Queens Park Rangers vs Birmingham City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 20
  • Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN 2
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.31
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
163
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
74% (187/254)80% (361/451)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.510.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.230.90
Total shots
163
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
70
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
60
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
811
Passes
74% (187/254)80% (361/451)
Long passes
43% (23/54)34% (24/70)
Passes in final third
61% (62/101)66% (74/112)
Crosses
21% (5/24)15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.49
Throw-ins
2933
Fouls
118
Tackles
74% (14/19)63% (10/16)
Duels won
6752
Clearances
4337
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
01
xGOT faced
0.901.23
Goals prevented
-0.10-0.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 40', 1 - 0, Dunne J. , Saito K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Osayi-Samuel B. , Doyle T. ,
  • 46', Ducksch M. , Furuhashi K. ,
  • 67', Smyth P. , Dembele K. ,
  • 68', Stansfield J. , Dykes L. ,
  • 68', Robinson J. , Cashin E. ,
  • 79', Saito K. , Poku K. ,
  • 80', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
  • 82', Neumann P. , Anderson K. ,
  • 86', Mbengue A. S. , Morgan K. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 1, Roberts P. , Gray D. (A),
  • 90+7', 2 - 1, Morgan K. , Varane J. (A),
  • 90+8', Morgan K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Queens Park Rangers
33.1%
Draw
28%
Birmingham City
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 28.6% 37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 29.4% 36%

Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.87
(2.75)
3.37
(3.3)
2.43
(2.55)
5.7%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. QPR will win (votes: 9 - 42.9%). Birmingham will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for QPR: 21.7%64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - QPR (1.53) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. QPR (votes: 2 - 40%). Birmingham (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, QPR won 2.
    • QPR is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Birmingham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in QPR: Field S. (Injury) Hamer B. (Injury) Kolli R. (Muscle Injury) Larkeche Z. (Knee Injury) Vale H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Laird E. (Hamstring Injury) Willumsson W. T. (Muscle Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in QPR: Chair I. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, QPR won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:19. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, QPR won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City were as follows:
    29.03.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 2:1
    22.09.2023 Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers 0:0
    18.03.2023 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 0:1
    28.10.2022 Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers 2:0
    Latest results of Queens Park Rangers
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry28177461:313058
    2Middlesbrough28157642:291352
    3Ipswich27148547:242350
    4Hull27145845:39647
    5Millwall28137832:35-346
    6Preston281110736:29743
    7Watford27119738:32642
    8Stoke281251133:25841
    9Wrexham281011740:35541
    10Derby28118938:36241
    11Bristol City281171038:31740
    12QPR281171038:39-140
    13Birmingham281081038:37138
    14Leicester281081039:41-238
    15Southampton28991040:40036
    16Swansea281061231:35-436
    17Sheffield Utd271021536:40-432
    18Charlton27881127:34-732
    19West Brom28941531:43-1231
    20Norwich28861435:40-530
    21Portsmouth26781123:36-1329
    22Blackburn27771325:36-1128
    23Oxford Utd27591325:35-1024
    24Sheffield Wed27181818:54-36-7

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          Relegation ~ League One