Birmingham Legion vs Forward Madison – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football  USL League One Cup Birmingham Legion - Forward Madison
Result
2:1
26/07/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Cup
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.26
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
65
Passes
84% (376/447)78% (250/321)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.580.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.620.51
Total shots
199
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
112
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
239
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1518
Passes
84% (376/447)78% (250/321)
Long passes
40% (14/35)48% (19/40)
Passes in final third
78% (122/156)60% (40/67)
Crosses
37% (7/19)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.280.16
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
1815
Tackles
73% (11/15)67% (8/12)
Duels won
5154
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
28
xGOT faced
0.511.62
Goals prevented
-0.49-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 25', Hamouda R. 🟨,
  • 26', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 28', Saucedo S. 🟨,
  • 30', 1 - 0, Damus R. ,
  • 34', Tregarthen S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 53', Crull J. 🟨,
  • 62', Temitayo E. , Mehl T. ,
  • 62', Mesias A. , Angking I. ,
  • 62', Galindrez J. , Lucca Dourado ,
  • 62', Garcia C. , Boyce D. ,
  • 65', Turnbull S. , Tregarthen S. ,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Angking I. , Boyce D. (A),
  • 77', Hamouda R. , Centeno E. ,
  • 77', Shashoua S. , Saucedo S. ,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Saucedo S. , Pasher T. (A),
  • 89', Damus R. , Preston T. ,
  • 89', Martinez E. , McIllhatton S. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Birmingham Legion
55.5%
Draw
24.8%
Forward Madison
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.4% 23.5% 20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4% 24.3% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forward Madison than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Birmingham Legion - Forward Madison Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.58)
    3.69
    (3.79)
    4.63
    (4.43)
    9.4%
    (12.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Birmingham has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Forward Madison is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Forward Madison may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Forward Madison has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Birmingham is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Forward Madison