Numancia vs Bergantiños – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
18/01/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Fito ,
  • 16', 1 - 1, Oliveira I. ,
  • 21', 2 - 1, Jony ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 90+1', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Numancia
51.2%
Draw
27.6%
Bergantiños
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.7% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8% 29% 20.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Numancia - Bergantiños Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.8)
    3.3
    (3.26)
    4.27
    (4.13)
    10.1%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Numancia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bergantiños is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Numancia is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Numancia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Numancia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Numancia - Bergantiños were as follows:
    21.09.2025 Bergantiños - Numancia 3:1
    02.02.2025 Numancia - Bergantiños 1:0
    21.09.2024 Bergantiños - Numancia 1:1
    Latest results of Numancia
    Latest results of Bergantiños
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril28169346:182857
    2Oviedo B28158545:281753
    3Gimnastica Segoviana28139633:27648
    4UD Ourense28128832:28444
    5Salamanca28128838:29944
    6Real Avila28128839:39044
    7Coruxo FC281261036:30642
    8Numancia28118935:29641
    9Atl. Astorga281171034:32240
    10Bergantinos28109932:28439
    11Marino de Luanco288101023:22134
    12Rayo Cantabria28615748:40833
    13Sarriana28961332:34-233
    14Langreo28891125:32-733
    15Valladolid Promesas28791245:51-630
    16Burgos CF B285111232:48-1626
    17Lealtad28661621:39-1824
    18UD Samano ✔ 28361921:63-4215

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    UD Samano is Relegated to