Result
1:3
02/05/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Bensalah N. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (456/524) | 81% (269/332) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (456/524) | 81% (269/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (41/67) | 27% (12/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (132/173) | 52% (31/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 14% (2/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 0.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.43 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Tregarthen S. ⚽, McCartney D. (A),
- 17', 1 - 1, Leo Afonso ⚽, Holstad C. (A),
- 45+2', Yao K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Bacharach Capdevila H. 🟨,
- 49', 1 - 2, Kavita P. ⚽,
- 57', 1 - 3, Damus R. ⚽,
- 67', Bacharach Capdevila H. ↓, Herivaux Z. ↑,
- 67', Yao K. ↓, Scardina N. ↑,
- 67', Rodriguez A. ↓, Atkinson D. ↑,
- 74', Diarbian G. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
- 77', Sanchez A. ↓, Dorsey L. ↑,
- 79', Antwi S. 🟨,
- 80', Kwizera J. 🟨,
- 81', 🟨,
- 85', Holstad C. ↓, Shapiro-Thompson A. ↑,
- 85', Damus R. ↓, Williams R. ↑,
- 90+1', Vassell P. ↓, Cole K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Rhode Island 59.1% | Draw 23.3% | Birmingham Legion 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rhode Island has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Rhode Island's performance.Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Birmingham Legion might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhode Island than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rhode Island that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↓ (1.8) |
4 ↑ (3.54) |
5.3 ↑ (4.06) |
7.3% (8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Rhode Island is considered a favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rhode Island won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rhode Island won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Rhode Island won against Birmingham Legion?
Rhode Island has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Rhode Island?
Birmingham Legion has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rhode Island - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
20.08.2025
Rhode Island
-
Birmingham Legion
1:0
05.07.2025
Rhode Island
-
Birmingham Legion
1:1
14.05.2025
Birmingham Legion
-
Rhode Island
0:1
31.08.2024
Rhode Island
-
Birmingham Legion
2:0
17.07.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Rhode Island
1:3
Latest results of Rhode Island
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2026Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Louisville City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 16:11 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Detroit | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Charleston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | Miami FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Birmingham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Rhode Island | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Brooklyn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Loudoun | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | -13 | 1 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Antonio | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 3 | El Paso | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Oakland Roots | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 13 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 12 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | FC Tulsa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | New Mexico | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Lexington | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:13 | -10 | 2 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)