Bergantiños vs Numancia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Bergantiños - Numancia
Result
3:1
21/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 3

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', 1 - 0, Saez M. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 65', 2 - 0, Saez M. ,
  • 83', 2 - 1, Garcia D. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Bergantiños
24.4%
Draw
31.5%
Numancia
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33% 28.2% 38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 27.9% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bergantiños has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bergantiños's form might have worsened.
  • Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bergantiños than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bergantiños, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Bergantiños - Numancia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.77
    (2.82)
    2.93
    (3.3)
    2.09
    (2.4)
    8.5%
    (7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Bergantiños - Numancia?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.25 - Numancia (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Bergantiños has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Numancia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bergantiños may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Numancia has had a series of home games.
    • Numancia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bergantiños won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Bergantiños won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bergantiños - Numancia were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Numancia - Bergantiños 1:0
    21.09.2024 Bergantiños - Numancia 1:1
    Latest results of Bergantiños
    Latest results of Numancia
    14.09.2025 Numancia - Rayo Cantabria 2:1
    06.09.2025 Lealtad - Numancia 1:1
    28.08.2025 Numancia - Conquense 1:2
    22.08.2025 Numancia - Tarazona 0:1
    09.08.2025 Numancia - Utebo 0:2
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Fabril550014:31115
    2Real Avila44008:3512
    3R. Oviedo B43109:5410
    4Gimnastica Segoviana42116:337
    5Salamanca42116:427
    6Marino de Luanco42114:227
    7Numancia42115:507
    8Sarriana42026:516
    9Bergantinos41217:615
    10Coruxo FC41215:505
    11Rayo Cantabria51226:7-15
    12Valladolid Promesas41125:7-24
    13Langreo50325:8-33
    14Burgos CF B40312:5-33
    15Atl. Astorga51044:12-83
    16Lealtad40223:6-32
    17UD Ourense40131:4-31
    18UD Samano40133:9-61

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