Bolton Wanderers vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Toughsheet Community Stadium (Bolton).

ENGLAND: League One - Round 35
Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.22	0.43
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Goal Attempts
14	7
Shots on Goal
5	5
Shots off Goal
3	1
Blocked Shots
6	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
6	3
Shots inside the Box
8	3
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
Free Kicks
21	9
Offsides
2	3
Fouls
9	21
Yellow Cards
5	3
Throw-ins
28	30
Touches in the Opposition Box
17	9
Passes
74% (239/324)	81% (388/480)
Passes in the final third
69% (78/113)	60% (78/129)
Crosses
22% (4/18)	5% (1/19)
Tackles
63% (10/16)	70% (16/23)
Clearances Total
34	27
Interceptions
5	2

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Hansson E. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, McAtee J. ⚽, Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
49', 2 - 1, Thomason G. ⚽, McAtee J. (A),
53', McAtee J. 🟨,
56', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, Sampsted A. ↑,
56', Hansson E. ↓, Harris L. ↑,
61', Morley A. 🟨,
67', Dowell K. ↓, Stansfield J. ↑,
68', May A. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
69', Mendes C. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
71', 3 - 1, Collins A. ⚽, Randall J. (A),
81', Iwata T. ↓, Bielik K. ↑,
84', McAtee J. ↓, Lolos K. ↑,
90+1', Thomason G. ↓, Matete J. ↑,
90+1', Morley A. ↓, Sheehan J. ↑,
90+8', Harris L. 🟨,
90+8', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
90+8', Johnston G. 🟨,
90+8', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
90+9', Klarer C. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bolton Wanderers
26%

Draw
28.1%

Birmingham City
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

27.6%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.7%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↓ (3.7)	3.38 ↓ (3.41)	2.05 ↑ (2)	5.8% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Birmingham will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 26.9% – 73.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.
Bolton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Birmingham is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.
Birmingham will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Injury) Dempsey K. (Injury) Etete K. (Injury) Santos R. (Injury)
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Injury) Dykes L. (Injury) Leonard M. (Inactive) Wright S. (Injury)
There are questionable in Bolton: Jones G. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Birmingham: Allsop R. (Injury) Anderson K. (Injury) Laird E. (Injury) Stansfield J. (Injury)
Last 13 head-to-head matches Bolton won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:12 (average 0.8:0.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Birmingham City?

Bolton Wanderers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Bolton Wanderers?

Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City were as follows:

22.10.2024 Birmingham City - Bolton Wanderers 2:0

Latest results of Bolton Wanderers

01.03.2025 Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers 0:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Leyton Orient 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Bolton Wanderers 2:3 ✺

11.02.2025 Wrexham - Bolton Wanderers 1:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town 4:3 ✺

Latest results of Birmingham City

01.03.2025 Birmingham City - Wycombe Wanderers 1:0 ✺

25.02.2025 Birmingham City - Leyton Orient 2:0 ✺

22.02.2025 Reading - Birmingham City 0:0 ✺

18.02.2025 Birmingham City - Bradford City 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 Birmingham City - Charlton Athletic 1:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship