Cambridge United vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
10/01/2026 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Supersport Action
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
italyItalyDAZN Italia
japanJapanU-NEXT
kenyaKenyaGotv
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Action
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.041.05
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
55
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
20
Passes
77% (357/466)76% (384/506)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.041.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.832.09
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
55
Shots off target
53
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
33
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
20
Touches in opposition box
3416
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free kicks
97
Passes
77% (357/466)76% (384/506)
Long passes
32% (24/76)35% (27/77)
Passes in final third
63% (95/152)58% (87/149)
Crosses
24% (5/21)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.45
Throw ins
2321
Fouls
79
Tackles
50% (4/8)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3534
Clearances
3555
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
20
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
2.091.83
Goals prevented
-0.91-0.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 31', 0 - 1, Wagner K. ,
  • 42', 0 - 2, Furuhashi K. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 63', Brophy J. , Kaikai S. ,
  • 63', Ball D. , Lavery S. ,
  • 74', Gibbons J. , Purrington B. ,
  • 74', Mpanzu P. , McLoughlin S. ,
  • 75', Roberts P. , Willumsson W. T. ,
  • 75', Furuhashi K. , Fujimoto K. ,
  • 77', Robinson J. , Neumann P. ,
  • 78', 0 - 3, Ducksch M. , Doyle T. (A),
  • 80', 1 - 3, Kaikai S. ,
  • 88', Hoddle G. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 3, Kaikai S. , Jobe M. (A),
  • 90+2', Koumas L. , Sampsted A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cambridge United
21.4%
Draw
27.9%
Birmingham City
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.9% 25.8% 52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4% 25.2% 51.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Cambridge United - Birmingham City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.4
    (4.3)
    3.32
    (3.64)
    1.85
    (1.8)
    7%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Birmingham City?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Cambridge (4.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birmingham City will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Cambridge (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Birmingham (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Cambridge is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Birmingham has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Birmingham is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cambridge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Birmingham City were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Cambridge United - Birmingham City 1:2
    11.02.2025 Birmingham City - Cambridge United 4:0
    Latest results of Cambridge United
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Draw
    Main

    1/128-finals
    1StokeBye
    4ByeCoventry
    5FulhamBye
    8ByeMiddlesbrough
    9StevenageChesterfield0 : 1
    10CreweDoncaster1 : 2
    12ByeSouthampton
    13CheltenhamBradford City1 : 0
    14BuxtonChatham2 : 1
    16ByeLeicester
    17TottenhamBye
    20ByeAston Villa
    21NewcastleBye
    24ByeBournemouth
    25Manchester CityBye
    27FC HalifaxExeter0 : 2
    28WycombePlymouth2 : 0
    29SalfordLincoln2 : 1
    30TamworthLeyton Orient0 : 1
    31RotherhamSwindon1 : 2
    32BoltonHuddersfield2 : 1
    33Boreham WoodCrawley3 : 0
    34NewportGillingham3 : 2
    35Brackley TownNotts Co3 : 2
    36BurtonSt. Albans6 : 0
    37West HamBye
    40ByeQPR
    41SloughAltrincham2 : 1
    42MacclesfieldAFC Totton6 : 3
    44ByeCrystal Palace
    45Sheffield WedBye
    48ByeBrentford
    49BurnleyBye
    52ByeMillwall
    53Sheffield UtdBye
    55GainsboroughAccrington1 : 2
    56MansfieldHarrogate3 : 2
    57PortsmouthBye
    60ByeArsenal
    61PrestonBye
    63WiganHemel Hempstead2 : 1
    64SpennymoorBarrow0 : 2
    65GrimsbyEbbsfleet3 : 1
    66WealdstoneSouthend1 : 0
    67ChelmsfordBraintree4 : 1
    68Weston-super-MareAldershot2 : 1
    69WolvesBye
    71SuttonAFC Telford2 : 1
    72South ShieldsShrewsbury1 : 3
    73LiverpoolBye
    75PeterboroughCardiff1 : 0
    76BarnsleyYork City3 : 2
    77Manchester UtdBye
    80ByeBrighton
    81Port ValeMaldon & Tiptree5 : 1
    82BromleyBristol Rovers1 : 2
    83FleetwoodBarnet2 : 1
    84LutonForest Green4 : 3
    85Bristol CityBye
    88ByeWatford
    89ColchesterMK Dons2 : 3
    90OldhamNorthampton3 : 1
    92ByeOxford Utd
    93EvertonBye
    96ByeSunderland
    97WrexhamBye
    100ByeNottingham
    101IpswichBye
    103BlackpoolScunthorpe1 : 0
    104ReadingCarlisle2 : 3
    105HullBye
    108ByeBlackburn
    109CharltonBye
    112ByeChelsea
    113TranmereStockport County1 : 3
    114Cambridge UtdChester3 : 0
    116ByeBirmingham
    117DerbyBye
    120ByeLeeds
    121NorwichBye
    123AFC WimbledonGateshead0 : 2
    124EastleighWalsall0 : 3
    125SwanseaBye
    128ByeWest Brom

    1/64-finals
    1StokeBye
    2ByeCoventry
    3FulhamBye
    4ByeMiddlesbrough
    5ChesterfieldDoncaster1 : 2
    6ByeSouthampton
    7CheltenhamBuxton6 : 2
    8ByeLeicester
    9TottenhamBye
    10ByeAston Villa
    11NewcastleBye
    12ByeBournemouth
    13Manchester CityBye
    14ExeterWycombe4 : 0
    15SalfordLeyton Orient4 : 0
    16SwindonBolton4 : 0
    17Boreham WoodNewport3 : 0
    18Brackley TownBurton1 : 3
    19West HamBye
    20ByeQPR
    21SloughMacclesfield1 : 3
    22ByeCrystal Palace
    23Sheffield WedBye
    24ByeBrentford
    25BurnleyBye
    26ByeMillwall
    27Sheffield UtdBye
    28AccringtonMansfield2 : 3
    29PortsmouthBye
    30ByeArsenal
    31PrestonBye
    32WiganBarrow3 : 2
    33GrimsbyWealdstone4 : 0
    34ChelmsfordWeston-super-Mare0 : 2
    35WolvesBye
    36SuttonShrewsbury1 : 2
    37LiverpoolBye
    38PeterboroughBarnsley0 : 1
    39Manchester UtdBye
    40ByeBrighton
    41Port ValeBristol Rovers1 : 0
    42FleetwoodLuton3 : 2
    43Bristol CityBye
    44ByeWatford
    45MK DonsOldham3 : 1
    46ByeOxford Utd
    47EvertonBye
    48ByeSunderland
    49WrexhamBye
    50ByeNottingham
    51IpswichBye
    52BlackpoolCarlisle4 : 1
    53HullBye
    54ByeBlackburn
    55CharltonBye
    56ByeChelsea
    57Stockport CountyCambridge Utd0 : 1
    58ByeBirmingham
    59DerbyBye
    60ByeLeeds
    61NorwichBye
    62GatesheadWalsall0 : 2
    63SwanseaBye
    64ByeWest Brom

    1/32-finals
    1StokeCoventry1 : 0
    2FulhamMiddlesbrough3 : 1
    3DoncasterSouthampton2 : 3
    4CheltenhamLeicester0 : 2
    5TottenhamAston Villa1 : 2
    6NewcastleBournemouth4 : 3
    7Manchester CityExeter10 : 1
    8SalfordSwindon3 : 2
    9Boreham WoodBurton0 : 5
    10West HamQPR2 : 1
    11MacclesfieldCrystal Palace2 : 1
    12Sheffield WedBrentford0 : 2
    13BurnleyMillwall5 : 1
    14Sheffield UtdMansfield3 : 4
    15PortsmouthArsenal1 : 4
    16PrestonWigan0 : 1
    17GrimsbyWeston-super-Mare3 : 2
    18WolvesShrewsbury6 : 1
    19LiverpoolBarnsley4 : 1
    20Manchester UtdBrighton1 : 2
    21Port ValeFleetwood1 : 0
    22Bristol CityWatford5 : 1
    23MK DonsOxford Utd1 : 2
    24EvertonSunderland1 : 2
    25WrexhamNottingham4 : 3
    26IpswichBlackpool2 : 1
    27HullBlackburn1 : 0
    28CharltonChelsea1 : 5
    29Cambridge UtdBirmingham2 : 3
    30DerbyLeeds1 : 3
    31NorwichWalsall5 : 1
    32SwanseaWest Brom2 : 3

    1/16-finals
    1StokeFulham1 : 2
    2SouthamptonLeicester2 : 1
    3Aston VillaNewcastle1 : 3
    4Manchester CitySalford2 : 0
    5BurtonWest Ham0 : 1
    6MacclesfieldBrentford0 : 1
    7BurnleyMansfield1 : 2
    8ArsenalWigan4 : 0
    9GrimsbyWolves0 : 1
    10LiverpoolBrighton3 : 0
    11Port ValeBristol City
    12Oxford UtdSunderland0 : 1
    13WrexhamIpswich1 : 0
    14HullChelsea0 : 4
    15BirminghamLeeds1 : 2
    16NorwichWest Brom3 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1FulhamSouthampton
    2NewcastleManchester City
    3West HamBrentford
    4MansfieldArsenal
    5WolvesLiverpool
    6TBD #11Sunderland
    7WrexhamChelsea
    8LeedsNorwich