Bolton Wanderers vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City
Result
3:1
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 35
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.43
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
147
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
31
Blocked Shots
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
219
Offsides
23
Fouls
921
Yellow Cards
53
Throw-ins
2830
Touches in the Opposition Box
179
Passes
74% (239/324)81% (388/480)
Passes in the final third
69% (78/113)60% (78/129)
Crosses
22% (4/18)5% (1/19)
Tackles
63% (10/16)70% (16/23)
Clearances Total
3427
Interceptions
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Hansson E. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, McAtee J. , Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Thomason G. , McAtee J. (A),
  • 53', McAtee J. 🟨,
  • 56', Gardner-Hickman T. , Sampsted A. ,
  • 56', Hansson E. , Harris L. ,
  • 61', Morley A. 🟨,
  • 67', Dowell K. , Stansfield J. ,
  • 68', May A. , Jutkiewicz L. ,
  • 69', Mendes C. , Randall J. ,
  • 71', 3 - 1, Collins A. , Randall J. (A),
  • 81', Iwata T. , Bielik K. ,
  • 84', McAtee J. , Lolos K. ,
  • 90+1', Thomason G. , Matete J. ,
  • 90+1', Morley A. , Sheehan J. ,
  • 90+8', Harris L. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Johnston G. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Klarer C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
26%
Draw
28.1%
Birmingham City
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 27.6% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 26.7% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.64
    (3.7)
    3.38
    (3.41)
    2.05
    (2)
    5.8%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Birmingham will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 26.9%73.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.
    • Bolton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Birmingham is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.
    • Birmingham will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Injury) Dempsey K. (Injury) Etete K. (Injury) Santos R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Injury) Dykes L. (Injury) Leonard M. (Inactive) Wright S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Jones G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Allsop R. (Injury) Anderson K. (Injury) Laird E. (Injury) Stansfield J. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Bolton won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:12 (average 0.8:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Birmingham City - Bolton Wanderers 2:0
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1282221:101126
    2Stevenage1181217:9825
    3Bradford City1274122:15725
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1381419:14525
    6Lincoln1273218:10824
    7Bolton1355318:15320
    8Huddersfield1261518:15319
    9Mansfield1253418:14418
    10Barnsley1153318:16218
    11Northampton1352610:12-217
    12Doncaster1352612:18-617
    13Wigan1344516:17-116
    14Luton1251614:15-116
    15Leyton Orient1342720:23-314
    16Reading1335514:18-414
    17Rotherham1242612:16-414
    18Wycombe1334615:16-113
    19Port Vale1334611:12-113
    20Exeter1341812:14-213
    21Plymouth1241717:21-413
    22Burton1233610:16-612
    23Peterborough123189:20-1110
    24Blackpool1323811:21-109

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two