Result
0:3
04/10/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 9
- Referee: Sanli H. (Tur)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (354/415) | 85% (370/436) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (354/415) | 85% (370/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (16/36) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (62/89) | 67% (56/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 34% (10/29) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (22/25) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.29 | 0.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 33', 0 - 1, Traore B. ⚽, Bua K. (A),
- 42', 0 - 2, Bua K. ⚽,
- 45', Lasso J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 3, Itaitinga ⚽,
- 58', Traore B. ↓, Patricio A. ↑,
- 58', Bua K. ↓, Caslei B. ↑,
- 60', Jaiteh M. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
- 60', Lymann F. ↓, Rey A. ↑,
- 63', Goncalves M. 🟨,
- 75', Ricardo Alves ↓, Hysenaj F. ↑,
- 75', Itaitinga ↓, Maouche Y. ↑,
- 82', Bomo J. ↓, Grano A. ↑,
- 83', Sadiku A. ↓, Philipona N. ↑,
- 85', Philippin R. ↓, Neves D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bellinzona
39.2% | Draw
29% | Étoile Carouge
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↓
(2.47) |
3.22 ↑
(3.22) |
2.91 ↑
(2.8) |
8%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bellinzona will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Étoile will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Bellinzona (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Promotion League and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Bellinzona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Étoile has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Dermaku D.
(Injury)
Lopez B.
(Yellow Cards)
Tutonda D.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Étoile: Caslei B.
(Inactive)
Diallo M. M.
(Injury)
Harrington F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bellinzona: Bomo J.
(Injury)
Mayorga J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Étoile: Rufli V.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 1.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Étoile Carouge?
Bellinzona has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Bellinzona?
Étoile Carouge has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge were as follows:
05.04.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Bellinzona
7:0
22.02.2025
Bellinzona
-
Étoile Carouge
0:0
22.11.2024
Étoile Carouge
-
Bellinzona
2:2
03.08.2024
Bellinzona
-
Étoile Carouge
1:1
Latest results of Bellinzona
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aarau | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Yverdon | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Vaduz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Xamax | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Stade Nyonnais | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
| 9 | Wil | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 5 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 5:21 | -16 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
