Result
2:0
31/10/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 12
- Referee: Jaussi J. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (365/449) | 80% (291/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (365/449) | 80% (291/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (32/59) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (64/96) | 71% (89/125) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (3/13) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 63% (20/32) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.49 | -0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 9', Goncalves M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Bua K. ↓, Maouche Y. ↑,
- 53', Rey A. 🟨,
- 65', Hysenaj F. ↓, Escorza T. ↑,
- 69', Jaiteh M. 🟨,
- 72', Tutonda D. ↓, Kury J. ↑,
- 75', Felder V. 🟨,
- 76', Itaitinga ↓, Sene O. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 0, Caslei B. ⚽,
- 83', Walker M. ↓, El Jaouhari M. ↑,
- 83', Boulkous N. ↓, Essiena Avang L. ↑,
- 88', Mayorga J. ↓, Shabani M. ↑,
- 90+1', Rey A. ↓, Philipona N. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Escorza T. ⚽, Traore B. (A),
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
45.3% | Draw
28% | Bellinzona
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.06) |
3.28 ↓
(3.34) |
3.43 ↑
(3.33) |
9.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Promotion League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 2.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Étoile might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Étoile: Harrington F.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Ato
(Inactive)
Bomo J.
(Yellow Cards)
Chouik I.
(Injury)
Dermaku D.
(Injury)
Lasso J.
(Inactive)
Lymann F.
(Injury)
Mihajlovic D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Étoile: Ricardo Alves
(Injury)
Rufli V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 2.2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 3.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Bellinzona?
Étoile Carouge has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Étoile Carouge?
Bellinzona has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona were as follows:
04.10.2025
Bellinzona
-
Étoile Carouge
0:3
05.04.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Bellinzona
7:0
22.02.2025
Bellinzona
-
Étoile Carouge
0:0
22.11.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Bellinzona
2:2
03.08.2024
Bellinzona
-
Étoile Carouge
1:1
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Latest results of Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Aarau | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 43:30 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Xamax | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:34 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Wil | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 8 | Stade Nyonnais | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:41 | -21 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
