Result
1:2
02/03/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 24
- Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Sports MAX 4 |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
 Hungary | Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.17 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (309/383) | 76% (305/400) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (309/383) | 76% (305/400) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (26/54) | 38% (18/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (58/88) | 61% (89/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 1.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 35', 0 - 1, Pavlidis V. ⚽, Silva A. (A),
- 39', Otamendi N. 🟨,
- 45', Peixoto C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Aursnes F. ↓, Barrenechea E. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Hernandez H. ⚽, Garcia S. (A),
- 58', Caseres F. 🟨,
- 69', Prestianni G. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
- 69', Barreiro L. ↓, Rios R. ↑,
- 69', Hernandez H. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 69', Moreira A. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 2, Schjelderup A. ⚽,
- 76', Schjelderup A. 🟨,
- 82', Schjelderup A. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
- 83', Caseres F. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 83', Ze Carlos ↓, Hevertton S. ↑,
- 87', Elimbi M. 🟨,
- 90+1', Bah A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Gil Vicente
16.6% | Draw
22.9% | Benfica
60.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gil Vicente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Gil Vicente - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.72 ↓
(5.78) |
4.15 ↑
(4.05) |
1.56 ↓
(1.57) |
5.5%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Gil Vicente - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
38 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 3 - 7.9%). Benfica will win (votes: 29 - 76.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 62.8% – 89.8%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +1.5 - Gil Vicente (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Benfica will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Gil Vicente (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Benfica (votes: 11 - 84.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Benfica is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Mutombo J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Benfica: Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Veloso J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There are questionable in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Toure T.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gil Vicente won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 17 matches, and goals 11:50. (average 0.6:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gil Vicente won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 3:19. (average 0.4:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Benfica?
Gil Vicente has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Gil Vicente?
Benfica has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gil Vicente - Benfica were as follows:
26.09.2025
Benfica
-
Gil Vicente
2:1
28.03.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Benfica
0:3
28.09.2024
Benfica
-
Gil Vicente
5:1
04.02.2024
Benfica
-
Gil Vicente
3:0
26.08.2023
Gil Vicente
-
Benfica
2:3
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
