Result
0:1
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 40
- Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.52 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (450/540) | 68% (187/276) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (450/540) | 68% (187/276) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (22/61) | 27% (17/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (114/167) | 62% (63/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 60 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Forshaw A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 65', Osman I. ↓, Gray D. ↑,
- 66', Ducksch M. ↓, Fujimoto K. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 1, Cantwell T. ⚽, Morishita R. (A),
- 77', Morishita R. ↓, Montgomery K. ↑,
- 78', Roberts P. ↓, Vicente C. ↑,
- 78', Stansfield J. ↓, Priske A. ↑,
- 83', Wharton S. ↓, Ribeiro Y. ↑,
- 83', Cantwell T. ↓, Jorgensen M. ↑,
- 88', Iwata T. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
- 90', Baradji M. ↓, Tavares S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Birmingham City
51.4% | Draw
26.9% | Blackburn Rovers
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.75) |
3.53 ↓
(3.99) |
4.43 ↑
(4.24) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Blackburn will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 42.8% – 90.6%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.
- Birmingham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Blackburn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Birmingham is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L.
(Knee Injury)
Cochrane A.
(Ankle Injury)
Wagner K.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Blackburn: Garrett J.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Gudjohnsen A.
(Ankle Injury)
Hedges R.
(Ankle Injury)
Kargbo A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Miller L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tronstad S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Birmingham City won against Blackburn Rovers?
Birmingham City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blackburn Rovers won against Birmingham City?
Blackburn Rovers has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers were as follows:
16.08.2025
Blackburn Rovers
-
Birmingham City
1:2
13.02.2024
Birmingham City
-
Blackburn Rovers
1:0
29.11.2023
Blackburn Rovers
-
Birmingham City
4:2
01.04.2023
Birmingham City
-
Blackburn Rovers
1:0
31.01.2023
Birmingham City
-
Blackburn Rovers
0:1
Latest results of Birmingham City
Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 41 | 21 | 12 | 8 | 71:42 | 29 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Southampton | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 73:50 | 23 | 72 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 43:57 | -14 | 48 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 43 | 12 | 12 | 19 | 38:53 | -15 | 48 |
| 21 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
