Real Madrid vs Benfica – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaCanal+, DAZN 2
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIctimai TV
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 2, Pickx+ Sports 2, RTL Club, RTL Play, VTM 2, VTM GO
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilHBO Max
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaiQIYI, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
franceFranceCANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, Now Player
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
irelandIrelandRTE 2, RTE Player, Shabake 3
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
japanJapanWowow Live
kazakhstanKazakhstanQazsport
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3, RTK 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoFOX One
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 1
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 4
portugalPortugalSport TV5, Sport TV+
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3, RTS 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1, beIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaKanal A, Nova Sport 6, Voyo
south-africaSouth-africaSupersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyTabii Spor 1, Tabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus, VTV Prime
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.111.98
Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
47
Passes
90% (512/568)86% (380/440)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
1.111.98
xG on target (xGOT)
0.941.88
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
63
Blocked shots
45
Shots inside the box
108
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
22
Corner kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2130
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1016
Passes
90% (512/568)86% (380/440)
Long passes
53% (25/47)47% (17/36)
Passes in final third
80% (92/115)66% (68/103)
Crosses
18% (2/11)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.18
Throw ins
912
Fouls
1610
Tackles
50% (8/16)44% (7/16)
Duels won
4350
Clearances
1820
Interceptions
77
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.880.94
Goals prevented
0.88-1.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Rafa Silva ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Tchouameni A. , Valverde F. (A),
  • 35', Rios R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', Otamendi N. 🟨,
  • 57', Asencio R. 🟨,
  • 77', Asencio R. , Alaba D. ,
  • 77', Camavinga E. , Mastantuono F. ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, Vinicius Junior , Valverde F. (A),
  • 84', Garcia G. , Pitarch T. ,
  • 84', Guler A. , Palacios C. ,
  • 85', Schjelderup A. , Ivanovic F. ,
  • 85', Aursnes F. , Barrenechea E. ,
  • 90+1', Carreras A. , Garcia F. ,
  • 90+1', Barreiro L. , Lopes Cabral S. ,
  • 90+6', Palacios C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
56.5%
Draw
23%
Benfica
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 19.4% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7% 18.8% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid's form might have worsened.
  • Benfica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Madrid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Real Madrid - Benfica Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.48)
    4.24
    (4.92)
    4.81
    (5.89)
    3.4%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Benfica?
  • Users Predictions: 111 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 95 - 85.6%). Benfica will win (votes: 6 - 5.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 79.1%92.1%. The data is statistically significant.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Real (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -1 - Benfica (1.63) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Benfica (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Benfica (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Real (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Real (1.75) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Real (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Real (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (36 of 38 users predict this - 94.74%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 50 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 44 - 88%). Benfica (votes: 5 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 1-0. Second leg.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • In this match, Real is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Bellingham J. (Hamstring Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Huijsen D. (Muscle Injury) Mbappe K. (Knee Injury) Rodrygo (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Benfica: Felix N. (Knee Injury) Prestianni G. (Suspended) Soares S. (Injury) Veloso J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There are questionable in Benfica: Sudakov G. (Back Injury)
    • We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.52.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1.7:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Benfica were as follows:
    17.02.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 0:1
    28.01.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 4:2
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    21.02.2026 Osasuna - Real Madrid 2:1
    17.02.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 0:1
    08.02.2026 Valencia - Real Madrid 0:2
    Latest results of Benfica
    21.02.2026 Benfica - AVS 3:0
    17.02.2026 Benfica - Real Madrid 0:1
    13.02.2026 Santa Clara - Benfica 1:2
    08.02.2026 Benfica - Alverca 2:1
    01.02.2026 Tondela - Benfica 0:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Chelsea (6)Bye
    3Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    4Liverpool (3)Bye
    5Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    6Manchester City (8)Bye
    7Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    8Bayern Munich (2)Bye
    9Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    10Barcelona (5)Bye
    11Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    14Sporting CP (7)Bye
    15Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    16Arsenal (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1PSG (11)Chelsea (6)5 : 2
    2Galatasaray (20)Liverpool (3)1 : 0
    3Real Madrid (9)Manchester City (8)3 : 0
    4Atalanta (15)Bayern Munich (2)1 : 6
    5Newcastle (12)Barcelona (5)1 : 1
    6Atl. Madrid (14)Tottenham (4)5 : 2
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Sporting CP (7)3 : 0
    8Bayer Leverkusen (16)Arsenal (1)1 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2