Result
1:2
19/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 30
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport |
 Lithuania | Sport 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1, Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (416/490) | 75% (226/303) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 2.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (416/490) | 75% (226/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (22/44) | 32% (17/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (128/158) | 70% (92/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.36 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.85 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Suarez L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 27', 0 - 1, Schjelderup A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 36', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', Silva R. 🟨,
- 60', Diomande O. ↓, Debast Z. ↑,
- 61', Quaresma E. ↓, Vagiannidis G. ↑,
- 68', Pote ↓, Quenda G. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 1, Morita H. ⚽, Debast Z. (A),
- 75', Trubin A. 🟨,
- 78', Schjelderup A. ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
- 78', Ivanovic F. ↓, Pavlidis V. ↑,
- 78', Araujo T. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
- 78', Prestianni G. ↓, Lukebakio D. ↑,
- 88', Morita H. ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
- 88', Catamo G. ↓, Nel R. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Rafa Silva ⚽, Barreiro L. (A),
- 90+5', Barreiro L. ↓, Barrenechea E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sporting Lisbon
46.7% | Draw
26.5% | Benfica
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Benfica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Benfica than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Sporting Lisbon - Benfica Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↓
(2.07) |
3.57 ↓
(3.77) |
3.52 ↑
(3.23) |
5.6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sporting Lisbon - Benfica?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 13 - 52%). Benfica will win (votes: 4 - 16%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting: 32.4% – 71.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Sporting (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Sporting will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Sporting: Fresneda I.
(Muscle Injury)
Ioannidis F.
(Knee Injury)
Luis Guilherme
(Ankle Injury)
Santos N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Benfica: Araujo T.
(Inactive)
Bruma
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Benfica: Rego J.
(Inactive)
Rios R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Sporting Lisbon won against Benfica?
Sporting Lisbon has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Benfica won against Sporting Lisbon?
Benfica has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Benfica were as follows:
05.12.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:1
31.07.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
0:1
25.05.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:3
10.05.2025
Benfica
-
Sporting Lisbon
1:1
11.01.2025
Sporting Lisbon
-
Benfica
1:2
Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
Latest results of Benfica
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 31 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 63:15 | 48 | 82 |
| 2 | Benfica | 31 | 22 | 9 | 0 | 67:20 | 47 | 75 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 59:31 | 28 | 56 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 39:27 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 49 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 34:45 | -11 | 39 |
| 9 | Alverca | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34:49 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Estoril | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51:52 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Arouca | 31 | 10 | 5 | 16 | 39:60 | -21 | 35 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 34 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 28:38 | -10 | 32 |
| 14 | Nacional | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:51 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 29:55 | -26 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 23:52 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 22:65 | -43 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
