Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 9
- Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (295/382) | 79% (339/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (295/382) | 79% (339/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (15/52) | 39% (22/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (73/122) | 59% (61/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 2.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Alebiosu R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Rigo T. 🟨,
- 49', 0 - 1, Manhoef M. ⚽, Thomas S. (A),
- 59', Gudjohnsen A. ↓, Ohashi Y. ↑,
- 59', Morishita R. ↓, Kargbo A. ↑,
- 67', Mubama D. ↓, Bozenik R. ↑,
- 67', Rigo T. ↓, N'Zonzi S. ↑,
- 67', Ribeiro Y. ↓, De Neve D. ↑,
- 80', Bae J. ↓, Donley J. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Kargbo A. ⚽, Cantwell T. (A),
- 90+1', Thomas S. ↓, Cisse L. ↑,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+2', Gardner-Hickman T. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Blackburn Rovers
37.6% | Draw
29.2% | Stoke City
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackburn Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Stoke City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↑
(2.38) |
3.26 ↓
(3.29) |
2.87 ↓
(2.9) |
4.5%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Blackburn will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Stoke will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackburn: 19.5% – 68.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Stoke (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Stoke (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Blackburn (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Blackburn (votes: 2 - 40%). Stoke (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Blackburn: Baradji M.
(Inactive)
Carter H.
(Inactive)
Garrett J.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Stoke: Gallagher S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Blackburn: Mullarkey-Matthews L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Stoke: Baker L.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Blackburn won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Blackburn won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Blackburn Rovers won against Stoke City?
Blackburn Rovers has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Stoke City won against Blackburn Rovers?
Stoke City has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Blackburn Rovers - Stoke City were as follows:
12.03.2025
Stoke City
-
Blackburn Rovers
1:0
06.11.2024
Blackburn Rovers
-
Stoke City
0:2
10.02.2024
Blackburn Rovers
-
Stoke City
3:1
25.11.2023
Stoke City
-
Blackburn Rovers
0:3
10.03.2023
Stoke City
-
Blackburn Rovers
3:2
Latest results of Blackburn Rovers
Latest results of Stoke City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 60:34 | 26 | 63 |
| 4 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 5 | Hull | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
