Birmingham City vs Blackburn Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
03/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 40
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.061.52
Ball possession
65%35%
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
54
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
910
Passes
83% (450/540)68% (187/276)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.061.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.062.57
Total shots
1216
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
17
Shots inside the box
711
Shots outside the box
55
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
910
Touches in opposition box
3124
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
11
Free kicks
714
Passes
83% (450/540)68% (187/276)
Long passes
36% (22/61)27% (17/63)
Passes in final third
68% (114/167)62% (63/102)
Crosses
24% (4/17)23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.600.80
Throw ins
3127
Fouls
147
Tackles
53% (8/15)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5649
Clearances
3560
Interceptions
73
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
35
xGOT faced
2.571.06
Goals prevented
1.571.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 21', Forshaw A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', Osman I. , Gray D. ,
  • 66', Ducksch M. , Fujimoto K. ,
  • 69', 0 - 1, Cantwell T. , Morishita R. (A),
  • 77', Morishita R. , Montgomery K. ,
  • 78', Roberts P. , Vicente C. ,
  • 78', Stansfield J. , Priske A. ,
  • 83', Wharton S. , Ribeiro Y. ,
  • 83', Cantwell T. , Jorgensen M. ,
  • 88', Iwata T. , Osayi-Samuel B. ,
  • 90', Baradji M. , Tavares S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Birmingham City
51.4%
Draw
26.9%
Blackburn Rovers
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54% 23.7% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.3% 21.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.75)
    3.53
    (3.99)
    4.43
    (4.24)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Blackburn will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Birmingham: 42.8%90.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 3.
    • Birmingham is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Blackburn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Birmingham is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Birmingham: Buchanan L. (Knee Injury) Cochrane A. (Ankle Injury) Wagner K. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Blackburn: Garrett J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Gudjohnsen A. (Ankle Injury) Hedges R. (Ankle Injury) Kargbo A. (Hamstring Injury) Miller L. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Tronstad S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Birmingham won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City 1:2
    13.02.2024 Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers 1:0
    29.11.2023 Blackburn Rovers - Birmingham City 4:2
    01.04.2023 Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers 1:0
    31.01.2023 Birmingham City - Blackburn Rovers 0:1
    Latest results of Birmingham City
    Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

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