Result
2:0
12/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 29
- Referee: Verissimo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 4 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 2 |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Portugal | Benfica TV, BTV Online |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.43 | 0.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (405/467) | 81% (287/355) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.43 | 0.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.34 | 0.64 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 21 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 58 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (405/467) | 81% (287/355) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (26/42) | 45% (30/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (122/165) | 65% (37/57) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (9/27) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 60% (15/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.64 | 3.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Schjelderup A. ⚽, Prestianni G. (A),
- 14', 2 - 0, Rafa Silva ⚽, Prestianni G. (A),
- 22', Dahl S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Witi 🟨,
- 56', Leo Santos 🟨,
- 58', Pavlidis V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', Matheus Dias 🟨,
- 61', Matheus Dias ↓, Soares F. ↑,
- 61', Witi ↓, Pablo Ruan ↑,
- 77', Pavlidis V. ↓, Ivanovic F. ↑,
- 78', Prestianni G. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
- 78', Rafa Silva ↓, Aursnes F. ↑,
- 79', Rios R. ↓, Barrenechea E. ↑,
- 83', Jose Gomes ↓, Vallier L. ↑,
- 83', Labidi C. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 90', Silva J. 🟨,
- 90+1', Daniel Junior ↓, Aurelio L. ↑,
- 90+2', Schjelderup A. ↓, Moreira G. ↑,
- 90+4', Vallier L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Benfica
82.4% | Draw
11.4% | Nacional
6.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
Benfica - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.15 ↑
(1.14) |
8.44 ↑
(8) |
15.61 ↓
(18) |
5.2%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Benfica - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Benfica will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Benfica: 68.4% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 4.
- Benfica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Benfica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Benfica is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Benfica: Aursnes F.
(Rest)
Bruma
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Felix N.
(Knee Injury)
Veloso J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Fernandes I.
(Injury)
Paulinho Boia
(Yellow Cards)
Ulisses
(Broken calfbone)
- There are questionable in Benfica: Barreiro L.
(Inactive)
Rego J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Aurelio J.
(Ankle Injury)
Baeza M.
(Injury)
Jose Gomes
(Injury)
Lucas Franca
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Benfica won 18 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 57:12. (average 2.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Benfica won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 30:3. (average 3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Nacional?
Benfica has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Benfica?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Benfica - Nacional were as follows:
29.11.2025
Nacional
-
Benfica
1:2
08.03.2025
Benfica
-
Nacional
3:0
19.12.2024
Nacional
-
Benfica
0:2
Latest results of Benfica
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
