Birmingham City vs Queens Park Rangers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

St. Andrew's Stadium (Birmingham).

Championship - Round 37
Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.58	0.37
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
6	1
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
10	1
Passes
84% (431/513)	77% (284/371)
Yellow cards
4	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.58	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.60	0.04
Total shots
21	10
Shots on target
6	1
Shots off target
9	5
Blocked shots
6	4
Shots inside the box
16	5
Shots outside the box
5	5
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
10	1
Touches in opposition box
40	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	2
Free kicks
9	9
Passes
84% (431/513)	77% (284/371)
Long passes
44% (25/57)	39% (21/54)
Passes in final third
75% (147/196)	61% (47/77)
Crosses
21% (6/28)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.34	0.27
Throw ins
21	20
Fouls
9	9
Tackles
80% (12/15)	60% (9/15)
Duels won
49	52
Clearances
24	36
Interceptions
6	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	4
xGOT faced
0.04	0.60
Goals prevented
0.04	-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Roberts P. ⚽, Osman I. (A),
25', Osman I. 🟨,
45', Laird E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Saito K. ↓, Kolli R. ↑,
46', Varane J. ↓, Morgan K. ↑,
58', Cook S. ↓, Norrington-Davies R. ↑,
64', Osman I. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
64', Laird E. ↓, Panzo J. ↑,
70', Smyth P. ↓, Poku K. ↑,
76', Ducksch M. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
76', Roberts P. ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
79', Clarke-Salter J. ↓, Hayden I. ↑,
81', Beadle J. 🟨,
90+2', Stansfield J. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
90+7', Gray D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Birmingham City
55.7%

Draw
25.3%

Queens Park Rangers
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.4%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

24.9%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Queens Park Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Queens Park Rangers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.72)	3.74 ↑ (3.63)	4.98 ↑ (4.42)	5% (8.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Birmingham (2.12) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Birmingham (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Birmingham (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Birmingham (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - QPR (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Birmingham (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Birmingham (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Birmingham (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Birmingham City will win (36 of 42 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.13% – 96.29%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Birmingham City will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 23 Selected Experts predict this event. Birmingham (votes: 20 - 87%). QPR (votes: 2 - 8.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 4.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 2.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Birmingham is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 20:31. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Queens Park Rangers?

Birmingham City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Queens Park Rangers won against Birmingham City?

Queens Park Rangers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers were as follows:

09.12.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 2:1

29.03.2024 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 2:1

22.09.2023 Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers 0:0

18.03.2023 Queens Park Rangers - Birmingham City 0:1

28.10.2022 Birmingham City - Queens Park Rangers 2:0

Latest results of Birmingham City

07.03.2026 Charlton Athletic - Birmingham City 1:0 ✺

02.03.2026 Birmingham City - Middlesbrough 1:3 ✺

25.02.2026 Millwall - Birmingham City 3:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Norwich City - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Birmingham City - Leeds United 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Queens Park Rangers

08.03.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Middlesbrough 0:4 ✺

28.02.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Sheffield United 0:2 ✺

24.02.2026 Southampton - Queens Park Rangers 5:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Hull City - Queens Park Rangers 1:3 ✺

14.02.2026 Queens Park Rangers - Blackburn Rovers 1:3 ✺

English League Championship Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	52	95
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	33	84
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	15	83
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	26	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	25	80
6	Hull	46	21	10	15	70:66	4	73
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	4	71
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	8	69
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	7	65
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	1	64
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	-2	64
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	0	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	0	60
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	-7	60
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	-12	58
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	-12	57
17	Stoke	46	15	10	21	51:56	-5	55
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	-15	55
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	-14	53
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	-14	52
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	-10	51
22	Oxford Utd	46	11	14	21	45:59	-14	47
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	-10	46
24	Sheffield Wed	46	2	12	32	29:89	-60	0

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      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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