Result
0:1
04/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Carvajal E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.08 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (460/550) | 70% (212/302) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (460/550) | 70% (212/302) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 37% (26/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (113/167) | 51% (38/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 0% (0/2) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.43 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 10', Leerman Y. ↓, Dambrot R. ↑,
- 25', Mines B. ↓, Glasgow O. ↑,
- 28', Dambrot R. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Paterson AJ (Pen),
- 32', McIllhatton S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pasher T. ↓, McCartney D. ↑,
- 62', Aboukoura A. ↓, Ryan Z. ↑,
- 62', Ordonez A. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 62', Dambrot R. ↓, Akinyode B. ↑,
- 68', Kavita P. 🟨,
- 69', Awuah K. 🟨,
- 69', Skundrich D. 🟨,
- 73', McIllhatton S. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
- 76', Akinyode B. 🟨,
- 77', Travis J. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
- 85', Damus R. 🟨,
- 90+5', Ryan Z. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Loudoun United
56.1% | Draw
21.2% | Birmingham Legion
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loudoun United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Loudoun United's performance.Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Loudoun United than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+1%)
Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.82) |
4.45 ↑
(3.74) |
4.18 ↑
(3.71) |
7.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion?
Users Predictions:
Loudoun United will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3.
- In recent matches, Loudoun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Birmingham's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Birmingham may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Loudoun might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Loudoun won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Loudoun won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Loudoun United won against Birmingham Legion?
Loudoun United has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham Legion won against Loudoun United?
Birmingham Legion has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Loudoun United - Birmingham Legion were as follows:
08.03.2025
Birmingham Legion
-
Loudoun United
1:3
14.09.2024
Loudoun United
-
Birmingham Legion
4:2
07.04.2024
Birmingham Legion
-
Loudoun United
3:1
21.06.2023
Birmingham Legion
-
Loudoun United
2:0
15.04.2023
Loudoun United
-
Birmingham Legion
3:0
Latest results of Loudoun United
Latest results of Birmingham Legion
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 55:19 | 36 | 69 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | Hartford Athletic | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 46:32 | 14 | 44 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 44:45 | -1 | 42 |
| 5 | North Carolina ✔ | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39:39 | 0 | 41 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 40 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 28:27 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Detroit | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 35 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 41:49 | -8 | 32 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 46:29 | 17 | 53 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 40:37 | 3 | 44 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | El Paso | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 44:39 | 5 | 40 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34:34 | 0 | 37 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 47:48 | -1 | 36 |
| 7 | Lexington | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:37 | -8 | 35 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 36:49 | -13 | 28 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22:48 | -26 | 26 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
