Result
0:2
02/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 20
- Referee: Akarsu A. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 2 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Connect, beIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 5 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (395/469) | 75% (251/333) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (395/469) | 75% (251/333) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (22/52) | 34% (20/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (84/124) | 51% (37/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 21 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.13 | 0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Alvarez E. 🟨,
- 26', Rivas R. 🟨,
- 40', Inan S. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Asensio M. ⚽, Talisca (A),
- 45+4', Linetty K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Muldur M. 🟨,
- 60', Alvarez E. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
- 61', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Akturkoglu K. ↑,
- 61', Musaba A. ↓, Nene D. ↑,
- 69', Linetty K. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
- 69', Keles C. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
- 72', Talisca ↓, Fred ↑,
- 75', 0 - 2, Nene D. ⚽, Semedo N. (A),
- 79', Haidara M. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
- 85', Rivas R. ↓, Cinan M. ↑,
- 85', Keita H. ↓, Dursun S. ↑,
- 88', Asensio M. ↓, Demir Y. E. ↑,
- 89', Akturkoglu K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kocaelispor
18.6% | Draw
26.2% | Fenerbahçe
55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Kocaelispor have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Kocaelispor - Fenerbahçe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.07 ↑
(5.01) |
3.6 ↓
(3.94) |
1.71 ↑
(1.61) |
5.9%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Kocaelispor - Fenerbahçe?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1 - Fenerbahçe (2.21) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Fenerbahçe (1.25) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Fenerbahçe (1.20) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Fenerbahçe (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +2 - Fenerbahçe (4.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Fenerbahçe will win
(58 of 62 users predict this - 93.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 87.44% – 99.66%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (57 of 60 users predict this - 95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 72 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 69 - 95.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 4.2%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Fenerbahçe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Fenerbahçe is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Kocaelispor: Bingol T.
(Yellow Cards)
Wieteska M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Brown A.
(Injury)
Mercan L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E.
(Ankle Injury)
Duran J.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kocaelispor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Kocaelispor won against Fenerbahçe?
Kocaelispor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fenerbahçe won against Kocaelispor?
Fenerbahçe has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kocaelispor - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
23.08.2025
Fenerbahçe
-
Kocaelispor
3:1
Latest results of Kocaelispor
Latest results of Fenerbahçe
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas ✔ | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Kocaelispor | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 26:36 | -10 | 37 |
| 11 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 32 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 34 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 32 |
| 14 | Eyupspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:45 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Antalyaspor | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 29 |
| 16 | Genclerbirligi | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 32 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 24:58 | -34 | 27 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 28:53 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
Clinched Spots for Teams
Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
