Result
3:1
03/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 33
- Referee: Odiet M. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (352/416) | 82% (344/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (352/416) | 82% (344/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (67/109) | 59% (44/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | -1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', Mihajlovic D. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Lusuena N. ⚽,
- 19', Facchinetti M. 🟨,
- 24', 1 - 1, Demhasaj S. ⚽, Ben Seghir S. (A),
- 32', Ben Seghir S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', Lentini F. ↓, Mulaj L. ↑,
- 68', Krasniqi J. ↓, Gorga S. ↑,
- 68', L'Ghoul N. ↓, Da Silva N. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 1, Nkama J. ⚽,
- 72', 3 - 1, Nivokazi R. ⚽, Nkama J. (A),
- 78', Lusuena N. ↓, Matondo H. ↑,
- 84', Matondo H. 🟨,
- 84', Saiz F. ↓, Zahaj E. ↑,
- 86', Nkama J. ↓, Chacon T. ↑,
- 89', Gorga S. 🟨,
- 90+3', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bellinzona
51.9% | Draw
25.5% | Neuchâtel Xamax
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bellinzona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Bellinzona - Neuchâtel Xamax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.78 ↓
(1.87) |
3.63 ↑
(3.59) |
4.08 ↑
(3.79) |
8.3%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bellinzona - Neuchâtel Xamax?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Bellinzona will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Xamax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Bellinzona could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Chukwuemeka C.
(Injury)
Diarra I.
(Injury)
Sorensen A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Xamax: Cabral E.
(Yellow Cards)
Durugbor P.
(Injury)
Epitaux Y.
(Inactive)
Fontana J.
(Injury)
Furrer G.
(Injury)
Ramizi S.
(Injury)
Sidibe I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Bellinzona: Sangare M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Xamax: Facchinetti M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bellinzona won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Neuchâtel Xamax?
Bellinzona has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neuchâtel Xamax won against Bellinzona?
Neuchâtel Xamax has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bellinzona - Neuchâtel Xamax were as follows:
02.03.2025
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Bellinzona
1:1
26.10.2024
Bellinzona
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
0:2
09.08.2024
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Bellinzona
2:2
03.05.2024
Bellinzona
-
Neuchâtel Xamax
1:2
09.02.2024
Neuchâtel Xamax
-
Bellinzona
0:1
Latest results of Bellinzona
Latest results of Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bellinzona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Xamax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Etoile-Carouge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Stade Nyonnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Aarau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Vaduz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Wil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Yverdon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Rapperswil-Jona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Lausanne Ouchy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
