Result
4:1
11/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 26
- Referee: Swabey L. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.72 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (202/298) | 70% (222/318) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.94 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.58 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (202/298) | 70% (222/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (25/78) | 24% (16/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (59/104) | 56% (69/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (7/22) | 24% (6/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 36% (5/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 3.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Johnson R. ⚽, Seddon S. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 54', 2 - 0, Stevens M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Fletcher A. ↓, Bowler J. ↑,
- 61', Clarkson L. ↓, Randall J. ↑,
- 61', Honeyman G. ↓, Anderson K. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Ennis N. ⚽, Casey O. (A),
- 68', Bauer P. ↓, Lewis J. ↑,
- 71', Coulson H. ↓, Hamilton C. ↑,
- 78', Ennis N. ↓, Bloxham T. ↑,
- 80', Johnson R. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
- 81', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
- 90+3', Hippolyte M. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, Nelson Z. ⚽,
- 90+7', 4 - 1, Bugiel O. ⚽,
Chances of winning
AFC Wimbledon
39.8% | Draw
29% | Blackpool
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AFC Wimbledon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↑
(2.23) |
3.23 ↑
(3.2) |
3.01 ↑
(3) |
6.6%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Wimbledon will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Blackpool will win (votes: 1 - 5.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wimbledon: 51.5% – 92.9%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Wimbledon (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Wimbledon might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Blackpool: Finnigan R.
(Inactive)
Grant K.
(Inactive)
Lyons A.
(Inactive)
Morgan A.
(Inactive)
Obafemi M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Wimbledon: McCoy-Splatt D.
(Inactive)
Stewart L.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Blackpool: Taylor D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wimbledon won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wimbledon won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 0.8:0).
How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Blackpool?
AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blackpool won against AFC Wimbledon?
Blackpool has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool were as follows:
04.10.2025
Blackpool
-
AFC Wimbledon
0:2
Latest results of AFC Wimbledon
Latest results of Blackpool
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 45 | 30 | 10 | 5 | 87:41 | 46 | 100 |
| 2 | Cardiff ✔ | 45 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 91 |
| 3 | Bolton ✔ | 45 | 19 | 18 | 8 | 68:49 | 19 | 75 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 68:57 | 11 | 74 |
| 5 | Bradford City | 45 | 21 | 11 | 13 | 56:50 | 6 | 74 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 72 |
| 7 | Luton | 45 | 20 | 11 | 14 | 65:54 | 11 | 71 |
| 8 | Plymouth | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 72:61 | 11 | 70 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 45 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 70:64 | 6 | 64 |
| 10 | Reading | 45 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 64:59 | 5 | 63 |
| 11 | Mansfield | 45 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 57:46 | 11 | 62 |
| 12 | Wycombe | 45 | 16 | 12 | 17 | 66:56 | 10 | 60 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 45 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 67:70 | -3 | 59 |
| 14 | Blackpool | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 45 | 16 | 9 | 20 | 47:68 | -21 | 57 |
| 16 | Wigan | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 56 |
| 17 | Peterborough | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 63:65 | -2 | 53 |
| 18 | Burton | 45 | 13 | 14 | 18 | 48:58 | -10 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 15 | 8 | 22 | 51:68 | -17 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient | 45 | 14 | 9 | 22 | 57:69 | -12 | 51 |
| 21 | Exeter | 45 | 12 | 13 | 20 | 51:59 | -8 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale ✔ | 45 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 36:59 | -23 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham ✔ | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 39:68 | -29 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton ✔ | 45 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 37:71 | -34 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
Northampton is Relegated to League Two
