Benfica vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Benfica
57.5%

Draw
23.8%

Fenerbahçe
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.3%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

24.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.

Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Benfica - Fenerbahçe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.87)	4.04 ↑ (3.8)	5.1 ↑ (4.1)	4.4% (4.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Benfica - Fenerbahçe?

Users Predictions: Benfica will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3.
Benfica has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Fenerbahçe has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Benfica has had a series of away games.
In this match, Benfica is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Fenerbahçe?

Benfica has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Benfica?

Fenerbahçe has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Fenerbahçe were as follows:

20.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Benfica 0:0

26.07.2025 Benfica - Fenerbahçe 3:2

Latest results of Benfica

20.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Benfica 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Benfica 0:1 ✺

12.08.2025 Benfica - Nice 2:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2 ✺

31.07.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Fenerbahçe

20.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Benfica 0:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Göztepe - Fenerbahçe 0:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Feyenoord 5:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Alanyaspor Postponed ✺

06.08.2025 Feyenoord - Fenerbahçe 2:1 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
2	Ludogorets	Din. Minsk	2 : 2, 1 : 0
3	Noah	Buducnost	2 : 2, 1 : 0
4	Bye	Ferencvaros
5	TNS	Shkendija	1 : 2, 0 : 0
6	FCSB	Inter Escaldes	1 : 2, 3 : 1
7	Shelbourne	Linfield	1 : 1, 1 : 0
8	Bye	Qarabag
9	Lech Poznan	Bye
10	Egnatia	Breidablik	0 : 5, 1 : 0
11	Vikingur	Lincoln Red Imps	0 : 1, 2 : 3
12	Bye	Crvena zvezda
13	Zalgiris	Hamrun	0 : 3, 2 : 0
14	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
15	Pafos	Bye
16	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
17	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
24	Bye	Sturm Graz
25	Celtic	Bye
29	KuPS	Milsami	0 : 0, 1 : 0
30	O. Ljubljana	Kairat Almaty	0 : 2, 1 : 1
31	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
32	Virtus	Zrinjski	1 : 2, 0 : 2
33	Basel	Bye
37	Levadia	RFS	0 : 1, 0 : 1
38	Iberia 1999	Malmo FF	1 : 3, 1 : 3
39	FC Copenhagen	Bye
40	Drita	Differdange	3 : 2, 1 : 0
41	Feyenoord	Bye
44	Bye	Fenerbahce
45	Nice	Bye
48	Bye	Benfica
49	Rangers	Bye
50	Bye	Panathinaikos
51	Plzen	Bye
52	Bye	Servette
53	Brann	Bye
54	Bye	Salzburg
56	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Quarter-finals

1	Rijeka	Ludogorets	1 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Noah	Ferencvaros	3 : 4, 1 : 2
3	Shkendija	FCSB	2 : 1, 1 : 0
4	Shelbourne	Qarabag	0 : 1, 0 : 3
5	Lech Poznan	Breidablik	1 : 0, 7 : 1
6	Lincoln Red Imps	Crvena zvezda	1 : 5, 0 : 1
7	Hamrun	Dyn. Kyiv	0 : 3, 0 : 3
8	Pafos	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 0, 1 : 1
9	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
12	Bye	Sturm Graz
13	Celtic	Bye
15	KuPS	Kairat Almaty	0 : 3, 2 : 0
16	Slovan Bratislava	Zrinjski	2 : 2, 4 : 0
17	Basel	Bye
19	RFS	Malmo FF	0 : 1, 1 : 4
20	FC Copenhagen	Drita	1 : 0, 2 : 0
21	Feyenoord	Bye
22	Bye	Fenerbahce
23	Nice	Bye
24	Bye	Benfica
25	Rangers	Panathinaikos	1 : 1, 2 : 0
26	Plzen	Servette	3 : 1, 0 : 1
27	Brann	Salzburg	1 : 1, 1 : 4
28	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Semi-finals

1	Ludogorets	Ferencvaros	0 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Shkendija	Qarabag	1 : 5, 0 : 1
3	Lech Poznan	Crvena zvezda	1 : 1, 1 : 3
4	Dyn. Kyiv	Pafos	0 : 2, 0 : 1
5	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
6	Bye	Sturm Graz
7	Celtic	Bye
8	Kairat Almaty	Slovan Bratislava	1 : 1, 1 : 0
9	Basel	Bye
10	Malmo FF	FC Copenhagen	0 : 5, 0 : 0
11	Feyenoord	Fenerbahce	2 : 5, 2 : 1
12	Nice	Benfica	0 : 2, 0 : 2
13	Rangers	Plzen	1 : 2, 3 : 0
14	Salzburg	Club Brugge KV	2 : 3, 0 : 1

Final

1	Ferencvaros	Qarabag	1 : 3
2	Crvena zvezda	Pafos	1 : 2
3	Bodo/Glimt	Sturm Graz	5 : 0
4	Celtic	Kairat Almaty	0 : 0
5	Basel	FC Copenhagen	1 : 1
6	Fenerbahce	Benfica	0 : 0
7	Rangers	Club Brugge KV	1 : 3