Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 46
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 0.99 |
Ball Possession |
---|
30% | 70% |
Total shots |
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9 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
63% (157/250) | 84% (489/584) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 1 |
Red Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 0.99 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.91 | 0.76 |
Total shots |
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9 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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15 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
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3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 15 |
Passes |
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63% (157/250) | 84% (489/584) |
Long passes |
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28% (19/68) | 48% (39/82) |
Passes in final third |
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56% (35/63) | 74% (150/204) |
Crosses |
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25% (2/8) | 20% (5/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.47 | 1.46 |
Throw-ins |
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10 | 25 |
Fouls |
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15 | 14 |
Tackles |
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57% (8/14) | 73% (8/11) |
Duels won |
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44 | 39 |
Clearances |
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23 | 17 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.76 | 1.91 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.24 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Klarer C. ⚽, Laird E. (A),
- 34', Kachunga E. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Lavery S. ⚽, Bennett L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lavery S. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
- 46', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
- 46', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Iwata T. ↑,
- 59', Laird E. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 64', Hanley G. ↓, Bielik K. ↑,
- 68', Kachunga E. 🟨,
- 72', Harris L. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
- 75', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
- 77', Watts K. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Watts K. (Own goal),
- 88', Bennett L. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
- 88', Kaikai S. ↓, Stokes J. ↑,
- 88', Stokes J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United 15.3% | Draw 21.1% | Birmingham City 63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Cambridge United - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.19 ↑ (5) |
4.48 ↑ (4.07) |
1.48 ↓ (1.61) |
6.1% (6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Birmingham will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Cambridge is Relegated to League Two
- Birmingham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
- Cambridge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Birmingham is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Birmingham is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Jobe M.
(Knee Injury)
Loft R.
(Red Card)
Malone S.
(Inactive)
Marosi M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith K.
(Inactive)
Thomas G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Dykes L.
(Calf Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Ibsen Rossi Z.
(Inactive)
N'Lundulu D.
(Inactive)
Stevens J.
(Injury)
Stokes J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Birmingham City?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Cambridge United?
Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Birmingham City were as follows:
11.02.2025
Birmingham City
-
Cambridge United
4:0
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two