Birmingham City vs Millwall – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/11/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham).

Championship - Round 14
Referee: Ward G. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	0.12
Ball Possession
58%	42%
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
6	2
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	3
Passes
83% (427/514)	75% (273/365)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	0.12
xG on target (xGOT)
2.48	0.10
Total shots
12	4
Shots on target
6	2
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
1	0
Shots inside the Box
8	1
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
2	3
Touches in opposition box
20	1
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
12	3
Passes
83% (427/514)	75% (273/365)
Long passes
33% (18/55)	40% (25/63)
Passes in final third
65% (88/136)	60% (55/92)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.16
Throw-ins
23	26
Fouls
3	12
Tackles
90% (9/10)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
39	37
Clearances
26	31
Interceptions
5	12
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.10	2.48
Goals prevented
0.10	-1.52

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Paik Seung-Ho ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Gray D. ⚽, Stansfield J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 3 - 0, Cochrane A. ⚽,
57', Neghli C. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
59', Gray D. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
59', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
66', 4 - 0, Stansfield J. ⚽,
71', Bryan J. ↓, Sturge Z. ↑,
72', Ballo T. ↓, Taylor C. ↑,
72', Ivanovic M. ↓, Langstaff M. ↑,
79', Iwata T. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
79', Roberts P. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
79', Mitchell B. ↓, Mazou-Sacko D. ↑,
89', Doyle T. ↓, Leonard M. ↑,

Chances of winning

Birmingham City
53%

Draw
26.5%

Millwall
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

26.8%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

28.5%

23.3%

Birmingham City - Millwall Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.95)	3.57 ↑ (3.53)	4.57 ↑ (3.81)	5% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Millwall?

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Millwall will win (votes: 6 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 36.9% – 74.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
Recent performances by Birmingham have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Millwall is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Millwall: Benda S. (Inactive) Coburn J. (Injury) Jensen L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Luongo M. (Injury) McNamara D. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Millwall: Azeez F. (Injury) Leonard R. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Millwall?

Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Birmingham City?

Millwall has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Millwall were as follows:

09.03.2024 Millwall - Birmingham City 1:0

02.09.2023 Birmingham City - Millwall 1:1

18.04.2023 Millwall - Birmingham City 0:1

02.11.2022 Birmingham City - Millwall 0:0

Latest results of Birmingham City

01.11.2025 Birmingham City - Portsmouth 4:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Bristol City - Birmingham City 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Preston North End - Birmingham City 0:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Birmingham City - Hull City 2:3 ✺

03.10.2025 Wrexham - Birmingham City 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Millwall

01.11.2025 Oxford United - Millwall 2:2 ✺

25.10.2025 Millwall - Leicester City 1:0 ✺

21.10.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 2:0 ✺

18.10.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Millwall 1:2 ✺

04.10.2025 Millwall - West Bromwich Albion 3:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	24	15	6	3	54:25	29	51
2	Middlesbrough	24	12	7	5	33:25	8	43
3	Ipswich	24	11	8	5	40:23	17	41
4	Hull	24	12	5	7	40:37	3	41
5	Millwall	24	11	6	7	27:32	-5	39
6	Watford	24	10	8	6	34:29	5	38
7	Preston	24	9	10	5	31:25	6	37
8	Bristol City	24	10	6	8	33:27	6	36
9	QPR	24	10	5	9	34:37	-3	35
10	Stoke	24	10	4	10	29:23	6	34
11	Wrexham	24	8	10	6	34:31	3	34
12	Leicester	24	9	7	8	34:34	0	34
13	Southampton	24	8	8	8	38:34	4	32
14	Derby	24	8	8	8	33:33	0	32
15	Birmingham	24	8	7	9	32:31	1	31
16	West Brom	24	9	4	11	28:32	-4	31
17	Sheffield Utd	24	9	2	13	33:37	-4	29
18	Swansea	24	8	5	11	25:31	-6	29
19	Blackburn	23	7	6	10	22:26	-4	27
20	Charlton	23	7	6	10	22:29	-7	27
21	Portsmouth	23	6	7	10	21:30	-9	25
22	Oxford Utd	24	5	7	12	24:33	-9	22
23	Norwich	24	5	6	13	26:36	-10	21
24	Sheffield Wed	23	1	8	14	18:45	-27	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One