Bristol City vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol).

Championship - Round 12
Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	0.60
Ball Possession
28%	72%
Total shots
5	13
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
0	6
Passes
78% (211/272)	87% (597/689)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	0.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.24	0.00
Total shots
5	13
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
3	5
Shots outside the Box
2	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
0	6
Touches in opposition box
11	15
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
6	9
Passes
78% (211/272)	87% (597/689)
Long passes
30% (14/47)	41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
58% (41/71)	70% (105/150)
Crosses
13% (1/8)	18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.84
Throw-ins
14	28
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
81% (13/16)	75% (6/8)
Duels won
40	26
Clearances
46	7
Interceptions
12	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	0
xGOT faced
0.00	0.24
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Twine S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Armstrong S. ⚽, Atkinson R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McCrorie R. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
61', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
61', Anderson K. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
62', Stansfield J. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
66', Iwata T. 🟨,
66', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
74', Armstrong S. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
75', Doyle T. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
84', Neumann P. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
85', Mehmeti A. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
85', Neto Borges ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
90+6', Twine S. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol City
42.5%

Draw
28.7%

Birmingham City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Bristol City - Birmingham City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.48)	3.31 ↑ (3.27)	3.28 ↑ (2.79)	4.9% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bristol City - Birmingham City?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bristol City will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bristol City will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Bristol City might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Knight J. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (Yellow Cards) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Birmingham City?

Bristol City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Bristol City?

Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Birmingham City were as follows:

29.12.2023 Birmingham City - Bristol City 0:0

19.08.2023 Bristol City - Birmingham City 0:2

14.01.2023 Bristol City - Birmingham City 4:2

08.10.2022 Birmingham City - Bristol City 3:0

Latest results of Bristol City

21.10.2025 Bristol City - Southampton 3:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Norwich City - Bristol City 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers 1:2 ✺

30.09.2025 Bristol City - Ipswich Town 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Preston North End - Bristol City 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Birmingham City

21.10.2025 Preston North End - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Birmingham City - Hull City 2:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Coventry City - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	35	21	8	6	72:38	34	71
2	Middlesbrough	35	19	9	7	54:35	19	66
3	Ipswich	34	18	9	7	60:34	26	63
4	Millwall	35	18	8	9	47:40	7	62
5	Hull	35	18	6	11	56:49	7	60
6	Wrexham	35	15	12	8	54:45	9	57
7	Southampton	35	14	11	10	57:46	11	53
8	Derby	35	14	9	12	52:46	6	51
9	Watford	35	13	12	10	45:41	4	51
10	Bristol City	35	14	8	13	48:44	4	50
11	Preston	35	12	13	10	41:40	1	49
12	Birmingham	35	13	10	12	46:46	0	49
13	Sheffield Utd	35	15	3	17	50:48	2	48
14	Stoke	35	13	8	14	39:34	5	47
15	QPR	35	13	8	14	46:54	-8	47
16	Swansea	35	13	7	15	40:43	-3	46
17	Norwich	35	13	6	16	47:44	3	45
18	Charlton	35	10	11	14	33:44	-11	41
19	Portsmouth	34	10	9	15	34:44	-10	39
20	Blackburn	35	10	8	17	33:46	-13	38
21	West Brom	35	9	8	18	34:52	-18	35
22	Leicester	35	10	10	15	47:56	-9	34
23	Oxford Utd	35	7	11	17	31:47	-16	32
24	Sheffield Wed ✔	35	1	8	26	21:71	-50	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One

Clinched Spots for Teams

Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One