Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 12
- Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (211/272) | 87% (597/689) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.28 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (211/272) | 87% (597/689) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (14/47) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (41/71) | 70% (105/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 18% (5/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 26 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', Twine S. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Armstrong S. ⚽, Atkinson R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', McCrorie R. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
- 61', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 61', Anderson K. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
- 62', Stansfield J. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
- 66', Iwata T. 🟨,
- 66', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
- 74', Armstrong S. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
- 75', Doyle T. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
- 84', Neumann P. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
- 85', Mehmeti A. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
- 85', Neto Borges ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
- 90+6', Twine S. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Bristol City
42.5% | Draw
28.7% | Birmingham City
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Bristol City - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↓
(2.48) |
3.31 ↑
(3.27) |
3.28 ↑
(2.79) |
4.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bristol City - Birmingham City?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Bristol City will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Bristol City might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M.
(Calf Injury)
Knight J.
(Injury)
McNally L.
(Knee Injury)
Pring C.
(Ankle Injury)
Stokes J.
(Foot Injury)
Williams J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Ducksch M.
(Calf Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Osayi-Samuel B.
(Yellow Cards)
Willumsson W. T.
(Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Birmingham City?
Bristol City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Bristol City?
Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Birmingham City were as follows:
29.12.2023
Birmingham City
-
Bristol City
0:0
19.08.2023
Bristol City
-
Birmingham City
0:2
14.01.2023
Bristol City
-
Birmingham City
4:2
08.10.2022
Birmingham City
-
Bristol City
3:0
Latest results of Bristol City
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 34:9 | 25 | 28 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Millwall | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 23 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 22 |
| 5 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13:8 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Charlton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Preston | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Hull | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | Leicester | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | West Brom | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:14 | -2 | 17 |
| 12 | Ipswich | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 13 | Swansea | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Watford | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 16 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 17 | Derby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Oxford Utd | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 12 |
| 20 | Southampton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 10 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 9:20 | -11 | 9 |
| 23 | Norwich | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:18 | -6 | 8 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
