Birmingham City vs Swansea City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Birmingham City - Swansea City
Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 6
  • Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.43
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
239
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
72% (279/386)72% (279/390)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
2.191.43
xG on target (xGOT)
2.090.59
Total shots
239
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
92
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
113
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
3411
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
72% (279/386)72% (279/390)
Long passes
32% (20/63)30% (22/73)
Passes in final third
54% (71/131)49% (42/86)
Crosses
35% (8/23)67% (4/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.63
Throw-ins
1625
Fouls
1311
Tackles
56% (5/9)69% (9/13)
Duels won
6351
Clearances
733
Interceptions
1412
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
0.592.09
Goals prevented
0.591.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Klarer C. 🟨,
  • 18', Allsop R. 🟨,
  • 34', Gray D. 🟨,
  • 40', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', Inoussa Z. 🟨,
  • 67', Koumas L. , Roberts P. ,
  • 67', Osayi-Samuel B. , Laird E. ,
  • 67', Ducksch M. , Furuhashi K. ,
  • 74', Vipotnik Z. , Idah A. ,
  • 74', Inoussa Z. , Eom J. ,
  • 80', Cochrane A. , Cashin E. ,
  • 82', Tymon J. 🟨,
  • 83', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
  • 86', Cabango B. 🟨,
  • 86', Paik Seung-Ho , Doyle T. ,
  • 87', Stansfield J. , Dykes L. ,
  • 89', Galbraith E. , Yalcouye M. ,
  • 90+4', Stamenic M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', 1 - 0, Dykes L. , Roberts P. (A),
  • 90+7', Ronald , Widell M. ,
  • 90+7', Franco G. , Cullen L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
47%
Draw
30.1%
Swansea City
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 27.6% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 28.8% 21.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Birmingham City - Swansea City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.88)
    3.16
    (3.4)
    4.16
    (4.23)
    4.4%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Swansea City?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Swansea will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
    • Birmingham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Swansea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Birmingham is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Injury) Wright S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Swansea: Fulton J. (Injury) Santos R. (Knee Injury) Stamenic M. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Swansea City were as follows:
    13.01.2024 Birmingham City - Swansea City 2:2
    05.08.2023 Swansea City - Birmingham City 1:1
    04.02.2023 Swansea City - Birmingham City 3:4
    08.11.2022 Birmingham City - Swansea City 2:2
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Swansea City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1284034:92528
    2Middlesbrough1274116:8825
    3Millwall1272314:13123
    4Bristol City1264220:11922
    5Stoke1263313:8521
    6Charlton1254314:10419
    7Preston1254315:12319
    8Hull1254320:20019
    9QPR1253415:17-218
    10Leicester1245315:12317
    11West Brom1252512:14-217
    12Ipswich1144317:13416
    13Swansea1244412:12016
    14Watford1243514:16-215
    15Birmingham1243511:15-415
    16Wrexham1235416:17-114
    17Derby1235413:16-314
    18Portsmouth1234510:13-313
    19Oxford Utd1233613:15-212
    20Southampton1226413:17-412
    21Blackburn1131710:17-710
    22Sheffield Utd123099:20-119
    23Norwich1222812:18-68
    24Sheffield Wed1213810:25-15-6

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One