Benfica vs Sporting Lisbon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
1:1
05/12/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 13
  • Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkBold+
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungarySport 2
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalBenfica TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.50
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
83% (296/356)87% (452/522)
Yellow Cards
25
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.61
Total shots
105
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
53
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
1310
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
2015
Passes
83% (296/356)87% (452/522)
Long passes
40% (12/30)52% (17/33)
Passes in final third
73% (74/102)74% (69/93)
Crosses
15% (2/13)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.410.44
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
1520
Tackles
58% (14/24)63% (12/19)
Duels won
6050
Clearances
1417
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.611.59
Goals prevented
-0.390.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Goncalves P. ⚽, Hjulmand M. (A),
  • 27', 1 - 1, Sudakov G. ⚽, Dedic A. (A),
  • 30', Morita H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 56', Barreiro L. 🟨,
  • 61', Goncalves P. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
  • 61', Morita H. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
  • 65', Suarez L. 🟨,
  • 67', Pavlidis V. 🟨,
  • 72', Fresneda I. 🟨,
  • 75', Araujo M. 🟨,
  • 76', Goncalves P. 🟨,
  • 81', Sudakov G. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
  • 86', Trincao ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
  • 86', Pavlidis V. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
  • 86', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
  • 88', Barrenechea E. ↓, Manu ↑,
  • 90+2', Prestianni G. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Benfica
32.5%		Draw
30.4%		Sporting Lisbon
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.5% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 28.7% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Benfica's form might have worsened.
  • Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sporting Lisbon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Benfica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sporting Lisbon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Benfica - Sporting Lisbon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.92 ↑
    (2.29)    		 3.13 ↓
    (3.23)    		 2.56 ↓
    (2.95)    		 5.2%
    (8.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Benfica - Sporting Lisbon?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Sporting will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27% – 65.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sporting (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • EH +1 - Sporting (5.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Sporting (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 25%). Sporting (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2.
    • Benfica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Sporting is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Benfica: Araujo H. (Muscle Injury) Bah A. (Knee Injury) Bruma (Achilles Tendon Injury) Felix N. (Knee Injury) Lukebakio D. (Broken ankle)
    • There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D. (Knee Injury) Debast Z. (Injury) Ioannidis F. (Knee Injury) Santos N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 2.1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
    31.07.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 0:1
    25.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:3
    10.05.2025 Benfica - Sporting Lisbon 1:1
    11.01.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:2
    29.12.2024 Sporting Lisbon - Benfica 1:0
    Latest results of Benfica
    29.11.2025 Nacional - Benfica 1:2 ✺
    25.11.2025 Ajax - Benfica 0:2 ✺
    21.11.2025 Atlético CP - Benfica 0:2 ✺
    09.11.2025 Benfica - Casa Pia 2:2 ✺
    05.11.2025 Benfica - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    30.11.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Estrela da Amadora 4:0 ✺
    26.11.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Club Brugge 3:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Sporting Lisbon - Marinhense 3:0
    08.11.2025 Santa Clara - Sporting Lisbon 1:2 ✺
    04.11.2025 Juventus - Sporting Lisbon 1:1 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto23202144:73762
    2Sporting CP23184159:124758
    3Benfica23167049:133655
    4Braga23126548:222642
    5Gil Vicente23117534:211340
    6Famalicao23105829:21835
    7Estoril2396846:39733
    8Moreirense231031029:33-433
    9Vitoria Guimaraes23941027:34-731
    10Alverca23751123:38-1526
    11Arouca23751131:49-1826
    12Estrela23581026:41-1523
    13Casa Pia23571125:43-1822
    14Nacional23561227:34-721
    15Rio Ave23481123:44-2120
    16Santa Clara23461318:29-1118
    17Tondela23461317:36-1918
    18AFS23151718:57-398

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

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