Étoile Carouge vs Bellinzona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Swiss Challenge League Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona
Result
7:0
05/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 29
  • Referee: Prskalo Z. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.660.54
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
90
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
61
Passes
87% (400/461)86% (357/416)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.660.54
xG on target (xGOT)
4.210.00
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
90
Shots off target
28
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
61
Touches in opposition box
1913
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
127
Passes
87% (400/461)86% (357/416)
Long passes
54% (29/54)65% (40/62)
Passes in final third
74% (73/99)73% (83/113)
Crosses
30% (3/10)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.51
Fouls
712
Tackles
46% (6/13)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4034
Clearances Total
1214
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.004.21
Goals prevented
0.00-2.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', Petit V. 🟨,
  • 11', 1 - 0, Rufli V. (Pen),
  • 22', Gorga S. 🟨,
  • 27', 2 - 0, Traore B. , Caslei B. (A),
  • 30', Sestito L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 0)
  • 46', Petit V. , Oberli B. ,
  • 46', Sestito L. , Simbakoli U. ,
  • 54', De Jesus Sousa M. , Rossi N. ,
  • 54', Lusuena N. , Perrault T. ,
  • 54', Gorga S. , Matondo H. ,
  • 57', Perrault T. 🟥,
  • 58', Chappuis A. , Camara S. ,
  • 58', Hysenaj F. , Correia O. ,
  • 58', 3 - 0, Caslei B. ,
  • 61', 4 - 0, Rufli V. (Pen),
  • 76', 5 - 0, Ricardo Alves , Correia O. (A),
  • 77', Nkama J. , Gloor F. ,
  • 77', Souza Espana C. , Da Silva N. ,
  • 78', Ricardo Alves , Maouche Y. ,
  • 82', 6 - 0, Traore B. , Caslei B. (A),
  • 85', 7 - 0, Simbakoli U. , Camara S. (A),

Chances of winning


Étoile Carouge
43.4%
Draw
28%
Bellinzona
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.5% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9% 27.3% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.31)
    3.28
    (3.25)
    3.22
    (2.96)
    8.7%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona?
  • Users Predictions: Étoile Carouge will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 53.51%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Étoile won 0.
    • Étoile is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bellinzona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Étoile will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Étoile: Harrington F. (Injury) Matheus Vieira (Inactive) Neves Mendes D. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bellinzona: Chukwuemeka C. (Injury) Diarra I. (Injury) Krasniqi J. (Yellow Cards) Nkama J. (Yellow Cards) Sangare M. (Injury) Sorensen A. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Étoile: Zoukit N. (Inactive)
    • Our prediction for today's Étoile to win the game is with odds 2.15.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Étoile won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Étoile won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:6 (average 2:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge 0:0
    22.11.2024 Étoile Carouge - Bellinzona 2:2
    03.08.2024 Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge 1:1
    Latest results of Étoile Carouge
    Latest results of Bellinzona
    31.03.2025 Bellinzona - Aarau 1:1
    16.03.2025 Vaduz - Bellinzona 2:0
    08.03.2025 Bellinzona - Wil 1900 0:3
    Swiss Challenge League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bellinzona00000:000
    2Xamax00000:000
    3Etoile-Carouge00000:000
    4Stade Nyonnais00000:000
    5Aarau00000:000
    6Vaduz00000:000
    7Wil00000:000
    8Yverdon00000:000
    9Rapperswil-Jona00000:000
    10Lausanne Ouchy00000:000

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