Berceo vs Arnedo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
14/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Andreica M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 75', 1 - 2, Martinez J. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Berceo
20.2%
Draw
28.7%
Arnedo
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 26.7% 48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7% 25.7% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Berceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • Berceo - Arnedo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.53
    (3.67)
    3.18
    (3.4)
    1.79
    (1.87)
    9.4%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Arnedo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Berceo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Berceo - Arnedo were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Arnedo - Berceo 0:1
    27.10.2024 Berceo - Arnedo 0:1
    24.03.2024 Arnedo - Berceo 1:0
    05.11.2023 Berceo - Arnedo 0:0
    Latest results of Berceo
    08.02.2026 San Marcial - Berceo 1:1
    01.02.2026 Berceo - La Calzada 1:1
    25.01.2026 Varea - Berceo 1:0
    18.01.2026 Berceo - Peña Balsamaiso 1:0
    10.01.2026 Berceo - Autol 5:0
    Latest results of Arnedo
    01.02.2026 Oyonesa - Arnedo 1:3
    18.01.2026 Anguiano - Arnedo 2:1
    10.01.2026 Haro Deportivo - Arnedo 2:2
    04.01.2026 Arnedo - Agoncillo 1:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B27198068:194965
    2Varea27194444:212361
    3Arnedo27158458:233553
    4Oyonesa27154842:321049
    5Anguiano27147639:251449
    6Calahorra27139563:194448
    7Agoncillo27117946:361040
    8Haro Deportivo271161042:40239
    9Yague27910841:36537
    10Vianes27971133:36-334
    11Comillas27941426:46-2031
    12San Marcial27861329:46-1730
    13Berceo27791130:38-830
    14Pradejon27771322:34-1228
    15CDFC Calzada27761431:47-1627
    16Villegas27741629:55-2625
    17Autol27342017:64-4713
    18Pena Balsamaiso270101718:61-4310

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          Relegation