Birmingham City vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham).

Championship - Round 14
Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	0.12
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
83% (427/514)	75% (273/365)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	0.12
xG on target (xGOT)
2.48	0.10
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
1	0
Shots inside the Box
8	1
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
20	1
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
12	3
Passes
83% (427/514)	75% (273/365)
Long passes
33% (18/55)	40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
65% (88/136)	60% (55/92)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.16
Throw-ins
23	26
Fouls
3	12
Tackles
90% (9/10)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
39	37
Clearances
26	31
Interceptions
5	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.10	2.48
Goals prevented
0.10	-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Paik Seung-Ho ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Gray D. ⚽, Stansfield J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Cochrane A. ⚽,
57', Neghli C. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
59', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
59', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Stansfield J. ⚽,
71', Bryan J. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
72', Ballo T. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
72', Ivanovic M. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
79', Iwata T. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
79', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
79', Mitchell B. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
89', Doyle T. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Birmingham City
53%

Draw
26.5%

Millwall
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.8%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

28.5%

23.3%

Birmingham City - Millwall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.95)	3.57 ↑ (3.53)	4.57 ↑ (3.81)	5% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Millwall?

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Millwall will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 36.9% – 74.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.5 - Millwall (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Birmingham (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 3 - 60%). Millwall (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Millwall is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Millwall: Benda S. (Inactive) Coburn J. (Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Luongo M. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Millwall: Azeez F. (Injury) Leonard R. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Millwall?

Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Birmingham City?

Millwall has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Millwall were as follows:

09.03.2024 Millwall - Birmingham City 1:0

02.09.2023 Birmingham City - Millwall 1:1

18.04.2023 Millwall - Birmingham City 0:1

02.11.2022 Birmingham City - Millwall 0:0

Latest results of Birmingham City

01.11.2025 Birmingham City - Portsmouth 4:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Bristol City - Birmingham City 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Preston North End - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Birmingham City - Hull City 2:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Millwall

01.11.2025 Oxford United - Millwall 2:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Millwall - Leicester City 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Millwall 1:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Millwall - West Bromwich Albion 3:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One