Benfica vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Benfica - Fenerbahçe
Result
1:0
27/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belarusBelarusOkko Sport
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
franceFranceCanal+ Live 3, CANAL+ Sport 360
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
hungaryHungaryRTL+, Sport 1
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
irelandIrelandVirgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand, TVWan
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action, SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV5
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football, Supersport Maximo 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Prime
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 5, Virgin TV Go app
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN USA, Paramount+
uzbekistanUzbekistanZor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.37
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
81% (344/425)78% (296/380)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.330.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.00
Total shots
156
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
3310
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
44
Free Kicks
2010
Passes
81% (344/425)78% (296/380)
Long passes
43% (24/56)44% (23/52)
Passes in final third
67% (81/121)66% (44/67)
Crosses
46% (6/13)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.520.46
Throw-ins
1815
Fouls
1120
Tackles
33% (3/9)50% (13/26)
Duels won
5764
Clearances
921
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.74
Goals prevented
0.000.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Semedo N. ↓, Soyuncu C. ↑,
  • 30', Amrabat S. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Akturkoglu K. ⚽, Barreiro L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Amrabat S. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
  • 64', Lage B. 🟨,
  • 65', Muldur M. ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
  • 65', Brown A. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
  • 69', Barreiro L. 🟨,
  • 77', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Schjelderup A. ↑,
  • 77', Pavlidis V. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
  • 79', Talisca 🟨,
  • 82', Talisca 🟨,
  • 85', Silva A. 🟨,
  • 87', Soyuncu C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Benfica
57.2%		Draw
23.5%		Fenerbahçe
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.3% 25.3% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 24.3% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Benfica's performance.
  • Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
    •

    Benfica - Fenerbahçe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.66 ↓
    (1.87)    		 4.04 ↑
    (3.8)    		 4.97 ↑
    (4.1)    		 5.1%
    (4.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Benfica - Fenerbahçe?
  • Users Predictions: 98 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 67 - 68.4%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 20 - 20.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 11.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 59.2% – 77.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Benfica (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Benfica will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3.
    • Benfica has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Fenerbahçe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Benfica is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Florentino (Red Card) Manu (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Inactive) Diego Carlos (Inactive) Fall A. (Inactive) Mimovic O. (Inactive) Mor E. (Inactive) Nene D. (Inactive) Rodrigo Becao (Knee Injury) Tosun C. (Groin Injury) Yandas M. (Knock)
    • We predict that Benfica will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    20.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Benfica 0:0
    26.07.2025 Benfica - Fenerbahçe 3:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    23.08.2025 Benfica - Tondela 3:0 ✺
    20.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Benfica 0:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Benfica 0:1 ✺
    12.08.2025 Benfica - Nice 2:0 ✺
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    23.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Kocaelispor 3:1 ✺
    20.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Benfica 0:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Göztepe - Fenerbahçe 0:0 ✺
    12.08.2025 Fenerbahçe - Feyenoord 5:2 ✺
    06.08.2025 Feyenoord - Fenerbahçe 2:1 ✺
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros0 : 3, 0 : 0
    2ShkendijaQarabag1 : 5, 0 : 1
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda1 : 1, 1 : 3
    4Dyn. KyivPafos0 : 2, 0 : 1
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava1 : 1, 1 : 0
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen0 : 5, 0 : 0
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce2 : 5, 2 : 1
    12NiceBenfica0 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RangersPlzen1 : 2, 3 : 0
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV2 : 3, 0 : 1

    Final
    1FerencvarosQarabag3 : 2, 1 : 3
    2Crvena zvezdaPafos1 : 1, 1 : 2
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4CelticKairat Almaty0 : 1, 0 : 0
    5BaselFC Copenhagen0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6FenerbahceBenfica0 : 1, 0 : 0
    7RangersClub Brugge KV0 : 6, 1 : 3
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