Result
2:2
26/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 0, Ngala H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 58', 1 - 1, Wafula D. ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 2, Mwavali K. ⚽,
- 87', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Bidco United
38% | Draw
31.6% | Mara Sugar
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bidco United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bidco United's performance.Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mara Sugar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bidco United than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bidco United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mara Sugar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bidco United - Mara Sugar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.38 ↓
(2.86) |
2.86 ↓
(2.93) |
2.98 ↑
(2.49) |
10.6%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Super League and 12).
- Bidco United is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Mara Sugar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mara Sugar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bidco United won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Bidco United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Bidco United won against Mara Sugar?
Bidco United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mara Sugar won against Bidco United?
Mara Sugar has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bidco United - Mara Sugar were as follows:
24.10.2025
Mara Sugar
-
Bidco United
0:0
16.03.2025
Mara Sugar
-
Bidco United
0:0
03.11.2024
Bidco United
-
Mara Sugar
0:2
Latest results of Bidco United
Latest results of Mara Sugar
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 38:15 | 23 | 49 |
| 2 | Leopards | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 30:14 | 16 | 43 |
| 3 | Shabana | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 34:23 | 11 | 38 |
| 5 | Police FC | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 20:14 | 6 | 37 |
| 6 | Muranga | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 31:25 | 6 | 36 |
| 7 | Tusker | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 34 |
| 8 | Bandari | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | KCB | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 32 |
| 10 | Nairobi United | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 29 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 22 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 28 |
| 12 | Mathare Utd | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 17:22 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Posta Rangers | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 23 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 15:25 | -10 | 22 |
| 15 | Bidco United | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:27 | -12 | 20 |
| 16 | Ulinzi Stars | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19:26 | -7 | 19 |
| 17 | APS Bomet | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 19 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15:33 | -18 | 14 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
