Real Madrid vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid).

Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Canal+, DAZN 2
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	HBO Max
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Ecuador	ESPN
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
France	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player, Shabake 3
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Japan	Wowow Live
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, RTK 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Mexico	FOX One
Mongolia	Premier Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
Poland	Canal+ Extra 4
Portugal	Sport TV5, Sport TV+
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, RTS 1
Singapore	beIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Kanal A, Nova Sport 6, Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, VTV Prime
World	Sport 24

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.11	1.98
Ball possession
56%	44%
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	4
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
4	7
Passes
90% (512/568)	86% (380/440)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.11	1.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.94	1.88
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
4	5
Shots inside the box
10	8
Shots outside the box
4	4
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
4	7
Touches in opposition box
21	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
10	16
Passes
90% (512/568)	86% (380/440)
Long passes
53% (25/47)	47% (17/36)
Passes in final third
80% (92/115)	66% (68/103)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.70	1.18
Throw ins
9	12
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
50% (8/16)	44% (7/16)
Duels won
43	50
Clearances
18	20
Interceptions
7	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.88	0.94
Goals prevented
0.88	-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Rafa Silva ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Tchouameni A. ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
35', Rios R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Otamendi N. 🟨,
57', Asencio R. 🟨,
77', Asencio R. ↓, Alaba D. ↑,
77', Camavinga E. ↓, Mastantuono F. ↑,
80', 2 - 1, Vinicius Junior ⚽, Valverde F. (A),
84', Garcia G. ↓, Pitarch T. ↑,
84', Guler A. ↓, Palacios C. ↑,
85', Schjelderup A. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
85', Aursnes F. ↓, Barrenechea E. ↑,
90+1', Carreras A. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
90+1', Barreiro L. ↓, Lopes Cabral S. ↑,
90+6', Palacios C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Real Madrid
56.5%

Draw
23%

Benfica
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

19.4%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

18.8%

15.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid's form might have worsened.

Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Real Madrid - Benfica Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.48)	4.24 ↓ (4.92)	4.81 ↓ (5.89)	3.4% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Benfica?

Users Predictions: 111 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 95 - 85.6%). Benfica will win (votes: 6 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 79.1% – 92.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Real (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1 - Benfica (1.63) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Benfica (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Benfica (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Real (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Real (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Real (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Real (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (36 of 38 users predict this - 94.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 50 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 44 - 88%). Benfica (votes: 5 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
In this match, Real is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Hamstring Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Huijsen D. (Muscle Injury) Mbappe K. (Knee Injury) Rodrygo (Red Card)
There will not play in Benfica: Felix N. (Knee Injury) Prestianni G. (Suspended) Soares S. (Injury) Veloso J. (Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Benfica: Sudakov G. (Back Injury)
We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Benfica?

Real Madrid has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Real Madrid?

Benfica has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Benfica were as follows:

17.02.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 0:1

28.01.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 4:2

Latest results of Real Madrid

21.02.2026 Osasuna - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 4:1 ✺

08.02.2026 Valencia - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

01.02.2026 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Benfica

21.02.2026 Benfica - AVS 3:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

13.02.2026 Santa Clara - Benfica 1:2 ✺

08.02.2026 Benfica - Alverca 2:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Tondela - Benfica 0:0 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/16-finals

1	Monaco (21)	PSG (11)	2 : 2, 2 : 3
2	Chelsea (6)	Bye
3	Galatasaray (20)	Juventus (13)	2 : 3, 5 : 2
4	Liverpool (3)	Bye
5	Benfica (24)	Real Madrid (9)	1 : 2, 0 : 1
6	Manchester City (8)	Bye
7	Dortmund (17)	Atalanta (15)	1 : 4, 2 : 0
8	Bayern Munich (2)	Bye
9	Qarabag (22)	Newcastle (12)	2 : 3, 1 : 6
10	Barcelona (5)	Bye
11	Club Brugge KV (19)	Atl. Madrid (14)	1 : 4, 3 : 3
12	Tottenham (4)	Bye
13	Bodo/Glimt (23)	Inter (10)	2 : 1, 3 : 1
14	Sporting CP (7)	Bye
15	Olympiacos Piraeus (18)	Bayer Leverkusen (16)	0 : 0, 0 : 2
16	Arsenal (1)	Bye

1/8-finals

1	PSG (11)	Chelsea (6)	5 : 2
2	Galatasaray (20)	Liverpool (3)	1 : 0
3	Real Madrid (9)	Manchester City (8)	3 : 0
4	Atalanta (15)	Bayern Munich (2)	1 : 6
5	Newcastle (12)	Barcelona (5)	1 : 1
6	Atl. Madrid (14)	Tottenham (4)	5 : 2
7	Bodo/Glimt (23)	Sporting CP (7)	3 : 0
8	Bayer Leverkusen (16)	Arsenal (1)	1 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4
3	TBD #5	TBD #6
4	TBD #7	TBD #8

Semi-finals

1	TBD #1	TBD #2
2	TBD #3	TBD #4

Final

1

TBD #1

TBD #2