AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

The Cherry Red Records Stadium (London).

League One - Round 26
Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.94	0.72
Ball possession
48%	52%
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
7	2
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
6	8
Passes
68% (202/298)	70% (222/318)
Expected goals (xG)
2.94	0.72
xG on target (xGOT)
3.58	0.85
Total shots
14	9
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked shots
3	2
Shots inside the box
10	7
Shots outside the box
4	2
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
3	2
Corner kicks
6	8
Touches in opposition box
24	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	1
Free kicks
11	12
Passes
68% (202/298)	70% (222/318)
Long passes
32% (25/78)	24% (16/66)
Passes in final third
57% (59/104)	56% (69/124)
Crosses
32% (7/22)	24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	0.61
Throw ins
29	33
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
59% (10/17)	36% (5/14)
Duels won
60	55
Clearances
46	42
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
1	3
xGOT faced
0.85	3.58
Goals prevented
-0.15	-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Johnson R. ⚽, Seddon S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Stevens M. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Fletcher A. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
61', Clarkson L. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
61', Honeyman G. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Ennis N. ⚽, Casey O. (A),
68', Bauer P. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
71', Coulson H. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
78', Ennis N. ↓, Bloxham T. ↑,
80', Johnson R. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
81', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
90+3', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Nelson Z. ⚽,
90+7', 4 - 1, Bugiel O. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

AFC Wimbledon
39.8%

Draw
29%

Blackpool
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.6%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

27.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.23)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	3.01 ↑ (3)	6.6% (9.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Blackpool will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 51.5% – 92.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Wimbledon might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A. (Inactive)
There will not play in Blackpool: Finnigan R. (Inactive) Grant K. (Inactive) Lyons A. (Inactive) Morgan A. (Inactive) Obafemi M. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D. (Inactive) Stewart L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Blackpool: Taylor D. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.8:0).

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Blackpool?

AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Blackpool won against AFC Wimbledon?

Blackpool has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool were as follows:

04.10.2025 Blackpool - AFC Wimbledon 0:2

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

08.03.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town 1:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:2 ✺

21.02.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City 3:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon 4:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Barnsley - AFC Wimbledon 3:3 ✺

Latest results of Blackpool

07.03.2026 Blackpool - Wigan Athletic 1:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Lincoln City - Blackpool 4:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Bolton Wanderers - Blackpool 2:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Blackpool - Mansfield Town 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Blackpool - Plymouth Argyle 0:4 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	38	24	9	5	71:34	37	81
2	Cardiff	38	23	7	8	73:41	32	76
3	Bolton	38	17	15	6	55:38	17	66
4	Bradford City	38	19	8	11	48:42	6	65
5	Stockport County	36	17	8	11	50:47	3	59
6	Reading	38	15	13	10	57:50	7	58
7	Huddersfield	38	16	9	13	58:48	10	57
8	Stevenage	37	16	9	12	40:38	2	57
9	Wycombe	38	15	11	12	55:41	14	56
10	Plymouth	38	17	5	16	57:53	4	56
11	Luton	38	15	9	14	51:48	3	54
12	Barnsley	36	13	11	12	59:59	0	50
13	Peterborough	37	15	4	18	56:51	5	49
14	AFC Wimbledon	37	14	7	16	48:54	-6	49
15	Mansfield	36	11	13	12	43:40	3	46
16	Leyton Orient	37	13	6	18	53:62	-9	45
17	Doncaster	37	12	8	17	40:59	-19	44
18	Burton	38	11	10	17	42:53	-11	43
19	Exeter	38	11	9	18	42:50	-8	42
20	Wigan	37	10	12	15	39:51	-12	42
21	Blackpool	38	11	8	19	46:63	-17	41
22	Rotherham	37	9	9	19	35:55	-20	36
23	Northampton	38	9	8	21	32:52	-20	35
24	Port Vale	35	6	10	19	28:49	-21	28

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two