Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/12/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Benfica
38.7%
Draw
28.4%
Sporting Lisbon
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.5% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 28.7% 31%

Benfica - Sporting Lisbon Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.44
(2.29)
3.33
(3.23)
2.87
(2.95)
5.8%
(8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2.
  • Benfica is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Sporting is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
  • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 2.1:1.8).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
31.07.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 0:1
25.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:3
10.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
11.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:2
29.12.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:0
Latest results of Benfica
29.11.2025 Nacional - Benfica 1:2
25.11.2025 Ajax - Benfica 0:2
21.11.2025 Atlético CP - Benfica 0:2
09.11.2025 Benfica - Casa Pia 2:2
05.11.2025 Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1FC Porto11101024:32131
2Sporting CP1191127:62128
3Benfica1284025:71828
4Gil Vicente1172216:51123
5Famalicao1255213:7620
6Moreirense1261518:17119
7Vitoria Guimaraes1252514:17-317
8Braga1144319:11816
9Alverca1242614:19-514
10Estoril1134419:17213
11Nacional1233612:17-512
12Rio Ave1126314:19-512
13Estrela1125413:14-111
14Santa Clara113269:13-411
15Casa Pia1223713:26-139
16Arouca1123613:30-179
17Tondela111376:20-146
18AFS120398:29-213

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2