Result
0:3
13/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 26
- Referee: Berchier L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (293/377) | 79% (278/351) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.81 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (293/377) | 79% (278/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (15/57) | 63% (45/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (46/82) | 63% (57/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.19 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Shala L. 🟨,
- 19', Bomo J. 🟨,
- 44', Rufli V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Rufli V. ↓, Boulkous N. ↑,
- 50', Mihajlovic D. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
- 53', Philippin R. 🟨,
- 62', 0 - 1, Caslei B. ⚽,
- 63', Bomo J. ↓, Lymann F. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 2, Bouchlarhem T. ⚽, Ricardo Alves (A),
- 78', Lopez B. ↓, Fetahu E. ↑,
- 78', Rey A. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
- 80', Itaitinga ↓, Sene O. ↑,
- 80', Caslei B. ↓, Essiena Avang L. ↑,
- 85', Philippin R. ↓, Fankhauser S. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 3, Ricardo Alves ⚽, El Jaouhari M. (A),
- 88', Bossiwa S. ↓, Samba T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bellinzona
33.9% | Draw
26.8% | Étoile Carouge
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bellinzona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-5%)
Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.39) |
3.45 ↓
(3.48) |
2.36 ↓
(2.62) |
8.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Bellinzona will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Étoile will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Étoile: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Bellinzona (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Étoile (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 0.
- Bellinzona is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Étoile has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Ayala D.
(Yellow Cards)
Dermaku D.
(Injury)
Jashari E.
(Inactive)
Osigwe S.
(Inactive)
Rossier E.
(Inactive)
Shabani M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Étoile: Hoxha F.
(Yellow Cards)
Walker M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Étoile: Itaitinga
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 1.2:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Étoile Carouge?
Bellinzona has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Bellinzona?
Étoile Carouge has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge were as follows:
31.10.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Bellinzona
2:0
04.10.2025
Bellinzona
-
Étoile Carouge
0:3
05.04.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Bellinzona
7:0
22.02.2025
Bellinzona
-
Étoile Carouge
0:0
22.11.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Bellinzona
2:2
Latest results of Bellinzona
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 26 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 53:27 | 26 | 59 |
| 2 | Aarau | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 53:33 | 20 | 59 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 17 | 47 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 10 | 39 |
| 5 | Xamax | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36:36 | 0 | 36 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 26 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
| 7 | Wil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:38 | -15 | 27 |
| 8 | Etoile-Carouge | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 28:39 | -11 | 25 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 25:33 | -8 | 24 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 23:51 | -28 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
