Result
3:1
29/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 6
- Referee: Jaussi J. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 1.93 |
Ball Possession |
---|
49% | 51% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
84% (368/440) | 79% (337/426) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.50 | 1.93 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.68 | 1.81 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
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18 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 13 |
Passes |
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84% (368/440) | 79% (337/426) |
Long passes |
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45% (25/56) | 54% (37/68) |
Passes in final third |
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62% (56/90) | 68% (101/148) |
Crosses |
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29% (2/7) | 20% (7/35) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.51 | 1.47 |
Throw-ins |
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21 | 30 |
Fouls |
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14 | 11 |
Tackles |
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67% (14/21) | 59% (13/22) |
Duels won |
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59 | 61 |
Clearances |
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37 | 10 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.81 | 0.68 |
Goals prevented |
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0.81 | -2.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Ghia J. ⚽, Manquant J. (A),
- 29', Lasso J. 🟨,
- 32', 2 - 0, Manquant J. ⚽, Simo J. (A),
- 37', 3 - 0, Alili B. ⚽, Rodriguez P. (A),
- 40', Brandy E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lymann F. ↓, Mayorga J. ↑,
- 46', Brandy E. ↓, Jaquenoud L. ↑,
- 57', Rodriguez P. ↓, Okuka M. ↑,
- 69', Rey A. ↓, Shabani M. ↑,
- 73', Simo J. ↓, Leclercq M. ↑,
- 73', Bega L. ↓, Stoll R. ↑,
- 73', Sorensen A. 🟨,
- 76', Ghia J. 🟨,
- 76', Ghia J. ↓, Perchaud T. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Sorensen A. ⚽, Shabani M. (A),
Chances of winning
Stade Nyonnais 35.2% | Draw 27.2% | Bellinzona 37.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stade Nyonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Bellinzona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bellinzona than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.61 ↓ (2.91) |
3.38 ↓ (3.6) |
2.45 ↑ (2.17) |
8.9% (8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Stade Nyonnais will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Bellinzona will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stade Nyonnais: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Promotion League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 2.
- Stade Nyonnais has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bellinzona's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Stade Nyonnais may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Diomande B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Bellinzona: Amelibia J.
(Inactive)
Dermaku D.
(Injury)
Tutonda D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Stade Nyonnais won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:20. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Stade Nyonnais won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Stade Nyonnais won against Bellinzona?
Stade Nyonnais has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bellinzona won against Stade Nyonnais?
Bellinzona has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stade Nyonnais - Bellinzona were as follows:
18.04.2025
Bellinzona
-
Stade Nyonnais
2:1
28.03.2025
Stade Nyonnais
-
Bellinzona
3:0
30.11.2024
Bellinzona
-
Stade Nyonnais
1:1
26.07.2024
Stade Nyonnais
-
Bellinzona
2:1
09.05.2024
Stade Nyonnais
-
Bellinzona
1:3
Latest results of Stade Nyonnais
Latest results of Bellinzona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Aarau | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:5 | 10 | 18 |
2 | Vaduz | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:4 | 11 | 14 |
3 | Yverdon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:5 | 9 | 13 |
4 | Xamax | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 8 |
5 | Stade Nyonnais | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 8 |
6 | Lausanne Ouchy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
7 | Rapperswil-Jona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
8 | Wil | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
9 | Etoile-Carouge | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 2 |
10 | Bellinzona | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | -13 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League