Beroe Stara Zagora vs Spartak Varna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bulgarian Parva Liga
Result
0:0
21/11/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • efbet League - Round 16
  • Referee: Stalev D. (Bul)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
31
Corner Kicks
312
Yellow Cards
03
Red Cards
10
Total shots
109
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
78
Corner Kicks
312
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
612
Throw-ins
1916
Fouls
114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 40', Lozev D. 🟨,
  • 44', Salomoni J. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 50', Yordanov D. 🟨,
  • 68', Yordanov D. ↓, Pahama N. ↑,
  • 72', Dabo A. ↓, Sonha T. ↑,
  • 73', Dual W. ↓, Caio Lopes ↑,
  • 74', Juric-Petrasilo M. 🟨,
  • 86', Nene ↓, Masogo A. ↑,
  • 87', Ivanov D. ↓, Marinov T. ↑,
  • 90+2', Salido Tajero A. ↓, Georgiev M. ↑,

Chances of winning


Beroe Stara Zagora
47.4%		Draw
28.6%		Spartak Varna
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 27.9% 19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 28.5% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Beroe Stara Zagora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Beroe Stara Zagora's form might have worsened.
  • Spartak Varna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beroe Stara Zagora than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Beroe Stara Zagora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
    •

    Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.96 ↑
    (1.76)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.3)    		 3.94 ↓
    (4.7)    		 7.1%
    (8.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Beroe will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Spartak Varna will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Beroe: 46.5% – 86.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Beroe Stara Zagora will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 4.
    • Beroe is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Spartak Varna has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Beroe is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Beroe won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.4:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Beroe won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna were as follows:
    21.07.2025 Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora 0:0
    26.05.2025 Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna 3:1
    10.05.2025 Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora 1:2
    01.03.2025 Spartak Varna - Beroe Stara Zagora 0:3
    18.10.2024 Beroe Stara Zagora - Spartak Varna 3:0
    Latest results of Beroe Stara Zagora
    08.11.2025 Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe Stara Zagora 1:0 ✺
    03.11.2025 Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Sofia 1:3 ✺
    29.10.2025 Vitosha Bistritsa - Beroe Stara Zagora 1:0
    26.10.2025 CSKA Sofia - Beroe Stara Zagora 5:1 ✺
    20.10.2025 Beroe Stara Zagora - Montana 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Spartak Varna
    07.11.2025 Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia 1:4 ✺
    01.11.2025 Dobrudzha Dobrich - Spartak Varna 2:0 ✺
    28.10.2025 Yambol - Spartak Varna 1:3
    24.10.2025 Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv 3:2 ✺
    18.10.2025 Ludogorets Razgrad - Spartak Varna 1:1 ✺
    Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Levski Sofia ✔ 27212460:194165
    2Ludogorets ✔ 27168354:193556
    3CSKA 1948 Sofia ✔ 27165645:281753
    4CSKA Sofia27147638:221649
    5Cherno More271110632:191343
    6Lok. Plovdiv271011628:32-441
    7Arda27108930:25538
    8Slavia Sofia27981032:30235
    9Botev Vratsa27810921:23-234
    10Lok. Sofia27810936:34234
    11Botev Plovdiv27961231:36-533
    12Dobrudzha ✔ 27741621:37-1625
    13Spartak Varna ✔ 274111224:45-2123
    14Beroe ✔ 274101318:39-2122
    15Septemvri Sofia ✔ 27631823:57-3421
    16Montana ✔ 27371714:42-2816

          Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
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          efbet League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Levski Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Ludogorets is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    CSKA 1948 Sofia is Qualified for efbet League (Championship Group )
    Dobrudzha is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Spartak Varna is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Beroe is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Septemvri Sofia is efbet League (Relegation Group )
    Montana is efbet League (Relegation Group )
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