Mosta vs Żabbar St. Patrick – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
15/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 29
  • Referee: Barbara I. (Mlt)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
119
Shots on target
74
Corner kicks
68
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
119
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
45
Corner kicks
68

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 41', Leo Fernandes 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Emmanuel P. ,
  • 45+1', Figueiredo B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 64', Majok A. , Fontanella M. ,
  • 73', Agius 🟨,
  • 74', Vinicius Paiva , Im Y. W. ,
  • 81', Agius , Farrugia B. ,
  • 84', Figueiredo B. , Mota L. ,
  • 84', Cejas P. , Scicluna R. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Fontanella M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+3', Giancarlo , Diamanka C. ,
  • 90+3', Pedro Cacho , Kozic A. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Kozic A. ,

Chances of winning


Mosta
27.5%
Draw
27.1%
Żabbar St. Patrick
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 27.3% 45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 26.1% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mosta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Żabbar St. Patrick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.3
    (3.35)
    3.35
    (3.37)
    2
    (2.03)
    10.2%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • Mosta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Żabbar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Żabbar has had a series of away games.
    • Żabbar could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mosta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:10. (average 2.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mosta won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick were as follows:
    07.03.2026 Żabbar St. Patrick - Mosta 5:3
    12.12.2025 Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick 1:1
    24.10.2025 Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick 1:1
    29.03.2025 Żabbar St. Patrick - Mosta 1:2
    27.10.2024 Mosta - Żabbar St. Patrick 4:2
    Latest results of Mosta
    11.04.2026 Tarxien Rainbows - Mosta 2:2
    15.03.2026 Mosta - Hamrun Spartans 2:1
    03.03.2026 Gżira United - Mosta 2:1
    28.02.2026 Mosta - Marsaxlokk 1:2
    Latest results of Żabbar St. Patrick
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Top 6
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana16114128:121637
    2Marsaxlokk1694322:20231
    3Hamrun1684426:111528
    4Valletta1666421:13824
    5Gzira1663717:17021
    6Naxxar1655623:26-320