Bristol City vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ashton Gate Stadium (Bristol).

Championship - Round 12
Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	0.60
Ball Possession
28%	72%
Total shots
5	13
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
0	6
Passes
78% (211/272)	87% (597/689)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.28	0.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.24	0.00
Total shots
5	13
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
3	7
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
3	5
Shots outside the Box
2	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
0	6
Touches in opposition box
11	15
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
6	9
Passes
78% (211/272)	87% (597/689)
Long passes
30% (14/47)	41% (22/54)
Passes in final third
58% (41/71)	70% (105/150)
Crosses
13% (1/8)	18% (5/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.84
Throw-ins
14	28
Fouls
9	6
Tackles
81% (13/16)	75% (6/8)
Duels won
40	26
Clearances
46	7
Interceptions
12	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	0
xGOT faced
0.00	0.24
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.76

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', Twine S. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Armstrong S. ⚽, Atkinson R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', McCrorie R. ↓, Sykes M. ↑,
61', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
61', Anderson K. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
62', Stansfield J. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
66', Iwata T. 🟨,
66', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
74', Armstrong S. ↓, Mayulu F. ↑,
75', Doyle T. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
84', Neumann P. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
85', Mehmeti A. ↓, Hirakawa Y. ↑,
85', Neto Borges ↓, Roberts H. ↑,
90+6', Twine S. ↓, Thomas O. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Bristol City
42.5%

Draw
28.7%

Birmingham City
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

28.7%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

28.2%

32.9%

Bristol City - Birmingham City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.48)	3.31 ↑ (3.27)	3.28 ↑ (2.79)	4.9% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bristol City - Birmingham City?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bristol City will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Bristol City might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Knight J. (Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Ducksch M. (Calf Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Osayi-Samuel B. (Yellow Cards) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:31. (average 0.9:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bristol City won against Birmingham City?

Bristol City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Bristol City?

Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Birmingham City were as follows:

29.12.2023 Birmingham City - Bristol City 0:0

19.08.2023 Bristol City - Birmingham City 0:2

14.01.2023 Bristol City - Birmingham City 4:2

08.10.2022 Birmingham City - Bristol City 3:0

Latest results of Bristol City

21.10.2025 Bristol City - Southampton 3:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Norwich City - Bristol City 0:1 ✺

04.10.2025 Bristol City - Queens Park Rangers 1:2 ✺

30.09.2025 Bristol City - Ipswich Town 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Preston North End - Bristol City 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Birmingham City

21.10.2025 Preston North End - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Birmingham City - Hull City 2:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

30.09.2025 Birmingham City - Sheffield Wednesday 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Coventry City - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One