Bristol City vs Southampton – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
21/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 11
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
irelandIrelandNOW
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.84
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
23
Passes
68% (177/262)84% (443/529)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.491.84
xG on target (xGOT)
2.601.25
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
86
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
23
Touches in opposition box
1516
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
68% (177/262)84% (443/529)
Long passes
35% (17/48)37% (15/41)
Passes in final third
58% (48/83)69% (100/145)
Crosses
10% (1/10)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.86
Throw-ins
2426
Fouls
1011
Tackles
67% (12/18)69% (11/16)
Duels won
5251
Clearances
2816
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
1.252.60
Goals prevented
0.25-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 30', 0 - 1, Armstrong A. , Charles S. (A),
  • 33', 1 - 1, Mehmeti A. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 53', Riis E. , Armstrong S. ,
  • 57', 2 - 1, Twine S. ,
  • 64', 3 - 1, Twine S. ,
  • 65', Charles S. , Manning R. ,
  • 65', Fraser R. , Fellows T. ,
  • 65', Archer C. , Robinson J. ,
  • 70', Vitek R. 🟨,
  • 72', Sykes M. , McCrorie R. ,
  • 72', Twine S. , Pecover L. ,
  • 78', Jander C. , Downes F. ,
  • 83', Harwood-Bellis T. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Mehmeti A. , Hirakawa Y. ,
  • 90+2', Atkinson R. , Roberts H. ,
  • 90+5', Fellows T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol City
37.2%
Draw
29.3%
Southampton
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 27.5% 35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 26.6% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Southampton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Bristol City - Southampton Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.55)
    3.24
    (3.4)
    2.86
    (2.6)
    4.4%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bristol City - Southampton?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Bristol City will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). S`hampton will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol City: 24.9%69.9%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol City (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 15).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Bristol City: Bird M. (Calf Injury) Knight J. (Injury) Pring C. (Ankle Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in S`hampton: Edozie S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in S`hampton: Jelert E. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bristol City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol City - Southampton were as follows:
    13.02.2024 Bristol City - Southampton 3:1
    29.11.2023 Southampton - Bristol City 1:0
    Latest results of Bristol City
    Latest results of Southampton
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry422510784:424285
    2Ipswich402112771:403175
    3Millwall4221101156:47973
    4Middlesbrough4220121062:422072
    5Southampton4119121070:502069
    6Hull422081464:60468
    7Wrexham4217131263:60364
    8Derby421891561:53863
    9Norwich421771855:50558
    10Bristol City4216101652:51158
    11QPR4216101658:63-558
    12Watford4214151352:51157
    13Preston4214151350:53-357
    14Swansea421691750:54-457
    15Birmingham4215111651:52-156
    16Stoke4215101749:46355
    17Sheffield Utd421662059:59054
    18Charlton4212131739:51-1249
    19Blackburn4212121838:50-1248
    20West Brom4211131842:56-1446
    21Portsmouth4111121841:57-1645
    22Oxford Utd4210141841:54-1344
    23Leicester4211141754:64-1041
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 421113025:82-57-4

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One