Blackburn Rovers vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 9
  • Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.77
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
56
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
77% (295/382)79% (339/431)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.77
xG on target (xGOT)
2.581.44
Total shots
1711
Shots on target
56
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
1110
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
3020
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
95
Passes
77% (295/382)79% (339/431)
Long passes
29% (15/52)39% (22/56)
Passes in final third
60% (73/122)59% (61/104)
Crosses
23% (5/22)7% (1/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.340.34
Throw-ins
1428
Fouls
59
Tackles
100% (9/9)60% (6/10)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
3435
Interceptions
153
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.442.58
Goals prevented
0.441.58

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Alebiosu R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 49', Rigo T. 🟨,
  • 49', 0 - 1, Manhoef M. , Thomas S. (A),
  • 59', Gudjohnsen A. , Ohashi Y. ,
  • 59', Morishita R. , Kargbo A. ,
  • 67', Mubama D. , Bozenik R. ,
  • 67', Rigo T. , N'Zonzi S. ,
  • 67', Ribeiro Y. , De Neve D. ,
  • 80', Bae J. , Donley J. ,
  • 82', 1 - 1, Kargbo A. , Cantwell T. (A),
  • 90+1', Thomas S. , Cisse L. ,
  • 90+1', 🟨,
  • 90+2', Gardner-Hickman T. , Gueye M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Blackburn Rovers
37.6%
Draw
29.2%
Stoke City
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.3% 28.4% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 28.7% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.38)
    3.26
    (3.29)
    2.87
    (2.9)
    4.5%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Stoke will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Blackburn: 19.5%68.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stoke (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Blackburn: Baradji M. (Inactive) Carter H. (Inactive) Garrett J. (Surgery)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Blackburn: Mullarkey-Matthews L. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Baker L. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Blackburn won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City were as follows:
    12.03.2025 Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers 1:0
    06.11.2024 Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City 0:2
    10.02.2024 Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City 3:1
    25.11.2023 Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers 0:3
    10.03.2023 Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers 3:2
    Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
    Latest results of Stoke City
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry1174031:82325
    2Middlesbrough1173115:7824
    3Millwall1162313:13020
    4Bristol City1154219:11819
    5Charlton1153313:9418
    6Stoke1153312:8418
    7Hull1153319:19018
    8QPR1153315:16-118
    9Leicester1145215:11417
    10West Brom1152412:13-117
    11Preston1144312:10216
    12Watford1143413:13015
    13Birmingham1143411:14-315
    14Ipswich1034316:13313
    15Wrexham1134415:16-113
    16Swansea1134410:11-113
    17Portsmouth1134410:12-213
    18Southampton1126312:15-312
    19Derby1125412:16-411
    20Oxford Utd1123611:14-39
    21Sheffield Utd113087:17-109
    22Norwich1122711:16-58
    23Blackburn102178:16-87
    24Sheffield Wed111379:23-146

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One