Blackpool vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 11
  • Referee: Speedie B. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.092.30
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
38
Shots on target
24
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
70% (306/437)65% (231/357)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.092.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.172.13
Total shots
38
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
13
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
25
Shots outside the Box
13
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
919
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
70% (306/437)65% (231/357)
Long passes
32% (30/93)23% (22/95)
Passes in final third
38% (45/117)53% (83/158)
Crosses
14% (2/14)14% (3/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.160.77
Throw-ins
3138
Fouls
1413
Tackles
44% (4/9)61% (11/18)
Duels won
5464
Clearances
3934
Interceptions
169
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
2.130.17
Goals prevented
0.130.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', Coulson H. , Ashworth Z. ,
  • 38', 0 - 1, Orsi-Dadomo D. (Pen),
  • 39', Casey O. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Bowler J. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Ogundere I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Horsfall F. , Fletcher A. ,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Orsi-Dadomo D. ,
  • 64', Taylor D. , Bloxham T. ,
  • 78', Hamilton C. , Hansson E. ,
  • 79', Orsi-Dadomo D. , Browne M. ,
  • 80', Hippolyte M. , Maycock C. ,
  • 87', Bugiel O. , Sasu A. ,
  • 89', Evans L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Blackpool
38.8%
Draw
31%
AFC Wimbledon
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 26.5% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8% 28.3% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Blackpool's form might have worsened.
  • AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Wimbledon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blackpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Wimbledon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (1.92)
    3.22
    (3.5)
    3.26
    (3.71)
    -0.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Blackpool (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Blackpool (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 1.
    • Blackpool has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Wimbledon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Wimbledon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Blackpool will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Blackpool: Banks S. (Inactive) Ennis N. (Injury) Honeyman G. (Injury) Husband J. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Wimbledon: Hackford A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Blackpool: Imray D. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Blackpool won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Blackpool won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
    Latest results of Blackpool
    30.09.2025 Blackpool - Luton Town 2:2
    27.09.2025 Bradford City - Blackpool 1:0
    20.09.2025 Blackpool - Barnsley 1:0
    16.09.2025 Blackpool - Barrow 5:0
    Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff33216664:362869
    2Lincoln33208559:312868
    3Bolton341513645:331258
    4Bradford City33177942:36658
    5Stockport County33168946:41556
    6Huddersfield341571255:451052
    7Reading331212948:43548
    8Stevenage321391035:34148
    9Wycombe3312111046:361047
    10Luton331371342:40246
    11Plymouth331441549:49046
    12Peterborough341431749:48145
    13AFC Wimbledon321261439:46-742
    14Exeter321181337:34341
    15Barnsley301181150:52-241
    16Mansfield311091237:35239
    17Burton331091438:46-839
    18Doncaster321161536:51-1539
    19Blackpool331071640:50-1037
    20Leyton Orient321061643:53-1036
    21Wigan328101434:46-1234
    22Northampton34971830:46-1634
    23Rotherham32871732:47-1531
    24Port Vale31681725:43-1826

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two