Result
1:2
03/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 18
- Referee: Kabakov G. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Martin D. 🟨,
- 24', Masogo A. 🟨,
- 30', Martin D. ↓, Joao Bandaro ↑,
- 45', Alarcon F. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Sonha T. ⚽, Salido Tajero A. (A),
- 45+4', Drobarov V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Calcan A. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Lazarov G. ⚽,
- 64', Beyhan B. ↓, Teles D. ↑,
- 68', Weslen Junior 🟨,
- 69', Alarcon F. ↓, Valbuena Y. ↑,
- 71', Drobarov V. ↓, Tombak E. ↑,
- 71', Weslen Junior ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,
- 77', Teles D. 🟨,
- 79', Joao Bandaro 🟨,
- 87', Dabo A. ↓, Nene ↑,
- 87', Masogo A. ↓, Caio Lopes ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Gustavo Franca ⚽,
Chances of winning
Beroe Stara Zagora
19.8% | Draw
27.8% | Cherno More Varna
52.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beroe Stara Zagora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Cherno More Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cherno More Varna than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Beroe Stara Zagora - Cherno More Varna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.69 ↓
(4.7) |
3.33 ↑
(3.3) |
1.79 ↑
(1.72) |
7.4%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Beroe Stara Zagora - Cherno More Varna?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Cherno More will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cherno More: 40% – 93.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Cherno More (1.95) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cherno More Varna will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cherno More (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 1.
- Beroe is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Cherno More has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Cherno More is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Beroe won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Beroe Stara Zagora won against Cherno More Varna?
Beroe Stara Zagora has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cherno More Varna won against Beroe Stara Zagora?
Cherno More Varna has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beroe Stara Zagora - Cherno More Varna were as follows:
04.08.2025
Cherno More Varna
-
Beroe Stara Zagora
4:0
18.04.2025
Cherno More Varna
-
Beroe Stara Zagora
1:1
09.11.2024
Beroe Stara Zagora
-
Cherno More Varna
0:1
09.03.2024
Beroe Stara Zagora
-
Cherno More Varna
2:0
15.09.2023
Cherno More Varna
-
Beroe Stara Zagora
2:0
Latest results of Beroe Stara Zagora
Latest results of Cherno More Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia ✔ | 27 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 60:19 | 41 | 65 |
| 2 | Ludogorets ✔ | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 54:19 | 35 | 56 |
| 3 | CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 45:28 | 17 | 53 |
| 4 | CSKA Sofia | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 38:22 | 16 | 49 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 32:19 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Lok. Plovdiv | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 28:32 | -4 | 41 |
| 7 | Arda | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 30:25 | 5 | 38 |
| 8 | Slavia Sofia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 32:30 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Botev Vratsa | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 21:23 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 34 |
| 11 | Botev Plovdiv | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Dobrudzha ✔ | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 21:37 | -16 | 25 |
| 13 | Spartak Varna ✔ | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 24:45 | -21 | 23 |
| 14 | Beroe ✔ | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 22 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia ✔ | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 23:57 | -34 | 21 |
| 16 | Montana ✔ | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 14:42 | -28 | 16 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
