Result
1:0
11/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 37
- Referee: Webb D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (142/232) | 82% (421/516) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (142/232) | 82% (421/516) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (21/78) | 40% (28/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (53/97) | 61% (78/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.67 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 32 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 72 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 61 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', McLoughlin S. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Donley J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Baradji M. ↓, Ohashi Y. ↑,
- 72', Lankshear W. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
- 73', Jorgensen M. ↓, Cantwell T. ↑,
- 73', De Neve D. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
- 78', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Spencer B. ↑,
- 78', Konak Y. E. ↓, Vaulks W. ↑,
- 79', Cashin E. ↓, Tavares S. ↑,
- 86', Mills S. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 87', Donley J. ↓, McDonnell J. ↑,
- 89', Carter H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oxford United
34.7% | Draw
31.4% | Blackburn Rovers
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Oxford United - Blackburn Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↓
(2.78) |
3.01 ↓
(3.1) |
2.8 ↑
(2.48) |
5.7%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Blackburn Rovers?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Blackburn will win (votes: 5 - 22.7%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 43.5% – 83.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Oxford (1.43) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH 0 - Oxford (1.84) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DNB - Oxford (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Oxford (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Oxford (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Blackburn (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Blackburn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Inactive)
Goodrham T.
(Injury)
Leigh G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Blackburn: Cantwell T.
(Injury)
Kargbo A.
(Injury)
Miller L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Pears A.
(Injury)
Tronstad S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Blackburn: Hedges R.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Blackburn Rovers?
Oxford United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blackburn Rovers won against Oxford United?
Blackburn Rovers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Blackburn Rovers were as follows:
09.12.2025
Blackburn Rovers
-
Oxford United
1:1
18.01.2025
Oxford United
-
Blackburn Rovers
1:0
24.08.2024
Blackburn Rovers
-
Oxford United
2:1
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
