Benfica vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

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Chances of winning

Benfica
25.7%

Draw
24.2%

Real Madrid
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

23.5%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

22.9%

51.6%

Benfica - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 (3.67)	3.99 ↓ (4.09)	1.92 ↑ (1.91)	4.5% (4.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Benfica - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Real will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 50.5% – 99.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.

Preview Facts

First leg.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Real is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 4.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 4.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Real Madrid?

Benfica has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Benfica?

Real Madrid has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Real Madrid were as follows:

28.01.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 4:2

Latest results of Benfica

08.02.2026 Benfica - Alverca 2:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Tondela - Benfica 0:0 ✺

28.01.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 4:2 ✺

25.01.2026 Benfica - Estrela da Amadora 4:0 ✺

21.01.2026 Juventus - Benfica 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

08.02.2026 Valencia - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

01.02.2026 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

28.01.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 4:2 ✺

24.01.2026 Villarreal - Real Madrid 0:2 ✺

20.01.2026 Real Madrid - Monaco 6:1 ✺

UEFA Champions League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23:4	19	24
2	Bayern Munich	8	7	0	1	22:8	14	21
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	20:8	12	18
4	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	17:7	10	17
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	22:14	8	16
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	17:10	7	16
7	Sporting CP	8	5	1	2	17:11	6	16
8	Manchester City	8	5	1	2	15:9	6	16
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	21:12	9	15
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	15:7	8	15
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	21:11	10	14
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	17:7	10	14
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	14:10	4	13
14	Atl. Madrid	8	4	1	3	17:15	2	13
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	10:10	0	13
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	13:14	-1	12
17	Dortmund	8	3	2	3	19:17	2	11
18	Olympiacos Piraeus	8	3	2	3	10:14	-4	11
19	Club Brugge KV	8	3	1	4	15:17	-2	10
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	9:11	-2	10
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	8:14	-6	10
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	13:21	-8	10
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	3	3	14:15	-1	9
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	10:12	-2	9
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	11:14	-3	9
26	Pafos	8	2	3	3	8:11	-3	9
27	Royale Union SG	8	3	0	5	8:17	-9	9
28	PSV	8	2	2	4	16:16	0	8
29	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	9:14	-5	8
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	9:15	-6	8
31	FC Copenhagen	8	2	2	4	12:21	-9	8
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	8:21	-13	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	10:21	-11	4
34	Slavia Prague	8	0	3	5	5:19	-14	3
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	5:18	-13	1
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	7:22	-15	1

Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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