Chelsea vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Chelsea - Benfica
Result
1:0
30/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - League phase - Round 2
  • Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport 4, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, SBT, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileESPN Premium
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 3, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
italyItalySky Sport 254
kenyaKenyaGotv
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, HBO Max
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan Sports 2
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 2
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3
swedenSwedenViaplay
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT Spor
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.86
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
88% (452/512)82% (329/400)
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.930.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.170.56
Total shots
89
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
57
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
1824
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1413
Passes
88% (452/512)82% (329/400)
Long passes
62% (21/34)26% (9/34)
Passes in final third
74% (79/107)70% (58/83)
Crosses
21% (3/14)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.70
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
1314
Tackles
58% (18/31)80% (12/15)
Duels won
6146
Clearances
2122
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.561.17
Goals prevented
0.561.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Rios R. (Own goal), Garnacho A. (A),
  • 34', Barrenechea E. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Fernandez E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Buonanotte F. 🟨,
  • 49', Rios R. 🟨,
  • 54', Buonanotte F. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
  • 61', George T. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
  • 61', Garnacho A. ↓, Gittens J. ↑,
  • 62', Joao Pedro 🟨,
  • 64', Aursnes F. 🟨,
  • 73', Silva A. ↓, Araujo T. ↑,
  • 77', Lukebakio D. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
  • 77', Sudakov G. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
  • 77', Rios R. ↓, Barreiro L. ↑,
  • 80', Gusto M. ↓, James R. ↑,
  • 80', Badiashile B. ↓, Acheampong J. ↑,
  • 83', Otamendi N. 🟨,
  • 88', Neto P. 🟨,
  • 89', Aursnes F. ↓, Araujo H. ↑,
  • 90+3', Mourinho J. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Joao Pedro 🟨,

Chances of winning


Chelsea
71%		Draw
23.9%		Benfica
5.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 21.6% 16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9% 23.7% 15.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chelsea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chelsea's performance.
  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Benfica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Benfica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Chelsea - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.54 ↓
    (1.55)    		 4.79 ↑
    (4.42)    		 25.47 ↑
    (5.75)    		 -10.4%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Chelsea - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Chelsea will win (votes: 42 - 72.4%). Benfica will win (votes: 7 - 12.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 60.9% – 83.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Chelsea (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Benfica (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Chelsea is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Benfica's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Benfica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chelsea has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Benfica has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Chelsea is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Chelsea: Adarabioyo T. (Calf Injury) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) Delap L. (Hamstring Injury) Essugo D. (Thigh Injury) Fofana W. (Concussion) Mudryk M. (Suspended) Palmer C. (Groin Injury) Sterling R. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Manu (Knee Injury) Prestianni G. (International duty) Wynder J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Chelsea: Andrey Santos (Injury) Caicedo M. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chelsea won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
    • Including home match between the teams, Chelsea won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    Latest results of Chelsea
    27.09.2025 Chelsea - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:3 ✺
    23.09.2025 Lincoln City - Chelsea 1:2 ✺
    20.09.2025 Manchester United - Chelsea 2:1 ✺
    17.09.2025 Bayern Munich - Chelsea 3:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Brentford - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    Latest results of Benfica
    26.09.2025 Benfica - Gil Vicente 2:1 ✺
    23.09.2025 Benfica - Rio Ave 1:1 ✺
    20.09.2025 AVS - Benfica 0:3 ✺
    16.09.2025 Benfica - Qarabağ Agdam 2:3 ✺
    12.09.2025 Benfica - Santa Clara 1:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

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