Result
1:1
30/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 32
- Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Sasere F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Zibo S. ↓, Farrugia A. ↑,
- 46', Bolanos M. ↓, Luke U. ↑,
- 46', Lopez F. ↓, Busuttil J. ↑,
- 59', Reid K. ↓, Vrcic J. ↑,
- 60', Macula ↓, Fenech K. ↑,
- 60', Caruana R. ↓, Diamanka C. ↑,
- 70', Vassallo S. ↓, Perkins L. ↑,
- 75', Agius ↓, Cauchi Z. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Luke U. ⚽,
- 76', Coppola A. ↓, Roni Santos ↑,
Chances of winning
Birkirkara
66% | Draw
20.4% | Mosta
13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birkirkara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Birkirkara's performance.Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mosta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-31.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birkirkara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+24.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mosta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Birkirkara - Mosta Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(2.6) |
4.62 ↑
(3.38) |
6.95 ↑
(2.46) |
6.2%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Birkirkara - Mosta?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Birkirkara (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Birkirkara (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Birkirkara will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Birkirkara (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Birkirkara has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.5:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birkirkara won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Birkirkara won against Mosta?
Birkirkara has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mosta won against Birkirkara?
Mosta has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birkirkara - Mosta were as follows:
14.02.2026
Mosta
-
Birkirkara
0:0
21.09.2025
Birkirkara
-
Mosta
2:0
19.04.2025
Birkirkara
-
Mosta
1:0
08.02.2025
Birkirkara
-
Mosta
2:0
29.11.2024
Birkirkara
-
Mosta
2:0
Latest results of Birkirkara
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Top 6 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 28:12 | 16 | 37 |
| 2 | Marsaxlokk | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:20 | 2 | 31 |
| 3 | Hamrun | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26:11 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Valletta | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Gzira | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 | Naxxar | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 20 |
