Bristol City vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Bristol City - Birmingham City
Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 12
  • Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.280.60
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
513
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
06
Passes
78% (211/272)87% (597/689)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.280.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.240.00
Total shots
513
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
06
Touches in opposition box
1115
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
69
Passes
78% (211/272)87% (597/689)
Long passes
30% (14/47)41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
58% (41/71)70% (105/150)
Crosses
13% (1/8)18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.84
Throw-ins
1428
Fouls
96
Tackles
81% (13/16)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4026
Clearances
467
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
00
xGOT faced
0.000.24
Goals prevented
0.00-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 30', Twine S. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 0, Armstrong S. , Atkinson R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', McCrorie R. , Sykes M. ,
  • 61', Roberts P. , Koumas L. ,
  • 61', Anderson K. , Gray D. ,
  • 62', Stansfield J. , Furuhashi K. ,
  • 66', Iwata T. 🟨,
  • 66', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
  • 74', Armstrong S. , Mayulu F. ,
  • 75', Doyle T. , Dykes L. ,
  • 84', Neumann P. , Ducksch M. ,
  • 85', Mehmeti A. , Hirakawa Y. ,
  • 85', Neto Borges , Roberts H. ,
  • 90+6', Twine S. , Thomas O. ,

Chances of winning


Bristol City
42.5%
Draw
28.7%
Birmingham City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 28.7% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 28.2% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Bristol City - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.27
    (2.48)
    3.31
    (3.27)
    3.28
    (2.79)
    4.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bristol City - Birmingham City?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Bristol City will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.29%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Bristol City might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Knight J. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (Yellow Cards) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Birmingham City were as follows:
    29.12.2023 Birmingham City - Bristol City 0:0
    19.08.2023 Bristol City - Birmingham City 0:2
    14.01.2023 Bristol City - Birmingham City 4:2
    08.10.2022 Birmingham City - Bristol City 3:0
    Latest results of Bristol City
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1284034:92528
    2Middlesbrough1274116:8825
    3Millwall1272314:13123
    4Bristol City1264220:11922
    5Stoke1263313:8521
    6Charlton1254314:10419
    7Preston1254315:12319
    8Hull1254320:20019
    9QPR1253415:17-218
    10Leicester1245315:12317
    11West Brom1252512:14-217
    12Ipswich1144317:13416
    13Swansea1244412:12016
    14Watford1243514:16-215
    15Birmingham1243511:15-415
    16Wrexham1235416:17-114
    17Derby1235413:16-314
    18Portsmouth1234510:13-313
    19Oxford Utd1233613:15-212
    20Southampton1226413:17-412
    21Blackburn1131710:17-710
    22Sheffield Utd123099:20-119
    23Norwich1222812:18-68
    24Sheffield Wed1213810:25-15-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One