Result
1:1
05/12/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 13
- Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Benfica TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (296/356) | 87% (452/522) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (296/356) | 87% (452/522) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 52% (17/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/102) | 74% (69/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.39 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 0 - 1, Goncalves P. ⚽, Hjulmand M. (A),
- 27', 1 - 1, Sudakov G. ⚽, Dedic A. (A),
- 30', Morita H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 56', Barreiro L. 🟨,
- 61', Goncalves P. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
- 61', Morita H. ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
- 65', Suarez L. 🟨,
- 67', Pavlidis V. 🟨,
- 72', Fresneda I. 🟨,
- 75', Araujo M. 🟨,
- 76', Goncalves P. 🟨,
- 81', Sudakov G. ↓, Prestianni G. ↑,
- 86', Trincao ↓, Alisson Santos ↑,
- 86', Pavlidis V. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
- 86', Suarez L. ↓, Ioannidis F. ↑,
- 88', Barrenechea E. ↓, Manu ↑,
- 90+2', Prestianni G. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Benfica
32.5% | Draw
30.4% | Sporting Lisbon
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Benfica - Sporting Lisbon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.29) |
3.13 ↓
(3.23) |
2.56 ↓
(2.95) |
5.2%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Benfica - Sporting Lisbon?
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Sporting will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27% – 65.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Sporting (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- EH +1 - Sporting (5.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Sporting (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Benfica (votes: 2 - 25%). Sporting (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 2.
- Benfica is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sporting is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Benfica: Araujo H.
(Muscle Injury)
Bah A.
(Knee Injury)
Bruma
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Lukebakio D.
(Broken ankle)
- There will not play in Sporting: Braganca D.
(Knee Injury)
Debast Z.
(Injury)
Ioannidis F.
(Knee Injury)
Santos N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 2.1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Sporting Lisbon?
Benfica has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Benfica?
Sporting Lisbon has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Sporting Lisbon were as follows:
31.07.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
0:1
25.05.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:3
10.05.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:1
11.01.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
1:2
29.12.2024
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
1:0
Latest results of Benfica
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 20 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 41:6 | 35 | 55 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 54:11 | 43 | 51 |
| 3 | Benfica | 20 | 13 | 7 | 0 | 42:11 | 31 | 46 |
| 4 | Braga | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 41:18 | 23 | 36 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 29:16 | 13 | 34 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 26:27 | -1 | 30 |
| 7 | Estoril | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 41:33 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Famalicao | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 24:19 | 5 | 29 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 21:27 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Alverca | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 20:34 | -14 | 24 |
| 11 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:30 | -3 | 20 |
| 12 | Estrela | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 24:37 | -13 | 20 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22:38 | -16 | 20 |
| 14 | Arouca | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23:44 | -21 | 20 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 22:39 | -17 | 18 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 16:25 | -9 | 17 |
| 17 | Tondela | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12:33 | -21 | 13 |
| 18 | AFS | 20 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14:51 | -37 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
