Cambridge United vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Abbey Stadium (Cambridge).

League One - Round 46
Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	0.99
Ball Possession
30%	70%
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
63% (157/250)	84% (489/584)
Yellow Cards
4	1
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64	0.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.91	0.76
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
7	6
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	2
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
15	18
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
3	2
Free Kicks
14	15
Passes
63% (157/250)	84% (489/584)
Long passes
28% (19/68)	48% (39/82)
Passes in final third
56% (35/63)	74% (150/204)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	20% (5/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	1.46
Throw-ins
10	25
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
57% (8/14)	73% (8/11)
Duels won
44	39
Clearances
23	17
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	3
xGOT faced
0.76	1.91
Goals prevented
-0.24	0.91

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Klarer C. ⚽, Laird E. (A),
34', Kachunga E. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Lavery S. ⚽, Bennett L. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Lavery S. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
46', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
46', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Iwata T. ↑,
59', Laird E. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
64', Hanley G. ↓, Bielik K. ↑,
68', Kachunga E. 🟨,
72', Harris L. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
75', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
77', Watts K. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Watts K. (Own goal),
88', Bennett L. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
88', Kaikai S. ↓, Stokes J. ↑,
88', Stokes J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Cambridge United
15.3%

Draw
21.1%

Birmingham City
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

23.1%

58.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

22.1%

60.8%

Cambridge United - Birmingham City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.19 ↑ (5)	4.48 ↑ (4.07)	1.48 ↓ (1.61)	6.1% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Birmingham City?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Birmingham will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 53.8% – 96.2%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
Cambridge is Relegated to League Two
Birmingham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cambridge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Birmingham is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Birmingham is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Jobe M. (Knee Injury) Loft R. (Red Card) Malone S. (Inactive) Marosi M. (Hamstring Injury) Smith K. (Inactive) Thomas G. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Dykes L. (Calf Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Cambridge: Ibsen Rossi Z. (Inactive) N'Lundulu D. (Inactive) Stevens J. (Injury) Stokes J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K. (Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Birmingham City?

Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Cambridge United?

Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Birmingham City were as follows:

11.02.2025 Birmingham City - Cambridge United 4:0

Latest results of Cambridge United

26.04.2025 Burton Albion - Cambridge United 2:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Cambridge United - Leyton Orient 1:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Huddersfield Town - Cambridge United 1:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Cambridge United - Charlton Athletic 0:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Shrewsbury Town - Cambridge United 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Birmingham City

30.04.2025 Blackpool - Birmingham City 0:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Birmingham City - Mansfield Town 4:0 ✺

24.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺

21.04.2025 Burton Albion - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺

18.04.2025 Birmingham City - Crawley Town 0:0 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cardiff	17	11	2	4	31:17	14	35
2	Bradford City	18	9	7	2	26:18	8	34
3	Stevenage	16	9	4	3	19:11	8	31
4	Lincoln	18	9	4	5	23:18	5	31
5	Stockport County	17	8	5	4	23:21	2	29
6	Bolton	17	7	7	3	24:16	8	28
7	Luton	18	8	3	7	21:22	-1	27
8	Huddersfield	18	8	2	8	30:28	2	26
9	AFC Wimbledon	17	8	2	7	23:25	-2	26
10	Barnsley	15	7	4	4	26:19	7	25
11	Wigan	18	6	7	5	21:20	1	25
12	Wycombe	18	6	6	6	26:20	6	24
13	Leyton Orient	18	7	3	8	29:29	0	24
14	Rotherham	18	6	6	6	20:20	0	24
15	Northampton	17	7	2	8	16:17	-1	23
16	Mansfield	17	6	4	7	23:23	0	22
17	Reading	17	5	7	5	20:20	0	22
18	Doncaster	18	6	4	8	17:24	-7	22
19	Burton	18	6	4	8	16:24	-8	22
20	Exeter	17	5	2	10	16:18	-2	17
21	Peterborough	17	5	1	11	19:25	-6	16
22	Blackpool	18	4	4	10	17:28	-11	16
23	Plymouth	18	5	1	12	19:32	-13	16
24	Port Vale	18	3	5	10	11:21	-10	14

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two