Result
1:0
20/09/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 6
- Referee: Busby J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.43 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (279/386) | 72% (279/390) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.19 | 1.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (279/386) | 72% (279/390) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (20/63) | 30% (22/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (71/131) | 49% (42/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 67% (4/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 63 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 1.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Klarer C. 🟨,
- 18', Allsop R. 🟨,
- 34', Gray D. 🟨,
- 40', Osayi-Samuel B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Inoussa Z. 🟨,
- 67', Koumas L. ↓, Roberts P. ↑,
- 67', Osayi-Samuel B. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
- 67', Ducksch M. ↓, Furuhashi K. ↑,
- 74', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Idah A. ↑,
- 74', Inoussa Z. ↓, Eom J. ↑,
- 80', Cochrane A. ↓, Cashin E. ↑,
- 82', Tymon J. 🟨,
- 83', Paik Seung-Ho 🟨,
- 86', Cabango B. 🟨,
- 86', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Doyle T. ↑,
- 87', Stansfield J. ↓, Dykes L. ↑,
- 89', Galbraith E. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 90+4', Stamenic M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 0, Dykes L. ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
- 90+7', Ronald ↓, Widell M. ↑,
- 90+7', Franco G. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
47% | Draw
30.1% | Swansea City
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Birmingham City - Swansea City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.88) |
3.16 ↓
(3.4) |
4.16 ↓
(4.23) |
4.4%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Swansea City?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Swansea will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1.
- Birmingham has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Swansea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Birmingham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Swansea has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Birmingham is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Injury)
Wright S.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Swansea: Fulton J.
(Injury)
Santos R.
(Knee Injury)
Stamenic M.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Swansea City?
Birmingham City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Birmingham City?
Swansea City has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Swansea City were as follows:
13.01.2024
Birmingham City
-
Swansea City
2:2
05.08.2023
Swansea City
-
Birmingham City
1:1
04.02.2023
Swansea City
-
Birmingham City
3:4
08.11.2022
Birmingham City
-
Swansea City
2:2
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Swansea City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 19 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Leicester | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Preston | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Stoke | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | QPR | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 14 |
| 9 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 13 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 | Watford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Swansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 14 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 12 |
| 15 | Hull | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 17 | Southampton | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 10 |
| 19 | Norwich | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 8 |
| 20 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 8 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 23 | Sheffield Wed | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:20 | -12 | 6 |
| 24 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:16 | -13 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
