Result
2:1
20/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 23
- Referee: Anex D. (Sui)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.15 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (336/419) | 84% (345/410) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 1.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 2.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (336/419) | 84% (345/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (35/67) | 63% (32/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (102/146) | 70% (71/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 26% (5/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.75 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.50 | 1.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.50 | -0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 33', Kamberi F. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Rossier E. ⚽, Trapero (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Kamberi F. ⚽, Schmidt J. (A),
- 45', 2 - 1, Schmidt J. ⚽, De Carvalho F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Morgado B. 🟨,
- 61', Saliji R. ↓, Ryter Y. ↑,
- 62', Charveys A. ↓, Ngana V. ↑,
- 62', Schmidt J. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
- 65', Ayala D. 🟨,
- 68', Lopez A. ↓, Sadiku A. ↑,
- 68', Kury J. ↓, Jaiteh M. ↑,
- 68', Sorensen A. ↓, Rizvanovic M. ↑,
- 70', Trapero 🟨,
- 78', De Carvalho F. ↓, Luthi J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rapperswil-Jona
47.8% | Draw
26.7% | Bellinzona
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rapperswil-Jona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rapperswil-Jona's performance.Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Rapperswil-Jona - Bellinzona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.93 ↓
(2.21) |
3.45 ↑
(3.2) |
3.62 ↑
(3.08) |
8.5%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rapperswil-Jona - Bellinzona?
Users Predictions:
Rapperswil-Jona will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rapperswil-Jona will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Rapperswil has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bellinzona has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rapperswil could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Rapperswil: Ambassa J.
(Inactive)
Pousa R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Bomo J.
(Yellow Cards)
Chouik I.
(Inactive)
Dermaku D.
(Injury)
Goncalves M.
(Yellow Cards)
Lymann F.
(Injury)
Osigwe S.
(Inactive)
Shabani M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Bellinzona: Sadiku A.
(Inactive)
Vogt W.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rapperswil won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rapperswil won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rapperswil-Jona won against Bellinzona?
Rapperswil-Jona has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Rapperswil-Jona?
Bellinzona has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rapperswil-Jona - Bellinzona were as follows:
28.11.2025
Rapperswil-Jona
-
Bellinzona
2:1
13.09.2025
Bellinzona
-
Rapperswil-Jona
1:1
Latest results of Rapperswil-Jona
Latest results of Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 52:25 | 27 | 55 |
| 2 | Aarau | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 43:30 | 13 | 50 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 45:30 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 41:32 | 9 | 35 |
| 5 | Xamax | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33:34 | -1 | 31 |
| 6 | Rapperswil-Jona | 23 | 9 | 1 | 13 | 26:34 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Wil | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:35 | -15 | 24 |
| 8 | Stade Nyonnais | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 22 |
| 9 | Etoile-Carouge | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 19 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20:41 | -21 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
