Bolton Wanderers vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City
Result
3:1
04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League One - Round 35
  • Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.220.43
Ball Possession
41%59%
Goal Attempts
147
Shots on Goal
55
Shots off Goal
31
Blocked Shots
61
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
63
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
Free Kicks
219
Offsides
23
Fouls
921
Yellow Cards
53
Throw-ins
2830
Touches in the Opposition Box
179
Passes
74% (239/324)81% (388/480)
Passes in the final third
69% (78/113)60% (78/129)
Crosses
22% (4/18)5% (1/19)
Tackles
63% (10/16)70% (16/23)
Clearances Total
3427
Interceptions
52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Hansson E. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, McAtee J. , Dacres-Cogley J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Thomason G. , McAtee J. (A),
  • 53', McAtee J. 🟨,
  • 56', Gardner-Hickman T. , Sampsted A. ,
  • 56', Hansson E. , Harris L. ,
  • 61', Morley A. 🟨,
  • 67', Dowell K. , Stansfield J. ,
  • 68', May A. , Jutkiewicz L. ,
  • 69', Mendes C. , Randall J. ,
  • 71', 3 - 1, Collins A. , Randall J. (A),
  • 81', Iwata T. , Bielik K. ,
  • 84', McAtee J. , Lolos K. ,
  • 90+1', Thomason G. , Matete J. ,
  • 90+1', Morley A. , Sheehan J. ,
  • 90+8', Harris L. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Osei-Tutu J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Johnston G. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Forino-Joseph C. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Klarer C. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bolton Wanderers
26%
Draw
28.1%
Birmingham City
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 27.6% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 26.7% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.64
    (3.7)
    3.38
    (3.41)
    2.05
    (2)
    5.8%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Birmingham will win (votes: 9 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 26.9%73.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2.
    • Bolton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Birmingham is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Birmingham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Birmingham have a series of home games.
    • Birmingham will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bolton: Adeboyejo V. (Injury) Dempsey K. (Injury) Etete K. (Injury) Santos R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Injury) Dykes L. (Injury) Leonard M. (Inactive) Wright S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bolton: Jones G. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Birmingham: Allsop R. (Injury) Anderson K. (Injury) Laird E. (Injury) Stansfield J. (Injury)
    • Last 13 head-to-head matches Bolton won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:12 (average 0.8:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bolton Wanderers - Birmingham City were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Birmingham City - Bolton Wanderers 2:0
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Stevenage44008:3512
    2Cardiff43106:1510
    3Barnsley43108:4410
    4Bradford City43106:3310
    5Huddersfield43019:369
    6Luton43015:239
    7Lincoln43016:429
    8Stockport County42117:527
    9Leyton Orient42115:507
    10Doncaster42114:407
    11Exeter42026:426
    12Mansfield42026:516
    13Wigan42025:416
    14AFC Wimbledon42024:316
    15Bolton41214:405
    16Burton31114:404
    17Rotherham31022:5-33
    18Blackpool41036:11-53
    19Port Vale40222:4-22
    20Wycombe40133:6-31
    21Reading40132:7-51
    22Northampton40131:6-51
    23Plymouth40043:9-60
    24Peterborough40041:7-60

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two