Result
2:1
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Relegation Group - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (423/528) | 69% (249/362) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (423/528) | 69% (249/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (40/87) | 30% (18/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (67/106) | 54% (74/137) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.32 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.02 | -1.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Hofleitner A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', Hofleitner A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bumberger D. ↓, Pirkl S. ↑,
- 46', Cvetko C. ↓, Ronivaldo ↑,
- 61', Schriebl T. ↓, Koch T. ↑,
- 62', 1 - 1, Ronivaldo ⚽, Pirkl S. (A),
- 70', Weissman S. 🟨,
- 72', Lichtenberger C. ↓, Satin M. ↑,
- 72', Hofleitner A. ↓, Grosse M. ↑,
- 73', Seidl S. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Harakate R. ⚽, Grosse M. (A),
- 79', Harakate R. 🟨,
- 82', Maier N. ↓, Joao Luiz ↑,
- 89', Klassen L. ↓, Kreuzriegler M. ↑,
- 89', Italiano J. ↓, Frieser D. ↑,
- 90+5', Pasic A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Grazer AK
41.1% | Draw
31.3% | Blau-Weiss Linz
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Blau-Weiss Linz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blau-Weiss Linz than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Grazer AK - Blau-Weiss Linz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.39) |
3.02 ↓
(3.09) |
3.42 ↑
(3.02) |
5.7%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Grazer AK - Blau-Weiss Linz?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Grazer will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grazer: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Grazer (3.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Grazer (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Grazer AK will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Grazer (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 2.
- Grazer is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- BW Linz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- BW Linz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Grazer: Jano Z.
(Broken ankle)
Maderner D.
(Yellow Cards)
Oberleitner Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in BW Linz: Anderson
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in BW Linz: Goiginger T.
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:20. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grazer AK won against Blau-Weiss Linz?
Grazer AK has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Blau-Weiss Linz won against Grazer AK?
Blau-Weiss Linz has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grazer AK - Blau-Weiss Linz were as follows:
29.11.2025
Grazer AK
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
3:1
13.09.2025
Blau-Weiss Linz
-
Grazer AK
3:0
24.11.2024
Blau-Weiss Linz
-
Grazer AK
1:2
17.08.2024
Grazer AK
-
Blau-Weiss Linz
2:2
Latest results of Grazer AK
Latest results of Blau-Weiss Linz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sturm Graz | 25 | 14 | 3 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Salzburg | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 45:29 | 16 | 22 |
| 3 | SK Rapid | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 31:29 | 2 | 22 |
| 4 | LASK | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 38:35 | 3 | 22 |
| 5 | Austria Vienna | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 38:39 | -1 | 21 |
| 6 | Hartberg | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
