Newport Gwent Dragons vs Benetton Treviso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
15:15
28/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • United Rugby Championship - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion goals
00
Conversion goal attempts
00
Penalty goals
00
Penalty goal attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped goals
00
Total runs
00
Metres run with ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 10)
  • 2nd Half (8 - 5)

Chances of winning


Newport Gwent Dragons
57%
Draw
4.6%
Benetton Treviso
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 4.6% 52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6% 4.9% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newport Gwent Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newport Gwent Dragons's performance.
  • Benetton Treviso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benetton Treviso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newport Gwent Dragons than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newport Gwent Dragons that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benetton Treviso than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benetton Treviso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Newport Gwent Dragons - Benetton Treviso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (2.17)
    20.33
    (20.12)
    2.38
    (1.77)
    8.3%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dragons won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • We predict that Dragons will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dragons won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 399:554. (average 20:27.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dragons won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 189:174. (average 21:19.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newport Gwent Dragons - Benetton Treviso were as follows:
    10.01.2026 Benetton Treviso - Newport Gwent Dragons 74:21
    19.10.2024 Newport Gwent Dragons - Benetton Treviso 21:31
    20.04.2024 Benetton Treviso - Newport Gwent Dragons 36:19
    09.10.2022 Benetton Treviso - Newport Gwent Dragons 34:14
    Latest results of Newport Gwent Dragons
    Latest results of Benetton Treviso
    United Rugby Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Glasgow Warriors12903320:17045
    2Leinster12804308:24241
    3Cardiff Rugby12804240:21040
    4Munster12804248:22539
    5Stormers11803284:18536
    6Ulster11704312:22936
    7Lions12615325:34233
    8Bulls11605304:27030
    9Ospreys12525260:27329
    10Connacht11407258:27925
    11Sharks12417256:33324
    12Edinburgh11407219:21323
    13Benetton12426216:28123
    14Dragons12237227:28620
    15Scarlets11317192:26316
    16Zebre122010197:36512

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