Result
2:1
25/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 34
- Referee: Linington J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | DStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8 |
 Haiti | Tele Haiti |
 Hungary | Match 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Ireland | NOW |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | SupeSport ESPN 1, SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 4, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 South-africa | SupeSport ESPN 2, SupeSport ESPN |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 United-kingdom | NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.46 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (389/456) | 74% (202/273) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 0.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (389/456) | 74% (202/273) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (32/65) | 34% (18/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (108/134) | 62% (58/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', Talovierov M. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Cisse L. ⚽, Manhoef M. (A),
- 44', 1 - 1, Brown C. ⚽, Mills S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jeon Jin-Woo ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 53', Wilmot B. 🟨,
- 57', 2 - 1, Rak-Sakyi J. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
- 66', Lankshear W. ↓, Prelec N. ↑,
- 66', Mills S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
- 66', Brannagan C. ↓, Konak Y. E. ↑,
- 70', Rak-Sakyi J. ↓, Bae J. ↑,
- 78', Rigo T. ↓, Seko T. ↑,
- 83', Peart-Harris M. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
- 89', Vaulks W. 🟨,
- 90+4', Cisse L. ↓, Smit M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Stoke City
50.7% | Draw
27% | Oxford United
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Oxford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Stoke City - Oxford United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.78) |
3.51 ↓
(3.55) |
4.28 ↓
(4.6) |
5.4%
(6.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Stoke City - Oxford United?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Stoke will win (votes: 19 - 76%). Oxford will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoke: 59.3% – 92.7%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Oxford (3.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Oxford (4.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Oxford (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stoke City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Stoke (votes: 3 - 50%). Oxford (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 16 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League One).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Stoke may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Stoke is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Stoke: Ampah A.
(Injury)
Baker L.
(Inactive)
Bazunu G.
(Thigh Injury)
Bozenik R.
(Shoulder Injury)
Gallagher S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Johansson V.
(Shoulder Injury)
Lawal B.
(Inactive)
Mubama D.
(Ankle Injury)
Tchamadeu J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Oxford: Goodrham T.
(Injury)
Leigh G.
(Inactive)
ter Avest H.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Oxford: De Keersmaecker B.
(Inactive)
McDonnell J.
(Injury)
Prelec N.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Stoke won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Stoke won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Oxford United?
Stoke City has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Stoke City?
Oxford United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Stoke City - Oxford United were as follows:
04.11.2025
Oxford United
-
Stoke City
0:3
25.01.2025
Stoke City
-
Oxford United
0:0
14.09.2024
Oxford United
-
Stoke City
1:0
Latest results of Stoke City
Latest results of Oxford United
English League Championship Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry ✔ | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
| 3 | Millwall | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
| 4 | Southampton ✔ | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
| 5 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
| 6 | Hull | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
| 8 | Derby | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
| 9 | Norwich | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
| 11 | Swansea | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
| 14 | Preston | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
| 15 | QPR | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
| 16 | Watford | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 17 | Stoke | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
| 19 | Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 | West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd ✔ | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 | Leicester ✔ | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Coventry is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Premier League
Southampton is Qualified for Championship (Play Offs Semi~finals)
Oxford Utd is Relegated to League One
Leicester is Relegated to League One
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
