Kastrioti vs Besa Kavajë – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
Postponed
23/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Kategoria e Parë - Round 12
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldFIFA+

Chances of winning


Kastrioti
27.3%
Draw
27.3%
Besa Kavajë
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 27.7% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4% 28.6% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kastrioti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kastrioti's form might have worsened.
  • Besa Kavajë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Besa Kavajë's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kastrioti than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kastrioti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besa Kavajë than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Besa Kavajë, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (2.45)
    3.34
    (3.2)
    2.01
    (2.45)
    9.6%
    (12.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Besa Kavajë will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 10 in the zone Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 1.
    • Kastrioti has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Besa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kastrioti won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Kastrioti won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë 2:3
    08.12.2024 Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë 0:1
    16.09.2024 Besa Kavajë - Kastrioti 3:0
    14.04.2024 Besa Kavajë - Kastrioti 3:2
    25.02.2024 Kastrioti - Besa Kavajë 3:1
    Latest results of Kastrioti
    19.11.2025 Burreli - Kastrioti 5:2
    03.11.2025 Kukësi - Kastrioti 0:1
    25.10.2025 Pogradeci - Kastrioti 4:0
    Latest results of Besa Kavajë
    Albanian First Division Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Laci ✔ 33247260:233779
    2Skenderbeu ✔ 33245457:253277
    3Pogradeci ✔ 33208563:313268
    4Iliria Fushe-Kruje ✔ 3311121032:33-145
    5Besa Kavaje ✔ 331091441:43-239
    6Kastrioti ✔ 331161644:57-1339
    7Burreli339101427:45-1837
    8Korabi Peshkopi338121331:39-836
    9AF Luftetari ✔ 337131337:43-634
    10Kukesi ✔ 33871831:50-1931
    11Apolonia Fier ✔ 336101731:44-1328
    12Lushnja ✔ 335111726:47-2126

          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore
          Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )
          Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Laci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
    Skenderbeu is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore
    Pogradeci is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
    Iliria Fushe-Kruje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
    Besa Kavaje is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
    Kastrioti is Qualified for Abissnet Superiore (Promotion )
    AF Luftetari is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
    Kukesi is Kategoria e Paru00eb (Relegation)
    Apolonia Fier is Relegated to
    Lushnja is Relegated to