Benfica vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Result
1:0
27/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action, SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 5, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.37
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
81% (344/425)78% (296/380)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.00
Total shots
156
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
3310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
2010
Passes
81% (344/425)78% (296/380)
Long passes
43% (24/56)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
67% (81/121)66% (44/67)
Crosses
46% (6/13)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.46
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1120
Tackles
33% (3/9)50% (13/26)
Duels won
5764
Clearances
921
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.74
Goals prevented
0.000.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Semedo N. ↓, Soyuncu C. ↑,
  • 30', Amrabat S. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. ⚽, Barreiro L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Amrabat S. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
  • 64', Lage B. 🟨,
  • 65', Muldur M. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
  • 65', Brown A. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
  • 69', Barreiro L. 🟨,
  • 77', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
  • 77', Pavlidis V. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
  • 79', Talisca 🟨,
  • 82', Talisca 🟨,
  • 85', Silva A. 🟨,
  • 87', Soyuncu C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
57.2%		Draw
23.5%		Fenerbahçe
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 25.3% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 24.3% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.
  • Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
    •

    Benfica - Fenerbahçe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.66 ↓
    (1.87)    		 4.04 ↑
    (3.8)    		 4.97 ↑
    (4.1)    		 5.1%
    (4.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Benfica - Fenerbahçe?
  • Users Predictions: 98 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 67 - 68.4%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 20 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 11.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 59.2% – 77.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Benfica (2.12) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Fenerbahçe (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH -1 - Benfica (2.76) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Benfica (2.20) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Benfica (2.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • TQ, OT - Benfica (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Benfica (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (37 of 45 users predict this - 82.22%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 59 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 50 - 84.7%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 3 - 5.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 10.2%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3.
    • Benfica has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fenerbahçe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Benfica is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Florentino (Red Card) Manu (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Inactive) Diego Carlos (Inactive) Fall A. (Inactive) Mimovic O. (Inactive) Mor E. (Inactive) Nene D. (Inactive) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Tosun C. (Groin Injury) Yandas M. (Knock)
    • We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Benfica 0:0
    26.07.2025 Benfica - Fenerbahçe 3:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    23.08.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0 ✺
    20.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Benfica 0:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Benfica 0:1 ✺
    12.08.2025 Benfica - Nice 2:0 ✺
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    23.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Kocaelispor 3:1 ✺
    20.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Benfica 0:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Göztepe - Fenerbahçe 0:0 ✺
    12.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Feyenoord 5:2 ✺
    06.08.2025 Feyenoord - Fenerbahçe 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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