Result
1:2
03/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 46
- Referee: Breakspear C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (157/250) | 84% (489/584) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (157/250) | 84% (489/584) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (19/68) | 48% (39/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (35/63) | 74% (150/204) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Klarer C. ⚽, Laird E. (A),
- 34', Kachunga E. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Lavery S. ⚽, Bennett L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Lavery S. ↓, Ballard D. ↑,
- 46', Willumsson W. T. ↓, Dowell K. ↑,
- 46', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Iwata T. ↑,
- 59', Laird E. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 64', Hanley G. ↓, Bielik K. ↑,
- 68', Kachunga E. 🟨,
- 72', Harris L. ↓, Jutkiewicz L. ↑,
- 75', Gardner-Hickman T. 🟨,
- 77', Watts K. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 2, Watts K. (Own goal),
- 88', Bennett L. ↓, Loft R. ↑,
- 88', Kaikai S. ↓, Stokes J. ↑,
- 88', Stokes J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cambridge United
15.3% | Draw
21.1% | Birmingham City
63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambridge United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Cambridge United - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.19 ↑
(5) |
4.48 ↑
(4.07) |
1.48 ↓
(1.61) |
6.1%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cambridge United - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Cambridge will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Birmingham will win (votes: 12 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 53.8% – 96.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship).
- Cambridge is Relegated to League Two
- Birmingham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
- Cambridge has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Birmingham is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Birmingham is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Cambridge: Gardner G.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Jobe M.
(Knee Injury)
Loft R.
(Red Card)
Malone S.
(Inactive)
Marosi M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Smith K.
(Inactive)
Thomas G.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Dykes L.
(Calf Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Ibsen Rossi Z.
(Inactive)
N'Lundulu D.
(Inactive)
Stevens J.
(Injury)
Stokes J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Bielik K.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cambridge won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Birmingham City?
Cambridge United has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Cambridge United?
Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cambridge United - Birmingham City were as follows:
11.02.2025
Birmingham City
-
Cambridge United
4:0
Latest results of Cambridge United
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Stockport County | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Wigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Cardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Doncaster | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Huddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Luton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Northampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Port Vale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Wycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Bradford City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Mansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | Peterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 | Burton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 | Exeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 | AFC Wimbledon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
