Result
2:2
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 35
- Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.93 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (296/405) | 68% (258/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 1.93 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (296/405) | 68% (258/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (27/78) | 21% (14/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (72/127) | 54% (70/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 32% (7/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.21 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.87 | 0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Russell J. ⚽, Adeboyejo V. (A),
- 14', 1 - 1, Tilley J. ⚽, Browne M. (A),
- 29', 2 - 1, Russell J. ⚽, Roberts T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 54', McLaughlin S. 🟨,
- 58', Adeboyejo V. ↓, Oates R. ↑,
- 58', Roberts T. ↓, Evans W. ↑,
- 58', 2 - 2, Stevens M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Russell J. ↓, Abbott G. ↑,
- 64', Hendry R. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
- 75', McLaughlin S. ↓, Hewitt E. ↑,
- 84', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 84', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 88', Bauer P. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
- 90', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Bugiel O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mansfield Town 42.8% | Draw 29.3% | AFC Wimbledon 27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.19 ↑ (2.14) |
3.21 ↓ (3.29) |
3.34 ↑ (3.33) |
6.8% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Wimbledon will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mansfield: 29.6% – 90.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 50%). Wimbledon (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 16 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 2.
- Mansfield is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wimbledon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Mansfield is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Mansfield: Bowery J.
(Inactive)
Cargill B.
(Injury)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Sweeney R.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D.
(Inactive)
Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: Lewis J.
(Inactive)
Stewart L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against AFC Wimbledon?
Mansfield Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Mansfield Town?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:
13.12.2025
AFC Wimbledon
-
Mansfield Town
0:0
27.01.2024
AFC Wimbledon
-
Mansfield Town
2:1
07.10.2023
Mansfield Town
-
AFC Wimbledon
0:0
04.03.2023
AFC Wimbledon
-
Mansfield Town
1:3
Latest results of Mansfield Town
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship