Result
3:0
25/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 34
- Referee: Whitestone D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (266/347) | 77% (277/362) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (266/347) | 77% (277/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (24/54) | 14% (7/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (75/110) | 60% (48/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 6% (1/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | -1.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Azeez F. ⚽, Crama T. (A),
- 31', 2 - 0, Crama T. ⚽,
- 45', Solis Romero J. E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Osman I. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
- 49', 3 - 0, Cooper J. ⚽, Crama T. (A),
- 53', Solis Romero J. E. 🟨,
- 54', Priske A. ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
- 59', Azeez F. 🟨,
- 60', Coburn J. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
- 68', Wagner K. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
- 73', Leonard R. ↓, McNamara D. ↑,
- 73', Sturge Z. ↓, Doughty A. ↑,
- 73', Azeez F. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
- 79', Mitchell B. ↓, Bannan B. ↑,
- 80', Stansfield J. ↓, Ducksch M. ↑,
- 80', Vicente C. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Millwall
37.8% | Draw
29% | Birmingham City
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)The ML Model estimate for Millwall aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Millwall - Birmingham City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↑
(2.42) |
3.23 ↓
(3.35) |
2.85 ↓
(2.9) |
6.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Birmingham City?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Birmingham will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 47.8% – 85.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Birmingham (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Millwall (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Millwall (votes: 4 - 50%). Birmingham (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Millwall: Bryan J.
(Injury)
Jensen L.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelly D.
(Injury)
Luongo M.
(Knee Injury)
Smallbone W.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Cochrane A.
(Ankle Injury)
Paik Seung-Ho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Birmingham: Priske A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Birmingham City?
Millwall has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Millwall?
Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Birmingham City were as follows:
04.11.2025
Birmingham City
-
Millwall
4:0
09.03.2024
Millwall
-
Birmingham City
1:0
02.09.2023
Birmingham City
-
Millwall
1:1
18.04.2023
Millwall
-
Birmingham City
0:1
02.11.2022
Birmingham City
-
Millwall
0:0
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Birmingham City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
