliyev A. (G), Bourgault X. (A),

Chances of winning

Belleville Senators
37.7%

Draw
22.4%

Toronto Marlies
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

24.1%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

25.4%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belleville Senators has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Toronto Marlies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Marlies than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto Marlies, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.25)	4.06 ↑ (3.78)	2.33 ↓ (2.57)	8.9% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

What is the prediction for Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 1.
Belleville is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 56:60. (average 2.8:3).
Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Belleville Senators won against Toronto Marlies?

Belleville Senators has won 20 of their last 46 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Marlies won against Belleville Senators?

Toronto Marlies has won 26 of their last 46 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies were as follows:

09.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 6:1

26.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 3:2

21.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 8:4

20.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 4:3

03.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Toronto Marlies 3:4

Latest results of Belleville Senators

09.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 6:1 ✺

03.01.2026 Belleville Senators - Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1:3 ✺

31.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Laval Rocket 3:4 ✺

28.12.2025 Belleville Senators - Utica Comets 7:0 ✺

26.12.2025 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Toronto Marlies

09.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Belleville Senators 6:1 ✺

07.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Cleveland Monsters 4:5 ✺

04.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1:6 ✺

03.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Rochester Americans 6:4 ✺

01.01.2026 Toronto Marlies - Syracuse Crunch 2:1 ✺

AHL Table

2025/26

Atlantic Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Providence Bruins	54	31	11	1	11	177:114	85
2	Wilkes-Barre/Scranton	57	31	5	7	14	189:150	79
3	Charlotte Checkers	56	26	7	5	18	188:157	71
4	Hershey Bears	56	20	6	8	22	160:172	60
5	Bridgeport Islanders	56	19	4	8	25	165:174	54
6	Lehigh Valley Phantoms	55	16	8	6	25	162:183	54
7	Springfield Thunderbirds	56	19	3	7	27	151:196	51
8	Hartford Wolf Pack	55	18	4	6	27	149:185	50

Central Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Grand Rapids Griffins	56	36	7	4	9	196:111	90
2	Chicago Wolves	52	21	7	11	13	166:160	67
3	Manitoba Moose	50	21	4	6	19	131:143	56
4	Texas Stars	53	18	8	4	23	155:165	56
5	Milwaukee Admirals	54	14	8	7	25	152:165	51
6	Rockford IceHogs	56	15	5	4	32	152:194	44
7	Iowa Wild	54	13	6	5	30	126:170	43

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Ontario Reign	55	28	9	2	16	188:150	76
2	Colorado Eagles	55	26	7	8	14	178:139	74
3	San Jose Barracuda	54	25	9	4	16	188:164	72
4	Bakersfield Condors	57	22	8	10	17	192:178	70
5	Coachella Valley Firebirds	54	20	9	5	20	180:169	63
6	San Diego Gulls	55	20	5	12	18	164:161	62
7	Henderson Silver Knights	52	21	3	10	18	173:166	58
8	Tucson Roadrunners	55	13	12	8	22	171:182	58
9	Calgary Wranglers	56	10	9	14	23	151:204	52
10	Abbotsford Canucks	57	13	8	6	30	132:191	48

North Division

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Laval Rocket	59	26	10	5	18	192:157	77
2	Syracuse Crunch	55	31	3	4	17	180:135	72
3	Cleveland Monsters	56	17	13	7	19	164:167	67
4	Toronto Marlies	55	20	7	9	19	176:179	63
5	Rochester Americans	54	19	5	9	21	166:168	57
6	Belleville Senators	58	16	6	8	28	181:214	52
7	Utica Comets	55	17	3	9	26	143:175	49

Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )