Result
2:1
20/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (179/252) | 86% (447/520) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (179/252) | 86% (447/520) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (13/46) | 65% (40/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (46/70) | 66% (96/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.05 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (21/30) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.35 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Ayala D. 🟨,
- 35', Sutter N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 0, Ayala D. ⚽, Vogt W. (A),
- 53', 2 - 0, Vogt W. ⚽, Goncalves M. (A),
- 57', Nkama J. ↓, Socka Bongue L. ↑,
- 57', Bah K. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
- 64', Lopez A. ↓, Rey A. ↑,
- 70', Mosquera D. ↓, Bomo J. ↑,
- 73', Bomo J. 🟨,
- 77', 2 - 1, Nomel L. ⚽, Garcia N. (A),
- 78', Fetahu E. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
- 78', Moulin P. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
- 81', Rizvanovic M. 🟨,
- 87', Kaloga I. 🟨,
- 89', Sutter P. ↓, Fargues H. ↑,
- 90+1', Trochen E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Goncalves M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bellinzona
21.4% | Draw
23.8% | Lausanne Ouchy
54.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Lausanne Ouchy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (-1%)
Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.3 ↑
(3.97) |
3.87 ↑
(3.74) |
1.68 ↓
(1.76) |
8.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lausanne Ouchy (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Lausanne Ouchy will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 0.
- Bellinzona has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lausanne Ouchy's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Lausanne Ouchy is a strong favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:23. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Lausanne Ouchy?
Bellinzona has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lausanne Ouchy won against Bellinzona?
Lausanne Ouchy has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Lausanne Ouchy were as follows:
25.10.2025
Bellinzona
-
Lausanne Ouchy
0:3
09.08.2025
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Bellinzona
2:2
09.05.2025
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Bellinzona
1:1
15.02.2025
Bellinzona
-
Lausanne Ouchy
0:1
19.10.2024
Lausanne Ouchy
-
Bellinzona
1:1
Latest results of Bellinzona
Latest results of Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 61:31 | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | Aarau | 29 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 60:40 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 53 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 46:40 | 6 | 39 |
| 5 | Xamax | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 39:45 | -6 | 36 |
| 6 | Wil | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:43 | -12 | 33 |
| 7 | Etoile-Carouge | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 34:41 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 32 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 29 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 28:38 | -10 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 29:60 | -31 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
