Result
4:0
04/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 14
- Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.12 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (427/514) | 75% (273/365) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.48 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 1 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (427/514) | 75% (273/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (18/55) | 40% (25/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (88/136) | 60% (55/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.16 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Paik Seung-Ho ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
- 45', 2 - 0, Gray D. ⚽, Stansfield J. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', 3 - 0, Cochrane A. ⚽,
- 57', Neghli C. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 59', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 59', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
- 66', 4 - 0, Stansfield J. ⚽,
- 71', Bryan J. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
- 72', Ballo T. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
- 72', Ivanovic M. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
- 79', Iwata T. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
- 79', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
- 79', Mitchell B. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
- 89', Doyle T. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
53% | Draw
26.5% | Millwall
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Birmingham City - Millwall Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(1.95) |
3.57 ↑
(3.53) |
4.57 ↑
(3.81) |
5%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Millwall?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Millwall will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 36.9% – 74.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
- Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Millwall is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Laird E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Willumsson W. T.
(Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Millwall: Benda S.
(Inactive)
Coburn J.
(Injury)
Jensen L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Luongo M.
(Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Azeez F.
(Injury)
Leonard R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Millwall?
Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Birmingham City?
Millwall has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Millwall were as follows:
09.03.2024
Millwall
-
Birmingham City
1:0
02.09.2023
Birmingham City
-
Millwall
1:1
18.04.2023
Millwall
-
Birmingham City
0:1
02.11.2022
Birmingham City
-
Millwall
0:0
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Millwall
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40:13 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Stoke | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 21:10 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Preston | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 20:14 | 6 | 26 |
| 5 | Hull | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:24 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Millwall | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 17:20 | -3 | 25 |
| 7 | Ipswich | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 8 | Bristol City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Charlton | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 16:12 | 4 | 23 |
| 10 | Derby | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 23 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Leicester | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:16 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Wrexham | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 20:19 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | West Brom | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 14:16 | -2 | 21 |
| 15 | Watford | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 20 |
| 16 | QPR | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 19 |
| 17 | Southampton | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 18 |
| 18 | Swansea | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:19 | -5 | 16 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 14 |
| 21 | Oxford Utd | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 |
| 22 | Sheffield Utd | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11:26 | -15 | 10 |
| 23 | Norwich | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 12:29 | -17 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
